NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 33 - If Stephen Crichton gets injured this week, I'm going to cry

Pookus McFly wrote:Casualty ward just as Paix listed as ‘July’, which is not helpful in the least bit definitely rings true for 4-6 weeks 


Paix seems one of the no brainer cash cows- not often you get the bankable tackle stats of a hooker you can slot in the halves. I already have Luai and Fogarty and I am still considering downgrading Drinkwater to him to play in my 17. 


3 weeks should see him make 150k, anything more is just a bonus.

Shady2K wrote:Thinking of going

Mann > Fui

Then trading either JHop or Kennedy out for:

- Turbo + 227k itb
- Teddy/Ponga + 64-74k itb

Thoughts on the second? Thinking turbo better value and up against the Broncs - but huge fomo with the other two that could go massive at any time, especially Teddy v Dogs

Pookus McFly wrote:Fixtures arn’t always everything though. I have been feeling massive FOMO on Teddy this week because like everyone else, I assume the Roosters will destroy the Dogs and there is pressure to get Teddy in for that game.

Here is how I reassured myself:

Fullbacks vs dogs in 2020:
R4 Norman 50 (but 8 points in kicks, so realistically 42)
R3 Turbo 72 (with two tries and 3 TAs)
R2 Holmes 45 (with 8 points in GK, realistically 37)
R1 Gutherson 32 (with a try save)

Unless Teddy can score some meat pies, and admittedly he might, I don’t think this fixture is any more appetising than it appears in our fantasy-addled brains which conjures up images of Teddy scoring a tonne.

Last year versus the dogs he scored 50, and that included a try.
In fact, 50.00 is exactly his historical average against the dogs (going back 6 games to his Tigers years and includes two tries)

So whilst he may go well, it won’t necessarily be the game we are tearing our teams apart to get him in ASAP for. Dog games are usually scrappy affairs bogged down in the middle, and if the Roosters are tearing them to shreds then they probably spend more time standing between the posts.

Of course all of this is my own cognitive dissonance so that I can get Cook this week and leave Teddy for next week   

Tl;dr- Teddy only going huge with tries- leave him if he doesn’t come in easy and make a try scorers bet (But gamble responsibly)

Pookus McFly wrote:Fixtures arn’t always everything though. I have been feeling massive FOMO on Teddy this week because like everyone else, I assume the Roosters will destroy the Dogs and there is pressure to get Teddy in for that game.

Here is how I reassured myself:

Fullbacks vs dogs in 2020:
R4 Norman 50 (but 8 points in kicks, so realistically 42)
R3 Turbo 72 (with two tries and 3 TAs)
R2 Holmes 45 (with 8 points in GK, realistically 37)
R1 Gutherson 32 (with a try save)

Unless Teddy can score some meat pies, and admittedly he might, I don’t think this fixture is any more appetising than it appears in our fantasy-addled brains which conjures up images of Teddy scoring a tonne.

Last year versus the dogs he scored 50, and that included a try.
In fact, 50.00 is exactly his historical average against the dogs (going back 6 games to his Tigers years and includes two tries)
Edit: his average whilst with the Roosters is 59, including two tries (three games)

So whilst he may go well, it won’t necessarily be the game we are tearing our teams apart to get him in ASAP for. Dog games are usually scrappy affairs bogged down in the middle, and if the Roosters are tearing them to shreds then they probably spend more time standing between the posts.

Of course all of this is my own cognitive dissonance so that I can get Cook this week and leave Teddy for next week   

Tl;dr- Teddy only going huge with tries- leave him if he doesn’t come in easy and make a try scorers bet (But gamble responsibly)

Mulvy wrote:

I was going to get him last week but got Ponga instead. Could have saved some money for him but got Cook and Murray instead. I'm happy with that. Teddy will have to wait until I make more cash, which is how it goes in fantasy. That gives Drinky some more time to see what he can do.

Mulvy wrote:Gone full circle on centres. Thinking I'll take a punt that Best is a cash cow (yes it's a punt, I know). His job security should be good, so at worst I'll have someone I can play fucking play at centre without worrying whether he'll still be in the team come Sunday (I'm looking at you Fui). Best case, he's worth about 625k+ in three weeks and I can then decide if I'm keeping him or if he becomes Teddy/DCE.

Thinking Jopoate -> Paix and Kennedy -> Best. Leaves:

Cook
Haas (c) Carrigan
Murray Matterson Leilua
Moses Mann (or Paix/Luai if out)
Best Crichton
Ponga Pappy Drinky

Api Grant Katoa Paix

Luai Rudolf Magoo Wiliame

41k 17 trades.

Anyone want to explain why Mulvy is stupid? Would be much appreciated

ytsb wrote:

I think it entirely depends on what you can do with the 227k next round. For example, can you piss off Jhop or Kennedy next week foir a cashie and use the 227k to upgrade to another gun? If so, do the tommy trade.

If you're happy to just build a bit of cash next week and trade to two cows I reckon you can't go wrong with bringing in Teddy!

Teddy is a semi-POD now because a lot of people who were gonna bring him in last round went Ponga instead.

mattnz wrote:
Depends, if getting one this week and another next week, I would work off the BEs.
Teddy BE 42
Turbo BE 37
Ponga BE 22

Would make Ponga the clear favourite for this week.

ytsb wrote:

You're stupid because you own Mag hahahahaha idiot

EDIT: Looks the goods but what are you going to do next week with 41k? Mago/Wiliame for a cow and then upgrade Mann? Won't leave you with quite enough for a gun, whereas getting in Fui might be the difference

ytsb wrote:

You're stupid because you own Mag hahahahaha idiot

EDIT: Looks the goods but what are you going to do next week with 41k? Mago/Wiliame for a cow and then upgrade Mann? Won't leave you with quite enough for a gun, whereas getting in Fui might be the difference

Mulvy wrote:

TBH I'd like to bank a trade.  Maybe another cow if compelling.

Pookus McFly wrote:Fixtures arn’t always everything though. I have been feeling massive FOMO on Teddy this week because like everyone else, I assume the Roosters will destroy the Dogs and there is pressure to get Teddy in for that game.

Here is how I reassured myself:

Fullbacks vs dogs in 2020:
R4 Norman 50 (but 8 points in kicks, so realistically 42)
R3 Turbo 72 (with two tries and 3 TAs)
R2 Holmes 45 (with 8 points in GK, realistically 37)
R1 Gutherson 32 (with a try save)

Unless Teddy can score some meat pies, and admittedly he might, I don’t think this fixture is any more appetising than it appears in our fantasy-addled brains which conjures up images of Teddy scoring a tonne.

Last year versus the dogs he scored 50, and that included a try.
In fact, 50.00 is exactly his historical average against the dogs (going back 6 games to his Tigers years and includes two tries)
Edit: his average whilst with the Roosters is 59, including two tries (three games)

So whilst he may go well, it won’t necessarily be the game we are tearing our teams apart to get him in ASAP for. Dog games are usually scrappy affairs bogged down in the middle, and if the Roosters are tearing them to shreds then they probably spend more time standing between the posts.

Of course all of this is my own cognitive dissonance so that I can get Cook this week and leave Teddy for next week   

Tl;dr- Teddy only going huge with tries- leave him if he doesn’t come in easy and make a try scorers bet (But gamble responsibly)