NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 7 - Game day!!!!!

Stats, Breakevens and more
https://footystatistics.com/

2023 Team planner
https://www.mediafire.com/file/e1ovaxv0tqj6lhz/2023+Team+Planner+v0.1.xlsm/file

Bye chart


Round one magic number 14491

R2 BEs
tba


2023 Autofill
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2068-2023-autofill-league

2023 Community team
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2023 Fantasy Draft
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2069-nrlff-2023-fantasy-draft-league

2023 Fantasy Fantasy
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2088-fantasy-fantasy-2023

Its past midnight here in the real world, Random. Game day it is

... fuck.

It's better now.

What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)

Milchcow wrote:
What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)

Would make my year if he’s out round 1

Ando wrote:

mattnz wrote:
Talau covers 2 positions but only takes up 1 spot in that cheap ctr/wfb wasteland, also a history of single digit scores that you don't want stinking up your 17.

Yeah I've delved deeper into his centre scoring and it's not pretty. I'd be happy switching HSS into the 17, but not history of scoring at centre makes it harder.

No option for a R1 loop and don't really want to change the whole team around to accommodate a better centre... Ah the joys of fantasy

My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.

@mattnz

Seriously don't overthink Doorey.

Even at your floor projection he's making 200k

Milchcow wrote:
What odds are people giving that Cleary is a late withdrawl this week?

I want to captain someone from the Thursday game, just to maximise tinkering ability on Friday. Should I captain someone like Haas just in case Cleary goes down in the warmup, or just let it roll on Hopgood (who'd probably be an acceptable VC choice anyway)

Unless you've heard something specific, the odds of Cleary withdrawing before the game are very long. And approximately the same odds as Haas withdrawing before the game.

Think you're seeing unnecessary shadows here leading to a -EV play, but if you have to do this makes more sense to go Hopgood or if you have him Grant

Milchcow wrote:


My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.

This was my initial thinking, the first 3 games could see a few tries with Doueihi feeding him. I'm just going to stick with that because I'm happy with the rest of my squad. Hope for a few price rises and then switch him out to Bird if playing 13.

Welshy wrote:@mattnz

Seriously don't overthink Doorey.

Even at your floor projection he's making 200k

Not if Carty rolls back to 2016 and makes himself undroppable

@Snatchpato you can call us Souffs if you like I know the feeling is mutual!

rhinoceroo wrote:

Not if Carty rolls back to 2016 and makes himself undroppable  

Mental mun! Coach even come out and backed him as starting edge

Milchcow wrote:


My plan for Talau is that he gets a few 30+ in the opening 5 weeks and that he can be upgraded ASAP to someone half decent.

He can get his single digit scores after his bye once we've all traded him out

The Tigers first 3 rounds aren't bad - Titans, Newcastle, Dogs. That's as good as it gets for the reigning wooden spooners

Also, I have no plans to actually play him in my 17 unless injury forces it, or he's getting looped in.

I have HSS currently just feel he’s got some better pedigree to score a bit better but the DPP may sway me back to Talau especially with the Tigers having a reasonable first game or 2. I am going cheap at centre I. Thompson locked in I’m sticking by him.

The plot thickens. HSS scored an 85 at centre (1 Try) in NSW Cup 2021 round 1.

Ando wrote:The plot thickens. HSS scored an 85 at centre (1 Try) in NSW Cup 2021 round 1.

I’ve got him I’m backing my gut. Lock it in.

On another note:

TU: Haas and Ponga
TD: Carrigan and Turbo

Someone said that Talau had a good game in the second trial. Did anyone see this?

3 cheapies in the back 3 is not me neither is 7 cheapies too risky playing with fire.

Finger Puppet Mafia wrote:Someone said that Talau had a good game in the second trial. Did anyone see this?

He played 80mins and scored 26 with a try so not too inspiring. Doesn’t excite me.

Rabbits21 wrote:
I’ve got him I’m backing my gut. Lock it in.

On another note:

TU: Haas and Ponga
TD: Carrigan and Turbo

And now this. Even though Jersey Flegg he’s got pace & we know he can break a tackle. I have a feeling he will be like Koula last year.

https://twitter.com/nswrl/status/1266149760785764352?s=46&t=6lFofmP3m_MCYPCLQ6lBTg

Alamoti & HSS locked into the 13

Ando wrote:

And now this. Even though Jersey Flegg he’s got pace & we know he can break a tackle. I have a feeling he will be like Koula last year.

https://twitter.com/nswrl/status/1266149760785764352?s=46&t=6lFofmP3m_MCYPCLQ6lBTg

Alamoti & HSS locked into the 13

Yep and Raiders have Dolphins round 2 and Knights round 3 so could be potential to score well.

I’ve got my 5 cheapies Warbrick, Alamoti, HSS, Doorey and Blore then a few guys a tick over the 300k mark in TMM, Thompson and Ford as most have. If they flop say 2-3 of them then Sloan, BMM, Preston and Katoa if he goes well at the Dolphins could be options etc……

I’m staying fully away from AKP domt like his base.