NRLFF 2006 Fantasy thread - Round 25+26 - Championship time

robelgordo wrote:It’s actually really difficult to find surefire PODs. I’ve just done a match formula on the pred worksheet to ownership, filtered by zero to have stats for potential unique PODs only. Then added a few more columns to look at priced average, recent average (Form I guess?), and the differential.

I think I’m going to have to try and guess which wingers score tries, but if they don’t, they could be on the bottom list and cost me points.

All this effort for a  maybe 5% chance I can beat a guy who is dominating without using spreadsheets in H2H on PODs in R26, assuming I win in R25 first.

I should probably just get back to work I guess...

You've got about 7 hours left and then the chance to make changes to your team ends forever. Now or never for tinkering.

I did not go back to work, just PM'd you the most ridiculous three trades ever to try and win the POD H2H

filthridden wrote:

Traded O'Meley in because he's playing in the feature game tonight and I didn't see him in any other teams.
Also traded in Gatis as a POD but turns out someone already has him and I can't be bothered changing my trades

Yes, I do already have him. Solid little scorer last week.

robelgordo wrote:It’s actually really difficult to find surefire PODs. I’ve just done a match formula on the pred worksheet to ownership, filtered by zero to have stats for potential unique PODs only. Then added a few more columns to look at priced average, recent average (Form I guess?), and the differential.

I think I’m going to have to try and guess which wingers score tries, but if they don’t, they could be on the bottom list and cost me points.

All this effort for a  maybe 5% chance I can beat a guy who is dominating without using spreadsheets in H2H on PODs in R26, assuming I win in R25 first.

I should probably just get back to work I guess...

Buy every POD he owns. That will fuck him !!

Jake Webster, Dane Tilse, Craig Stapleton OUT

Justin Hodges, Dallas Johnson, Brett Morris IN

The Morris talk influenced me. I also wanted to see him put a a big score to hopefully get him going. I'll sit him on the pine for 25, but will play him round 26. Merritt back on the wing, surely he's dried up. I'll play him at FB though. Keeping Gallen for his one round and Johnson has been going great guns so looks the goods. Will give Turner one last spin in 26 too as he's been very solid this season since I brought him in. Don't need him 25 though.

Round 25 team;

Jarryd Hayne
Nathan Merritt
Justin Hodges
Mark Gasnier
Greg Inglis
Matt Orford
Darren Lockyer
Shane Webcke
Cameron Smith
Corey Parker
Craig Fitzgibbon
Nathan Hindmarsh
Paul Gallen
Alan Tongue
Dallas Johnson
Todd Carney
Sonny Bill Williams

Simon Mannering
Brett Morris
Steve Turner
Taniela Tuikai


Round 26 team;

Jarryd Hayne
Brett Morris
Justin Hodges
Mark Gasnier
Greg Inglis
Matt Orford
Darren Lockyer
Shane Webcke
Cameron Smith
Corey Parker
Craig Fitzgibbon
Nathan Hindmarsh
Alan Tongue
Dallas Johnson
Todd Carney
Sonny Bill Williams
Steve Turner

Simon Mannering
Nathan Merritt
Paul Gallen
Taniela Tuikai

Tonight is very bitter sweet

OK, I've just entered the teams in preparation for tonight (except for MS - have you sent any through yet?) and had a bit of a sneak peak at the H2H.

Without trying to give anything away, there are multiple matchups decided by less than 10 points, and 1 person manages to score over 1000 and lose.

Exciting times.

Milchcow wrote:
OK, I've just entered the teams in preparation for tonight (except for MS - have you sent any through yet?) and had a bit of a sneak peak at the H2H.

Without trying to give anything away, there are multiple matchups decided by less than 10 points, and 1 person manages to score over 1000 and lose.

Exciting times.

Now I'm even more excited.

Found MS's team, so we a relocked and loaded*

JustHerefortheBreakEvens needs to resend, after going OK for the whole comp he sent me his teams as an image for tonight and I can't cut and paste into my sheet.
(Doesn't matter if he misses lockout for the resend, I have his teams already, just want them in a better format)

robelgordo wrote:

All this effort for a  maybe 5% chance I can beat a guy who is dominating without using spreadsheets in H2H on PODs in R26, assuming I win in R25 first.

I should probably just get back to work I guess...

I was lucky I started the season with some good PODs. Then I went a bit quiet as I started to learn about and figure spreadsheets. That gave MS his chance to compete. By the time I'd figured a bit about these sheets I tried to claw back into the overall comp but it was never going to happen. So come round 20 I thought lets start using what I've learned in the spreadsheets to smash these PODs comps.
I actually used a spreadsheet for something other than this 2006 thing for the first time yesterday. I had to collate a list alphabetically.
So thanks milch for giving me a reason to finally play with spreadsheets.

Oh, and by the way robelgordo, you don't stand a chance.

Did I post this earlier

link for tonight. 30 mins until kickoff
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esPkiJHavpo

code delta wrote:

I was lucky I started the season with some good PODs. Then I went a bit quiet as I started to learn about and figure spreadsheets. That gave MS his chance to compete. By the time I'd figured a bit about these sheets I tried to claw back into the overall comp but it was never going to happen. So come round 20 I thought lets start using what I've learned in the spreadsheets to smash these PODs comps.
I actually used a spreadsheet for something other this 2006 thing for the first time yesterday. I had to collate a list alphabetically.
So thanks milch for giving me a reason to finally play with spreadsheets.

Oh, and by the way robelgordo, you don't stand a chance.

Good luck!

I’ve made some bold POD moves. And cost myself at least 100 each round in overall hahaha

(I will probably lose the R25 match before the final anyway)

robelgordo wrote:


Good luck!

I’ve made some bold POD moves. And cost myself at least 100 each round in overall hahaha

(I will probably lose the R25 match before the final anyway)

This is what I'm worried about! I tried to base my trades on opposition stalling over both rounds, but will be pointless if I fall at the first hurdle

code delta wrote:

I was lucky I started the season with some good PODs. Then I went a bit quiet as I started to learn about and figure spreadsheets. That gave MS his chance to compete. By the time I'd figured a bit about these sheets I tried to claw back into the overall comp but it was never going to happen. So come round 20 I thought lets start using what I've learned in the spreadsheets to smash these PODs comps.
I actually used a spreadsheet for something other than this 2006 thing for the first time yesterday. I had to collate a list alphabetically.
So thanks milch for giving me a reason to finally play with spreadsheets.

Oh, and by the way robelgordo, you don't stand a chance.

That's awesome!

Milchcow wrote:
OK, I've just entered the teams in preparation for tonight (except for MS - have you sent any through yet?) and had a bit of a sneak peak at the H2H.

Without trying to give anything away, there are multiple matchups decided by less than 10 points, and 1 person manages to score over 1000 and lose.

Exciting times.

If that's me again Imma lose it

Lockout lifted.

I got in Ryan, Dallas and Hodges

Welshy wrote:Lockout lifted.

I got in Ryan, Dallas and Hodges

I liked Dallas, but didn't grab him. Couldn't trust Bellamy not to give him an early shower R26 with Melbourne finals bound.

Ryan capable of great scores, but was always one that could pull out some really underwhelming 30's right when you didn't need it.

Hodges is mint

Really wanted to get O'Meley in for Webcke but was luxury only and just fell behind other trades in desire

Let's go Watmough.

easytiger wrote:

I liked Dallas, but didn't grab him. Couldn't trust Bellamy not to give him an early shower R26 with Melbourne finals bound.

Ryan capable of great scores, but was always one that could pull out some really underwhelming 30's right when you didn't need it.

Hodges is mint

Dallas run of recent scores pushed me towards him, worried about the Bellamy effect with Smith and Inglis also but worth the risk

I got Ryan because Clack had him and used the trade as a potential big score blocker. I did have to sell Gasnier to fund the 3 trades because i was well short, so that could really fuck me

Which way did you go mate?