NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by mattnz Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:40 pm

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Post n°101

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by mattnz Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:40 pm

robelgordo wrote:My (hopefully) last decision: PAULO vs COATES

My current thinking:

PAULO
Pros: left-side Souths - which scored a gazillion tries last year. DPP is handy.
Cons: might not be that good, maybe not that much job security. Don't actually need cover at CTR

COATES
Pros: plays for Storm - which scored a gazillion tries last year. Even George Jennings average high 30s in this setup. Feels like he could go on a run and be worth 530k in 10 rounds (before ending up back at 330k if you don't sell)
Cons: no history of a decent base. Scores (and bombs) a lot of catch and putdown tries that aren't worth much, not sure how many more on top he gets at new club.

Was on Paulo, but getting cold feet. Thinking now that while Paulo might edge the scoring this week and is probably a more consistent scorer if needed to play, longer term Coates has more earnign potential as a 18-21 stash.

Anything I'm missing?

If you go Paulo, watch for a potential late switch back to his old wing.

by Finch Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:42 pm

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Post n°102

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Finch Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:42 pm

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Don’t let Matt convince you that because Keary dominated kicking next to Lam last year it means Cody Walker will dominate kicking next to Ilias
Different players, different teams, different systems

I looked into his stats. He loves a missed tackle, doesn't seem to to do bulk kicking (Based on NSW Cup). He can goal kick though, average though.

Averages 3 missed tackles per game in NSW Cup, it's not going to be any lower in NRL level. And if he isn't doing at least 50% of the kicking, struggling to see where points come from barring a try/attacking stats.

by WT Winfield Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:43 pm

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Post n°103

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by WT Winfield Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:43 pm

robelgordo wrote:Anything I'm missing?

The average rainfall in Melbourne surpasses Brisbane from late May through to late October. Given that Coates has flippers for hands, I think we'll see a drastic improvement during that time period.

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:44 pm

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Post n°104

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:44 pm

Jele wrote:

Am thinking of paying a bit more for Berry or Cotric

It's tight for me - can just get Berry and just short on Cotric. But I could probably make a downgrade elsewhere if decide it's worth it

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:46 pm

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Post n°105

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:46 pm

WT Winfield wrote:

The average rainfall in Melbourne surpasses Brisbane from late May through to late October. Given that Coates has flippers for hands, I think we'll see a drastic improvement during that time period.

Haha he is the most overrated "aerial threat" I've ever seen

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:47 pm

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Post n°106

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by robelgordo Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:47 pm

mattnz wrote:

If you go Paulo, watch for a potential late switch back to his old wing.

Thanks - if he gets switched with Milne it's 100% Coates for me

by Jele Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:48 pm

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Post n°107

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Jele Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:48 pm

robelgordo wrote:

It's tight for me - can just get Berry and just short on Cotric. But I could probably make a downgrade elsewhere if decide it's worth it

Small sample, but Berry's stats from last year look pretty good at centre. Just trying to work out if he has good job security. Assume Vailea would go first, if Warriors decide to bring Pompey or Arthars in or swing Aitken back to the centres?

by Finch Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:51 pm

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Post n°108

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Finch Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:51 pm

Jele wrote:

Small sample, but Berry's stats from last year look pretty good at centre. Just trying to work out if he has good job security. Assume Vailea would go first, if Warriors decide to bring Pompey or Arthars in or swing Aitken back to the centres?

If Aitken was going to play CTR, he would be there round 1.

by StormTrooper96 Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:52 pm

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Post n°109

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by StormTrooper96 Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:52 pm

precursor wrote:Hmmm. Can go Uto, LoLo and Sexton to Haas, Angus and anyone under 346k. Means playing one of Ilias or Coates though. Seems like a no brainer

Uto - 50 (what many are predicting he will get)
Lolo - 58.4 (historical lock avg over 50 minutes)
Sexton - 45 (being generous with his inflated average, but next to Smith/AJB should be around 45-50)
TOTAL - 153.4

vs

Haas - 64 (last years average, has he wasn't playing 80 minutes a game)
Angus - 58.6 (historical 2RF avg over 60 minutes, becomes 57.7 if we go just Roosters games)
Ilias - 40 (just a random number I reckon he should at least get with kicking, tackling, running.
TOTAL - 162.6

Option 1 - You're praying Uto can kick on and go 50-55 and praying Lolo gets back to his 60+ days. Sexton I think replicates Fogarty and hits 50's.

Option 2 - You get the Angus DPP and Ilias potential to go bigger than 40. Haas I think stays around 64.

Very close IMO

by FalconSloth Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:52 pm

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Post n°110

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by FalconSloth Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:52 pm

I started Paulo over Crichton.

Should I go A Crichton, JTB and J Paulo or Utoikamanu, Fifita/Vailea/Hunt/Smith (Start Ilias) and Latrell (get Crichtons score this week over whatever Paulo gets)

by Holzman Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:53 pm

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Post n°111

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Holzman Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:53 pm

Not sure if this helps but the deciding factor for me picking Coates over Paulo is if Papi is out then you can swing Coates into WFB and then swap Papi to a guy like Sexton

by Aardvark Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:56 pm

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Post n°112

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Aardvark Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:56 pm

Jele wrote:What's Rocco Berry's job security like?

Last decision to make is Berry vs Paulo vs Cotric as a WFB/CTR backup.

I feel like Paulo might be a bust. I know he is slotting into Souths' potent left edge, but (if Taafe is out) Paulo and Mansour are not Gagai and AJ from last year.

I just swapped Paulo out for Berry...It may be a mistake but tbh i feel better even though I have no intention of playing him this week

by Guest Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:58 pm

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Post n°113

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Guest Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:58 pm

another point to Rocco Berry is his name. Great name.

Last edited by WT2K on Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:59 pm; edited 1 time in total

by wolfking Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:59 pm

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Post n°114

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by wolfking Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:59 pm

Looking at the second half of the year, I can see why there's a bit of hype around Uto.

by Aardvark Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:59 pm

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Post n°115

Re: NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 9.1562 - Tago Tuesday

by Aardvark Fri Mar 11, 2022 4:59 pm

Aardvark wrote:

I just swapped Paulo out for Berry...It may be a mistake but tbh i feel better even though I have no intention of playing him this week

Edit....I also looked at their stats and Paulo's did not suggest he was going to kill it. I only picked him in the first place because he was the cheapest DPP and I was fuding around trying to squeeze someone else in (had Cotric originally but 10k is 10k and I reckon Berry and Cotric go about the same)

Man having a shocker today...just quoted myself while trying to edit...is that like referring to yourself in the third person? Shocked