NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 16 - That's a Starling Choice

Jumping Marlin wrote:Here's a summary of cashcows that people have talked about buying this week.  I had a look at what they need to score to make the mystical $150k profit figure.  I've put the summary in the table below.  

I also had a look at how much their price grows and how quickly it grows based on an assumed score each week going forward.  
For example:
> if Ming scores 35 every week going forward his price will ultimately increase by $136k.  But $114k of that happens in the next 3 weeks.
> By contrast, if Startling scores 45 every week he will ultimately go up $172k.  But only $77k in the first 3 weeks.

For this purpose, I used a magic number of 13,500.  This is lower than the current magic number (I think Milchcow said it was just shy of 13,900), but usually the magic number falls pretty quickly early in the season. So I figured this lower MN may be more reasonable for forward looking calcs.

Table:

Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

Also just saw on Instagram that Sione Fainu (Manase's brother, or should I say Latu's) has signed with the Tigers.

Great signing, he's a beast!

mattnz wrote:
Isn't he the 16 year old that signed with Manly for big money?

Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

Also just saw on Instagram that Sione Fainu (Manase's brother, or should I say Latu's) has signed with the Tigers.

Great signing, he's a beast!

Ponga Yeo the Mann wrote:Have watched latu carve up some of my junior knights teams up close. Physically gifted at a young age, good feet, a class above in juniors. Will be interesting to watch his progression

mattnz wrote:

Any word on expected timeframe for Klemmer?

Ponga Yeo the Mann wrote:Are people jumping the gun on tuilagi and trading him out more to due circumstance and keenness rather than him not performing well. 38 in 70 game 1, HIA effected games 2 where tigers made 17 errors (yes you read that right, 17)

We always think trades need to make 100-150k. But in theory they need to make that much more than what tui will make in this instance. Starting second rower who has shown an ability to find the try line. I’m tempted to shift him to starling but clear thinking off season me said he would not rush trades this year unless he was more certain of the advantages

The Bludger#2 wrote:Just crunched some numbers and worked out I can do Tuilagi + Bully > L. Thomson + Starling.
means I can keep Lolo & Watto for Cleary purchase when required.
I'm thinking this may be the way to go - I hate selling a good player, but Tui & Bully seem pretty much spent to me.

Finger Puppet Mafia wrote:Why is everyone selling Tuilagi? Isn't he out injured for one game. Looks like a solid cash generator?

Ponga Yeo the Mann wrote:

He’s looking into having a partial meniscectomy. Quick recovery but 3 weeks minimum and I’d guess 4

Boozecluez wrote:Did you know Jack Hetherington has averaged 75minutes over the past 2 weeks and only 1 penalty

Thats crazy low PPM (Penalty per minute)

Sure it was a sin bin but you can't get penalised when you aren't on the field
Think about it

Ponga Yeo the Mann wrote:Are people jumping the gun on tuilagi and trading him out more to due circumstance and keenness rather than him not performing well. 38 in 70 game 1, HIA effected games 2 where tigers made 17 errors (yes you read that right, 17)

We always think trades need to make 100-150k. But in theory they need to make that much more than what tui will make in this instance. Starting second rower who has shown an ability to find the try line. I’m tempted to shift him to starling but clear thinking off season me said he would not rush trades this year unless he was more certain of the advantages

standard-issue wrote:

I reckon Garner and Tuilagi are 50/50 to start over each other this year regardless of the HIA this week.  Bully more than likely loses his starting spot in the next few weeks.