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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 24 - Stop! Banner Time

    Shady2K
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    Post by Shady2K Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:04 pm

    Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:TU: Dyl Brown, Fifita, Tago

    TD: DCE, Aitken, Tago

    (h2h so no need to worry about byes)

    TD option seems to be the 'safe' option and TU seems to be a punt on form/upside. Just depends on what risk you want

    Just on DCE and Brown, assuming MN is 14,000, at their current prices it's assuming DCE averages 8 points more than Brown. In saying that, Brown's price will go up again while DCE may stay steady and no doubt a punt on Brown continuing his form

    He does have a history of having a hot streak and tapering off (60.4 average from R2-7 last year and end of year average of 51.2, or 61.5 average from R2-5 in 2020 then end of year average of 55.8 which is still pretty good)

    In terms of an eye test, I think Brown passes that easily and you can argue Round 1 is an outlier with 'first game of the year rust' or whatever. And he does have a very good base of tackles with low misses and a strong running game. Also doesn't rely on kick metres so that nerf hasn't affected him

    Saw some comments, not sure if it was here or somewhere else, that he could be this year's Hughes which I can definitely see happening

    Also with DCE, note he has averaged about 5 points higher without Turbo in the side. So something to also take into account in the short-term

    I'm pondering between DCE and Brown myself as options


    Last edited by Shady2K on Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:06 pm; edited 1 time in total
    The Goat Boys
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    Post by The Goat Boys Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:05 pm

    Revraiser wrote:

    Uve updated ur goat ? Solid goat work. 🐐

    Thought it was time for a change of Goats
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:07 pm

    Shady2K wrote:

    TD option seems to be the 'safe' option and TU seems to be a punt on form/upside. Just depends on what risk you want

    Just on DCE and Brown, assuming MN is 14,000, at their current prices it's assuming DCE averages 8 points more than Brown. In saying that, Brown's price will go up again while DCE may stay steady and no doubt a punt on Brown continuing his form

    He does have a history of having a hot streak and tapering off (60.4 average from R2-7 last year and end of year average of 51.2, or 61.5 average from R2-5 in 2020 then end of year average of 55.8 which is still pretty good)

    In terms of an eye test, I think Brown passes that easily and you can argue Round 1 is an outlier with 'first game of the year rust' or whatever. And he does have a very good base of tackles with low misses and a strong running game. Also doesn't rely on kick metres so that nerf hasn't affected him

    Saw some comments, not sure if it was here or somewhere else, that he could be this year's Hughes which I can definitely see happening

    Also with DCE, note he has averaged about 5 points higher without Turbo in the side. So something to also take into account in the short-term

    I'm pondering between DCE and Brown myself as options

    Yeah I was actually mad surpised with everyone going for the TD option. I thought being able to hold Fifita will sway people. I rate Brown too got a really good floor but I suppose DCE has all the runs on the board.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:11 pm

    filthridden wrote:Are people suddenly keen on Koula because they think he'll stay in the backline with Turbo out or are we reallly going to $220k cashouts in round 5?

    Assuming he's named today, he looks good for 4 weeks with Turbo out. Turbo needs surgery and nrl physio thinks that time frame is ambitious, so could get more. Would potentially get rd13 too with Turbo out for origin. He's fast, appears to be first in line for a spot and he's 220k. I'd say the main downside is Manly sucked last year before Turbo was back which could either mean beltings, standing under goal posts, getting dropped or a combination of those.
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:13 pm

    Mulvy wrote:

    Assuming he's named today, he looks good for 4 weeks with Turbo out. Turbo needs surgery and nrl physio thinks that time frame is ambitious, so could get more. Would potentially get rd13 too with Turbo out for origin. He's fast, appears to be first in line for a spot and he's 220k. I'd say the main downside is Manly sucked last year before Turbo was back which could either mean beltings, standing under goal posts, getting dropped or a combination of those.

    Also a high likelihood he averages 20 to 25 on the wing. No Tommy, no Manly.

    But i am still probably going to grab him.

    Think he was on 33 at HT last week. Finished the game on 32 ha.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:14 pm

    mrbrownstone wrote:

    Yeah I don't think he's a bad buy by any stretch, would probably have a good look if I had the funds. Just not quite 'must have' either.

    I agree, not a must have. It's more like a short term relationship (STR).

    Positive STR Definition according to NRLFantasy Coaching for Dummies:

    In the event that a fantasy coach and a player seemingly are attracted to each other but the player may not hold their position in the team for the duration of the season. A (STR) allows the coach and the player to spend as much time together as possible exploring the ups and downs of the fantasy season until said departure date. They shall live each day up until that point with no regret of fear of the future nor the past, allowing both the coach and the player to truly enjoy the current point in time. Aka (the moment).

    Upon departure they will remain friends and always remember the good memories and cash made during the (STR) in hopes they will meet again one day.
    The Goat Boys
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    Post by The Goat Boys Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:15 pm

    Lachlan Croker said today that there might be some surprises in Manly`s teamlist .

    Koula to Fullback Surely cheer
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:17 pm

    The Goat Boys wrote:Lachlan Croker said today that there might be some surprises in Manly`s teamlist .

    Koula to Fullback Surely cheer

    The Schuster is back
    The Goat Boys
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    Post by The Goat Boys Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:17 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    The Schuster is back

    That makes more sense
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:19 pm

    The Goat Boys wrote:Lachlan Croker said today that there might be some surprises in Manly`s teamlist .

    Koula to Fullback Surely cheer

    Saab legally changed his surname to Bugatti?
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:19 pm

    The surprise is probably that they name Tommy Turbo at fullback because Des loves to do that kind of crap.
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    Post by Aardvark Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:21 pm

    The Goat Boys wrote:Lachlan Croker said today that there might be some surprises in Manly`s teamlist .

    Koula to Fullback Surely cheer

    Dylan Walker playing full back again, while Schuster fills in on the wing and Koula is the bench utility........Des
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:21 pm

    The Goat Boys wrote:Lachlan Croker said today that there might be some surprises in Manly`s teamlist .

    Koula to Fullback Surely cheer

    Bully named at FB only to fully drop out of the 17 on game day.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:22 pm

    Koula is a fullback though, right?
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    Post by Aardvark Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:22 pm

    Mulvy wrote:Koula is a fullback though, right?

    Yep, so the obvious spot for him is bench utility
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    Post by Slippery Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:29 pm

    If Moale is named in the absence of Nicholls, will anyone pivot to him as opposed to Koula?


    Last edited by Slippery on Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:43 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post by Fortitude Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:31 pm

    Some may say, May is in career best form. I’m backing him to Make me money.
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    Post by ShadowSabre Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:36 pm

    Koula selction permitting I am settled on DFifi and Jing to Cleary a+ Koula.
    Sorts out having Cleary and removes the pain in the ass DFifi.
    Will be sad to see Jing go, but happy with his 150+ rise in value.
    Even if Fifita does me dirty and pulls finger this week, just as likely to dud the following 3 again, whereas Cleary should be good for that run on the weekend.
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    Post by Aardvark Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:36 pm

    Slippery wrote:If Moale is named in the absence of Nicholls, will anyone pivot to him as apposed to Koula?

    Maybe, but my quota of bench props is probably already filled
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:36 pm

    Slippery wrote:If Moale is named in the absence of Nicholls, will anyone pivot to him as apposed to Koula?

    I like the cut of his jib, but I already have two bench props, and I'm likely not the only one.

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