HomeBMM
Stone
Warbrick
Thompson
Pick one.
Stone
Warbrick
Thompson
Pick one.
NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
filthridden- Moderator
- Posts : 19241
Reputation : 12118
Join date : 2015-09-27
- Post n°701
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by filthridden Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:34 pm
Liverpool_Bulldog- Fanatic
- Posts : 19477
Reputation : 6801
Join date : 2016-02-14
Location : New Zealand
- Post n°702
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:35 pm
Trades so far are looking like
HSS > Lemuelu
EButch > Turbo.
Moves Warbrick down to 18-21. Option B would be Doorey > Lemuelu and moving HSS down to 18-21 aswell. Gives me CTR and WFB cover if needed
HSS > Lemuelu
EButch > Turbo.
Moves Warbrick down to 18-21. Option B would be Doorey > Lemuelu and moving HSS down to 18-21 aswell. Gives me CTR and WFB cover if needed
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13130
Reputation : 9661
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
- Post n°703
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by robelgordo Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:35 pm
Reklaw wrote:
Maybe some of you guys could post your pools to cheer me up? Surely MTB has one, he also owns a whole website
Used my pool on Sunday, just line drying it now
filthridden- Moderator
- Posts : 19241
Reputation : 12118
Join date : 2015-09-27
- Post n°704
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by filthridden Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:37 pm
Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
My daughter has a blue plastic shell that we fill up every now and again. I don’t think it counts as a large pool so NullNull is on my shopping list
I bought an inflatable one a few years back for a particularly hot summer.
Conversation at the shop went something like:
"Do you have any of those little inflatable pools?"
"Yeah we've got a few different ones, how big are the children?"
"I'm the children."
Guest- Guest
filthridden wrote:BMM
Stone
Warbrick
Thompson
Pick one.
If it’s for this week only I’m picking Warbrick up against the Tigers.
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13130
Reputation : 9661
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
- Post n°706
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by robelgordo Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:37 pm
my tv broke wrote:
Great topic to get us through to TLT. I look forward to reading about everyones pools.
I, unfortunately, do not have a pool, not even a pool table.
I did build a deck a couple of years ago, i think that gives me some big man internets points, or something, i hope. At very least, it gives me something to sit outside on.
No deck pics
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13130
Reputation : 9661
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
- Post n°707
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by robelgordo Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:38 pm
filthridden wrote:BMM
Stone
Warbrick
Thompson
Pick one.
Warbrick - due a try
Guest- Guest
my tv broke wrote:
Great topic to get us through to TLT. I look forward to reading about everyones pools.
I, unfortunately, do not have a pool, not even a pool table.
I did build a deck a couple of years ago, i think that gives me some big man internets points, or something, i hope. At very least, it gives me something to sit outside on.
How big is this deck you’re sitting on?
Reklaw- Posts : 959
Reputation : 453
Join date : 2017-06-08
Pools and decks aside, anyone have the formula to calculate predicted price gain/loss? dusted off my spreadsheet for the first time this year and its a bit broken
Dttragic2016- Posts : 1298
Reputation : 962
Join date : 2016-02-24
Location : Sydney
- Post n°710
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by Dttragic2016 Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:44 pm
Really keen to hear some opinions on Kiraz v Turbo.
Looking at the top 5k ownership % - Kiraz is at 2% ownership v Turbo at 32%
Looking at Turbo's avg at fullback in 2019 (53) and 2022 (38) in games over 70 mins is interesting. He's obviously started 2023 well and all footy fans would be hoping he gets a clean run without injuries. Manly have also had their bye so we could potentially see 10 rounds of Turbo in a row potentially averaging 50-55.
Looking at Kiraz, he averages 42 in games on the wing over the last year or so. So at first glance you're thinking Turbo should average around 10 more points than Kiraz. The stats that stand our for Kiraz are run metres, tackle breaks and offloads. Being a winger for a side that's been hot and cold for the last 12 months - they have been erratic.
I think the sensible play is to obviously got Turbo. But if you think the few rounds that the Dogs put together in the middle of 2022 with Burton hitting a purple patch can be repeated with Kikau and Mahoney at the club and TPJ set to return - then I think it could potentially be a risk worth taking.
I've never had a good start to a season (atleast not top 1k like I am now!) and love taking risks so I think I'm leaning towards Kiraz here. Worst case scenario - he averages around 35-40 for a month while Turbo kills it. This would really suck.
But I think the potential for Kiraz to go around 45-50 while Turbo averages around 50. Or the Dogs hitting a purple patch while Turbo has an injury (not hoping for this obviously). Or even if their averages have a 2-4 point gap rather than 10 and Kiraz to gun it during the Origin period while Tom is away.
A lot of scenarios where owning Kiraz at 2% v Turbo at 30+ % could pay off.
PS. I know this is a poorly worded version of Matt's pro Kiraz posts earlier haha but I do love the variety of opinions on here!
PPS. Anyone got another PODish WFB/HLF/HOK option? I'm leaning towards Starling and Kiraz atm.
Looking at the top 5k ownership % - Kiraz is at 2% ownership v Turbo at 32%
Looking at Turbo's avg at fullback in 2019 (53) and 2022 (38) in games over 70 mins is interesting. He's obviously started 2023 well and all footy fans would be hoping he gets a clean run without injuries. Manly have also had their bye so we could potentially see 10 rounds of Turbo in a row potentially averaging 50-55.
Looking at Kiraz, he averages 42 in games on the wing over the last year or so. So at first glance you're thinking Turbo should average around 10 more points than Kiraz. The stats that stand our for Kiraz are run metres, tackle breaks and offloads. Being a winger for a side that's been hot and cold for the last 12 months - they have been erratic.
I think the sensible play is to obviously got Turbo. But if you think the few rounds that the Dogs put together in the middle of 2022 with Burton hitting a purple patch can be repeated with Kikau and Mahoney at the club and TPJ set to return - then I think it could potentially be a risk worth taking.
I've never had a good start to a season (atleast not top 1k like I am now!) and love taking risks so I think I'm leaning towards Kiraz here. Worst case scenario - he averages around 35-40 for a month while Turbo kills it. This would really suck.
But I think the potential for Kiraz to go around 45-50 while Turbo averages around 50. Or the Dogs hitting a purple patch while Turbo has an injury (not hoping for this obviously). Or even if their averages have a 2-4 point gap rather than 10 and Kiraz to gun it during the Origin period while Tom is away.
A lot of scenarios where owning Kiraz at 2% v Turbo at 30+ % could pay off.
PS. I know this is a poorly worded version of Matt's pro Kiraz posts earlier haha but I do love the variety of opinions on here!
PPS. Anyone got another PODish WFB/HLF/HOK option? I'm leaning towards Starling and Kiraz atm.
Liverpool_Bulldog- Fanatic
- Posts : 19477
Reputation : 6801
Join date : 2016-02-14
Location : New Zealand
- Post n°711
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:45 pm
I think there is a website that some smart fellow made that helps with thatReklaw wrote:Pools and decks aside, anyone have the formula to calculate predicted price gain/loss? dusted off my spreadsheet for the first time this year and its a bit broken
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25408
Reputation : 17833
Join date : 2015-07-31
filthridden wrote:Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
My daughter has a blue plastic shell that we fill up every now and again. I don’t think it counts as a large pool so NullNull is on my shopping list
I bought an inflatable one a few years back for a particularly hot summer.
Conversation at the shop went something like:
"Do you have any of those little inflatable pools?"
"Yeah we've got a few different ones, how big are the children?"
"I'm the children."
I hired a jumping castle for my 40th birthday party. No regrets and would do it again.
(to be fair, whilst the grownups did use it, it was mostly for the kids)
Guest- Guest
.Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
I think there is a website that some smart fellow made that helps with that
Do you have a link to that website please?
Liverpool_Bulldog- Fanatic
- Posts : 19477
Reputation : 6801
Join date : 2016-02-14
Location : New Zealand
- Post n°714
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:50 pm
Genderbender wrote:
.
Do you have a link to that website please?
Reklaw- Posts : 959
Reputation : 453
Join date : 2017-06-08
my tv broke wrote:
Great topic to get us through to TLT. I look forward to reading about everyones pools.
I, unfortunately, do not have a pool, not even a pool table.
I did build a deck a couple of years ago, i think that gives me some big man internets points, or something, i hope. At very least, it gives me something to sit outside on.
My condolences on the lack of pool. Aren't you in qld? I thought every house came with a pool. You should swing your deck around a little more though.
mattnz- Fanatic
- Posts : 19887
Reputation : 7191
Join date : 2018-03-11
Location : Your pool
Dttragic2016 wrote:Really keen to hear some opinions on Kiraz v Turbo.
Looking at the top 5k ownership % - Kiraz is at 2% ownership v Turbo at 32%
Looking at Turbo's avg at fullback in 2019 (53) and 2022 (38) in games over 70 mins is interesting. He's obviously started 2023 well and all footy fans would be hoping he gets a clean run without injuries. Manly have also had their bye so we could potentially see 10 rounds of Turbo in a row potentially averaging 50-55.
Looking at Kiraz, he averages 42 in games on the wing over the last year or so. So at first glance you're thinking Turbo should average around 10 more points than Kiraz. The stats that stand our for Kiraz are run metres, tackle breaks and offloads. Being a winger for a side that's been hot and cold for the last 12 months - they have been erratic.
I think the sensible play is to obviously got Turbo. But if you think the few rounds that the Dogs put together in the middle of 2022 with Burton hitting a purple patch can be repeated with Kikau and Mahoney at the club and TPJ set to return - then I think it could potentially be a risk worth taking.
I've never had a good start to a season (atleast not top 1k like I am now!) and love taking risks so I think I'm leaning towards Kiraz here. Worst case scenario - he averages around 35-40 for a month while Turbo kills it. This would really suck.
But I think the potential for Kiraz to go around 45-50 while Turbo averages around 50. Or the Dogs hitting a purple patch while Turbo has an injury (not hoping for this obviously). Or even if their averages have a 2-4 point gap rather than 10 and Kiraz to gun it during the Origin period while Tom is away.
A lot of scenarios where owning Kiraz at 2% v Turbo at 30+ % could pay off.
PS. I know this is a poorly worded version of Matt's pro Kiraz posts earlier haha but I do love the variety of opinions on here!
PPS. Anyone got another PODish WFB/HLF/HOK option? I'm leaning towards Starling and Kiraz atm.
Starling has consistently been a trap. If Woolford is anywhere in the 17, I would suggest avoiding him.
Brailey is at the same price point, discounted, and gets 80 minutes each week.
SoylentGreen- Posts : 3907
Reputation : 2144
Join date : 2016-01-21
Location : The Deep North
- Post n°717
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by SoylentGreen Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:50 pm
If IKatoa is out (and Trindall is unplayable) I'll be running a bench of Preston, Warbrick, HSS and AKP 
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13130
Reputation : 9661
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
- Post n°718
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by robelgordo Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:52 pm
Reklaw wrote:Pools and decks aside, anyone have the formula to calculate predicted price gain/loss? dusted off my spreadsheet for the first time this year and its a bit broken
Check this thread: https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t128-fantasy-resources
ForanAgainst- Posts : 1840
Reputation : 1159
Join date : 2016-02-03
Age : 44
Location : Brisbane
- Post n°719
Re: NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 19 - Doueihi or Don't he
by ForanAgainst Tue Mar 21, 2023 12:53 pm
SoylentGreen wrote:If IKatoa is out (and Trindall is unplayable) I'll be running a bench of Preston, Warbrick, HSS and AKP
Let this be the round that they all score 40+. After all, we’re living in a fantasy world.
mattnz- Fanatic
- Posts : 19887
Reputation : 7191
Join date : 2018-03-11
Location : Your pool
SoylentGreen wrote:If IKatoa is out (and Trindall is unplayable) I'll be running a bench of Preston, Warbrick, HSS and AKP
Why would Katoa be out?
I am seriously looking at adding some cheap depth this week to avoid such situations.
Similar topics