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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 10 - Not enough Raiders

    Jumping Marlin
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    Post by Jumping Marlin Fri Mar 08, 2024 4:58 pm

    Is ynots optimiser working for anyone? [If it is, I'll keep exploring the human error problems at my end]
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Fri Mar 08, 2024 4:58 pm

    Damn I thought Tauapiki was almost basement price, not almost $400K
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    Post by Finch Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:01 pm

    Sharks & Warriors both 1-18 (I think?)
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    Post by whall15 Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:01 pm

    Both teams 1-17
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:03 pm

    One of Ponga's games without Hastings last year that I could easily find was round 25 with Clune at halfback.

    Ponga had 37 touches in that game, 2 less than last night
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    Post by kamikamicameleons Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:04 pm

    lukeayee wrote:

    I'm mid 30s.

    I'm not in category A. I think there is an area between a and b and that's where I exist. I watch what I say, but I'm not particulary bothered if people slip up from time to time. Intention matters.

    Do people "slip up" and say things they don't really mean though? I've never "accidentally" said anything racist. But maybe that's just me. I personally believe that anything people say "accidentally", usually when they're boozed is something they mean deep down
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:05 pm

    @White Lightning or any Dogs fan what do we project mins wise for Salmon?

    Trying to work out which 2 to play out of Kini Flanno Salmon and Jackie Chan
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:09 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:@White Lightning or any Dogs fan what do we project mins wise for Salmon?

    Trying to work out which 2 to play out of Kini Flanno Salmon and Jackie Chan

    Brother, no one knows.

    Im playing salmon and karate kini. Jackie chan in nprs.
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:10 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:@White Lightning or any Dogs fan what do we project mins wise for Salmon?

    Trying to work out which 2 to play out of Kini Flanno Salmon and Jackie Chan

    no clue my guess 30-35 mins 1st half 15-20 mins 2nd half
    i'd play kini & 1 of salmon or chan
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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:16 pm

    Boozecluez wrote:

    Risky business but it still cleared the zipper, 0kitb

    Cook
    Cheese Salmon Tupouniua
    Piakura Wong
    Cleary Hynes
    Btrbo Strange
    Teddy Trbo Ponga

    Papy Rapana Kini Chan

    Levi Cotric Galvin SHughes

    Had Hutch at halfback with plans to use injuries/Kini/Rapana as rentals for the week
    Another sensible thing would be to downgrade to moses + 200k and turn perhaps Kini into May next week
    The potential is massive for this to go tits up but sometimes you have to bet on red a 10th time

    But will probably hold and roll with this for fun

    Should change the team name to Fullbacks. You are expecting a significant points bump with the new rules?
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    Post by L-Jimmy Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:17 pm

    Yeah, if you get kini it's because you're expecting him to score well and rise in price. So you should play him.
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    Post by Boozecluez Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:19 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    Should change the team name to Fullbacks. You are expecting a significant points bump with the new rules?

    I had Taine as well but ran out of cash
    Just wanted to see how it looked with them, somehow slotted in Hynes and just left it

    To be honest I found it hard to leave some players out so I simply didnt haha
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:19 pm

    I'm playing Salmon and Jackie, but thought about playing Flanno over the latter. Not sure if Jackie gets subbed or carved up by Panthers, or both.. Expecting Dragons and Titans to be more high scoring, but whether that translates into fantasy points for Flanno is probably wishful thinking. I'll just be happy with 35s.
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    Post by FaringdonSwirl Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:20 pm

    BaldShitTruck wrote:On the subject...

    Does anyone else have a wife/partner who plays Fantasy?

    Mine does, my main objective this season is first and foremost not to finish behind her.

    Yep mine does and is better than me more often than not. She lurks the forum here and is in one of the h2h leagues - BigNinesFan.
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:21 pm

    out of all the elite fb's on show in round 1 latrell leads the way comfortably he's 27 points ahead of 2nd turbo...all the elite fb's have played imo i don't consider pappy, edwards or drinkwater elite fb's
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    Post by Reklaw Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:21 pm

    TU: Tohu + Galvin (npr - means Chan/Strange is 17th man) + $67k
    TD: Luki + Flanno (dont have to play Chan) + $186k to fix mistakes next week

    could be a bit silly missing both Cotter and Luki, but I like Luki's potential
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:24 pm

    Boozecluez wrote:

    Risky business but it still cleared the zipper, 0kitb

    Cook
    Cheese Salmon Tupouniua
    Piakura Wong
    Cleary Hynes
    Btrbo Strange
    Teddy Trbo Ponga

    Papy Rapana Kini Chan

    Levi Cotric Galvin SHughes

    Had Hutch at halfback with plans to use injuries/Kini/Rapana as rentals for the week
    Another sensible thing would be to downgrade to moses + 200k and turn perhaps Kini into May next week
    The potential is massive for this to go tits up but sometimes you have to bet on red a 10th time

    But will probably hold and roll with this for fun

    I like it. Go with what you like and those weeks when they all kill it together you will be jizzing
    whall15
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    Post by whall15 Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:27 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    For individual players? I bet we see lots of mispricing that is easy to spot

    Just looking at it now.

    The scoring system is

    4 - per point scored 10 - per try assist 1 - per 10 run metres (rounded down to nearest 10) 5 - per linebreak 1 - per tackle Settled on NRL.com statistics.

    The line is at 71.5 for Cleary - so without kick metres or a lot of attacking stats, seems very high at first glance, then again I guess we don't score per point scored.

    Cleary averages 0.9 try assists a game last year so say 1 - that's 10 points.

    128 running metres a game - so 12 points there.

    0.3 line breaks a game - so nothing there.

    18 tackles a game - so that's 18 points.

    Adds up to 40 points.

    At 4 points per point scored he needs to score 8 points to get the 32 points needed to get over.

    averages 4 goals a game so that's 8 right there, hitting the 72 mark exactly.

    So it seems like they've priced it from last season's stats just on averages, at least for Cleary.
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:33 pm

    Both teams still 1-17 for eels vs bulldogs at the 24hr mark, altho of interest, Connor Tracey has survived the cut in reserves.
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    Post by WT Winfield Fri Mar 08, 2024 5:33 pm

    No changes to the 17 for Eels and Dogs cut. Connor Tracey still in reserves, there's hope for a Taaffe-less weekend still.

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