NRL Fantasy 2018 Thread Part 34

If he goes 50+ in the next two he will make roughly 120k in those two games.
Might be worth it.

Joey Superior wrote:

Now a question of going

A)
Macca > Matterson
Rochow > Rein

B)
Macca > Matterson
Rochow > Dugan

I'd go with B.
You get two potential keepers, plus the Rein train is a risk if you haven't already got him... as in, if he only gets one more week then onto the bench you probably haven't made enough money out of the trade.

Dugan is always a risk but is OK as long as you have at least something backing him up.

wolfking wrote:

I don't know if Rein is still a target unless you are confident he will get at least 3 more weeks.

If Rein keeps playing this good maybe they could possibly wait till Peats is 100% or maybe they share the minutes a bit more while Peats gets back into it

SoylentGreen wrote:

Any chance of this role continuing?

Seemed strange but he did alright. Who knows if its going to continue.

StormTrooper96 wrote:

If Rein keeps playing this good maybe they could possibly wait till Peats is 100% or maybe they share the minutes a bit more while Peats gets back into it

True. Same as a Doueihi situation too that once he goes back to the bench BE should be low enough to still get a price rise or two, with more minutes than what Doueihi got obviously.

Someone commented that they didn't think Rein's service from dummy half was very good.
I thought it was decent if not spectacular.

What are other peoples thoughts of his performance, fantasy aside?

filthridden wrote:

I'd go with B.
You get two potential keepers, plus the Rein train is a risk if you haven't already got him... as in, if he only gets one more week then onto the bench you probably haven't made enough money out of the trade.

Dugan is always a risk but is OK as long as you have at least something backing him up.

I hear what you're saying, 50/50 on dugan, he can perform just his history of injuries scare me.

Going rein instead of dug will give me $181 in the bank as well as reins price rises compare to dugan with $7k left...

Could get Dugan and Aubbs in for set and forget centres which would be nice but yuk!

Krump wrote:Could get Dugan and Aubbs in for set and forget centres which would be nice but yuk!

Are we calling Maubbs a set and forget centre?

filthridden wrote:Someone commented that they didn't think Rein's service from dummy half was very good.
I thought it was decent if not spectacular.

What are other peoples thoughts of his performance, fantasy aside?

pretty decent, had a few good runs late in the second half on the back of quick play the balls. shows he has a good eye for gaps and is fit. work rate was also even throughout the game unlike smith who goes missing in the second half.

his defensive combo with arrow is great for fantasy viewing, as they both love the third man in legs tackle. just one game though, hoping he continues

filthridden wrote:

Are we calling Maubbs a set and forget centre?

If he plays 80 every game he seems like one of those guys that can just find work. Could be wrong but can't turn ya nose up at a 40 in base stats

StormTrooper96 wrote:

If Rein keeps playing this good maybe they could possibly wait till Peats is 100% or maybe they share the minutes a bit more while Peats gets back into it

Rein's fantasy points didn't translate to his actual performance on the field. They will get Peats in ASAP. IMO, i think that Rein boat has well and truly left the dock.

filthridden wrote:

Are we calling Maubbs a set and forget centre?

If he stays there for 80 minutes each week then yes, I would.

18 pages behind so not sure if posted but Harris out this week

Finch wrote:18 pages behind so not sure if posted but Harris out this week

Yes.

Another option I'm looking at is Marsters. Could he be classified as a keeper in the centres?

Dugan "breaks" all my usual rules but I've fallen off the pace with bad decisions so may as well double down

CHN (when he goes back to 2RF) and Aubbs in my centers would be the dream pair.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

If he plays 80 every game he seems like one of those guys that can just find work. Could be wrong but can't turn ya nose up at a 40 in base stats

that roosters/bulldogs game was crazy defensively with hardly any stoppages and low scoring. the tackles were high all round. matterson with 65 on one side and cordner with 50 on the other. 

agreed he doesnt shy away from work. he avgd 32 in 7 games at centre last year (28,15,41,57,40,21,23) career avg a little lower at 30 so he may gain a little cash. he might take cordners edge in the first bye

Things I'll be watching (and researching) for this week are mainly split into guns and cows. Only thing I know for sure is that Fifita is a great FRF keeper option. Locked in for me. Issue will be who to get rid of but looks like Lodge at this point. Most of these will likely be film study for this weeks games as it'll be madness trying to figure it out on paper beforehand.....

Guns:

- Surgess and his judiciary case is a real pain but my gut feeling is that when he played prop for the bunnies the scores were never quite at a keeper level (45-50 from memory). Reasoning that the 10-15 less minutes he plays at prop than he does at Lock affects it. Would love to see him hitting 50+ but with Murray at lock I'm not sure this happens. Last week didn't show me anything I didn't know about him at lock but until he's put there or I get more games with him and Murray together I won't be buying. Add Crichton to this and I think its a bit of a St George esque situation with not enough fantasy goodness to go around for all 3. Same reason I'm not keen for JDB, Vaughn or Graham)
- LoLo only had last season where he was an out and out gun. Think TBs are a bigger base stat for Hess who is on quite the run of form. Need to watch more Cowboys games.
- Mannering became a gun when he transitioned to lock. Played 2nd row last week and showed just below gun scoring level. Has a high BE again so will watch and see.
- Josh McGuire could be a slightly undervalued option if he goes closer to 80 minutes (20 at hooker and 60 at lock. More likely to sub to the prop and get a 10-15 minute spell but should pump out solid 50+ efforts with regularity for a while. Bit of a POD trade in. Same boat as Taupau who shows some value and could improve with Manly (Both around 10% ownership but hoping that's more casuals than top 2500 teams)
- In the same trend Bird although horrible against the storm could get the extended time in the halves he needs to win the job and provide stabe (if uninspiring CTR scores).
- Matterson's game script wont always be this favourable. Looks like he's playing 80 though and with my previous looks/stats that makes him a keeper. Price isn't an issue (will vary +/-50k) but with the top halves as they are (SJ = injured (warriors have started strong and seems to be carrying niggles), DCE = Manly struggles = and losing cash (Koro is similar and I rate him lower), Cleary is a ways off and the rest of the half options aren't in the same league (Hunt, Widdop, Milford, Walker, Mbye, Brooks, Guth, Munster, Reynolds) so he looks the goods.
- Dugan will be there later this season but could be far pricier or injured (50-50 really). I don't typically pick up a CTR this early but he's mighty tempting over the usual Kennar, Isaako, Hiku roulette and he seem to be involved.
- Nathan Brown could make his way into my team purely by his price and value proposition. I really need to find out/rank who the gun 2RFs are and work around getting them in. Jurbo is about the only guy I have as locked in. Might write up a separate piece on this later (I have Arrow in my FRF keepers with Fifita and Matterson as previously discussed as a HLF). Guys like Kikau, JFH, Murray and RFM are making sliding these decisions back easier but still think there will be a gap at seasons end and figuring out where it will be is the issue.
- Although he's gone quiet recently, I'll take a look at RTS and see if I can figure out where he ranks in the WFB. Rapana and Gutherson are in a similar boat. Few more bad games and they might almost be considered cash cows.

Cows:
- Nicholls is chugging along nicely and if Surgess is out for 2 or 3 weeks should peak nicely. Doesn't get enough game time if Murray and Burgess are in the squad.
- Sharks rotations and injury news. With a base of 69 points Sorensen is a great cow if he can be guaranteed 3+ weeks. Even if he plugs 35 average from here thats worth 160k. Will require some guessing games post team lists and sweating on injury news. Sharks play mid round for the next two weeks which doesn't help the expected shelf life.
- Broncos forward minutes may change. McGuire to HOK with Nikorima probably doesn't free anything up for Lodge, TPJ, Sua or even Hass. but it might make Nikorima worth a look with a 60 minute hooking role.
- Eels halves wont face Manly every week but as a bye round option Moses and Norman could have some upside. Jacks is in a similar boat but probably doesn't have enough cash in him from a risk/reward perspective.
- Without Pearce running the show someone in the Knights halves will be great value. I just have no idea who that is. Hopefully Watson is back and we get some idea who is preffered there for job security. All have high BEs bar Cogger.
- Friend is losing cash fast. Will take some time to consider him as his form has been inconsistent. A hooker with his history is tempting at 500-600k.
- Aubbs is super cheap for a reason but with minutes he's a good enough player to be a cow from here. Just not sure where those minutes will come from normally.

Others:
- Feel like there aren't a lot of strong cow options at this point. Team lists will help me figure this out but might have a look at my current team value and guessing how far I m away from my final team. Also might try tinkering with my final team a bit depending on how wide the cash gap is. Feel like its time to cash out of the first wave (Lodge, Rochow, Thompson, Kikau, RFM, Havili etc.) but haven't seen the next wave of cows yet. Guys like Gallen or keeping RFM might be more appealing once I do this

TLDR: Focusing less on the cows now. Have 25 trades left and most of the cash I need (few duds won't hurt too much). Need to start finding the right guns (both on price and points potential) to bring in and nail down where I'm trading to (i.e. final 17) ASAP.