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    2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 3

    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Mon Feb 04, 2019 6:29 am

    Currently 3. Macca, Fifita, Arrow
    GreenMachine
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    Post by GreenMachine Mon Feb 04, 2019 6:33 am

    Mulvy wrote:When/how the fuck did Bryce Cartwright end up in my team!?

    Yeah I turned him into Fensom just because his name and DPP makes me feel so much warmer inside
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Mon Feb 04, 2019 6:39 am

    For the older Lads on here, what were your thoughts on Jonathan Davies when he used to play?
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:02 am

    Bagpipe wrote:This year is fantastic for value in the 2nd row as you all would have seen already. Assuming they all get a run in the starting 13.

    If you had to keep four of the following who would you keep - Stimson, Sorensen, Arrow, Murray, Whitehead, Matterson, Papali'i, Gillett. Oh and I'll add Aubo because he is an angel sent down from the very heavens to pay for our fantasy sins jocolor

    Stimson, Arrow, Murray, Matterson
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:09 am

    Chewie wrote:

    When are you going to win this competition MS? You seem to have stacks of background knowhow...

    Must be time for a top 10 finish

    I've had a top 20 run and was Ferguson drinking on the roof away from top 5. Once you get into the top 500 it is entirely luck.
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:12 am

    KalkadoonWarrior wrote:

    She can... however the police reserve the right to charge him if they have sufficient evidence, so if this was all caught on cctv it doesn’t matter what she does. This is actually quite usual nowadays, women realise once sober they’re the asshole who made the mess and try drop charges. They changed the rules so that regardless the police can charge. Bye bye Benny unfortunately, my team is screwed before a ball gets kicked.

    Holy shit dude, you need to educate yourself in domestic abuse. That's the sort of comment that perpetuates this shit even more - unbelievable!
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:17 am

    Chewie wrote:

    When are you going to win this competition MS? You seem to have stacks of background knowhow...

    Must be time for a top 10 finish

    He's been there, done that a few times.
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:20 am

    KalkadoonWarrior wrote:


    You couldn’t be more wrong... the first post does say that and it is a broad sweeping statement and I still stand by it, (Dylan Walker, non indigenous, footy player, lives in Sydney... literally just happened) so it does happen everywhere and it is quite common. The second comes from the personal experiences I’ve witnessed to further prove my point (which was asked for). Anyway your “ire” comes from the statement women realising they’re the asshole and dropping the charges which is hilarious. The fact that there’s countless photos and statements through these threads sexually objectifying woman goes unchecked but the fact a drunk woman can be a regrettable asshole is where you draw your line. If you don’t believe this happens you’re delusional, whether it’s right or wrong isn’t my point the fact it happens is. We can just agree to disagree because I don’t see any logic forthcoming.

    One example (or one persons experiences) doesn't make it common mate. Go check that statistics, the research, the facts. There is one main reason women withdraw charges in these situations and it aint the one that you are saying bro.
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:22 am

    Does running more middle forwards than edge forwards concern anyone? Last year most of the edges started well while the middles seemed to get shorter stints and rotate more often. We saw the likes of Fifita(49.5 average), Taupau(49.5 average), Taumalolo(47 average), NBrown (45.75 average) all start the year below par while the likes of Coen Hess(57.25 average), Tohu Harris(53.25), Crichton(53.75 average), RFM(48.5 average) all produced at a higher level for the first 4 weeks. Based on that is anyone leaning towards starting with more edge forward options?
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:22 am

    Currently have Whitehead and Stimson as the only really pricey guys (400k+) on my bench with a whole bevy of cows.

    Not sure if that's too many cows?
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:25 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Does running more middle forwards than edge forwards concern anyone? Last year most of the edges started well while the middles seemed to get shorter stints and rotate more often. We saw the likes of Fifita(49.5 average), Taupau(49.5 average), Taumalolo(47 average), NBrown (45.75 average) all start the year below par while the likes of Coen Hess(57.25 average), Tohu Harris(53.25), Crichton(53.75 average), RFM(48.5 average) all produced at a higher level for the first 4 weeks. Based on that is anyone leaning towards starting with more edge forward options?

    I currently have 3 middles (TPJ, Arrow, Murray) & 3 edge (Surgess, Kikau, Stimson)
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:33 am

    Is anyone taking into account the heat factor re their forward selections. Every year at season start is hot & it takes the big boys 3-4 games to get match fit but if this year's heat wave which has produced record high temperatures continues into March then the big boys/middles may get more of a rest than usual. This means if they're playing less mins e.g. a prop may play 35 mins instead of 40 mins, it could take them another couple of weeks i.e. 5-6 games to reach full match fitness.
    GreenMachine
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    Post by GreenMachine Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:35 am

    mattnz wrote:I am having a really hard time trying to separate a lot of the value players available. I have decided to use my own value based decision tool to help decide.

    It is based on the following:
    1. Every player has a base cost of at least $212,000. The salary cap isnt really $9.6M, but $9.6M - (21x212,000) = $5,148,000. This is the discretionary spending that you have above base cost.
    2. Every player in consideration should at a minimum be getting 20 points per game.

    My formula for True Dollars Per Extra Point (TDPEP) is therefore:
    TDPEP = (Player cost - $212,000) / (Expected Average Score - 20)

    Our job is to maximize the TDPEP of our squad to get the most amount of points within our discretionary spend budget.

    Those at base cost are effectively free, as they don't use any discretionary spending.

    Love this!

    I generally overcomplicate my rating system for FPL and have never done anything scientific at all in NRL, but this really strikes a chord as perfect way to combine judgement of expected points/average with a bang-for-buck rating.

    Might need a bonusing system or 2, for explosiveness for example, or even high floor (ie deviation from expected Ave).
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:44 am

    Mulvy wrote:How many 700k+ guys are in you're team? I've only got four at present and that kinda feels like one to many looking at the rest of the squad.

    Smith, Cleary, Turbo and Macca at the moment. Surgess and RTS knocking on the door of 700k
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    Post by Guest Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:05 am

    McCullough, Fifita, Tapau, Jurbo, Pearce, Teddy are my $700k+ picks atm. It could be top heavy. Too far away from TLT to worry though. Everyone will be changing their teams based on what happens with the Cowboys and Storm FBs, Warriors, Dragons, Broncos, Parra halves, Panthers and Parra hooker spots. There’s potentially cows galore, but like every season you’ll need to pick the right ones.

    Bring on the trials!
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:31 am

    Finally caught up, you blokes have been going nuts for the last couple of weeks!
    Thanks to everyone for the healthy debates, has helped shaped my preseason thoughts.

    Guys I'm running with at this stage:
    Offa, jbrom, Murray, Stimson, Morgan, Capewell, dedwards, Mansour.
    Cheapies tlt dependant.

    Which two guns are you looking at as captain and vice options? I'm thinking Smith captain with no origin and no Cronk and Slater and probably vice Arrow to begin the season!
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    Post by Krump Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:40 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Does running more middle forwards than edge forwards concern anyone? Last year most of the edges started well while the middles seemed to get shorter stints and rotate more often. We saw the likes of Fifita(49.5 average), Taupau(49.5 average), Taumalolo(47 average), NBrown (45.75 average) all start the year below par while the likes of Coen Hess(57.25 average), Tohu Harris(53.25), Crichton(53.75 average), RFM(48.5 average) all produced at a higher level for the first 4 weeks. Based on that is anyone leaning towards starting with more edge forward options?

    White Lightning wrote:Is anyone taking into account the heat factor re their forward selections. Every year at season start is hot & it takes the big boys 3-4 games to get match fit but if this year's heat wave which has produced record high temperatures continues into March then the big boys/middles may get more of a rest than usual. This means if they're playing less mins e.g. a prop may play 35 mins instead of 40 mins, it could take them another couple of weeks i.e. 5-6 games to reach full match fitness.
    Definitely considering it with regards to guns, not as much with value picks. Planning on not starting with Cook or Smith left me with Fifita as a default C option but I got bitten pretty hard starting last year with gun forwards.
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    Post by mattnz Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:51 am

    Welshy wrote:Arrow, Tedesco and Macca for me! But waivering between swapping Arrow with Surgess

    Surgess is an interesting one. Need to evaluate him further. Under Bennett can see him getting big minutes.
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    Post by my tv broke Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:58 am

    Honey Badger wrote:Sure i read somewhere that moga will be eased back via NSW cup

    Yeah I saw it mentioned by Barry Toohey the other day. He won't even be ready by round 1 at this stage.
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    Post by Aardvark Ratnick Mon Feb 04, 2019 9:00 am

    mattnz wrote:

    Surgess is an interesting one. Need to evaluate him further. Under Bennett can see him getting big minutes.

    Sam always plays big minutes unless he gets sin binned affraid

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