NRL Fantasy 2019 thread part 8

mattnz wrote:

Will be somewhere in the 60s I expect, hard to know exactly where, but start of season with injuries, banking on averaging high 60s for that period.

Expecting some who's already coming off a year that is an anomaly compared to their historical average to find another 10 points this year is just crazy. Statistically it's more likely that he drops back to being a mid 40's scorer, I'm not saying that I think that will happen but it is more likely than him averaging high 60's.

I am sure in 2 weeks time I'm going to be like - damn I had that exact combination of players just before - especially in FRF at the moment

Chewie wrote:just an observation. There's way too much chat about the Broncos team on this forum this season, I'm starting to think they have made payments to @random to get prime-time
#conspiracy

With the amount of Broncos people are putting in there team, there's a chance that some peoples seasons could be over on the first Thursday!

filthridden wrote:

With the amount of Broncos people are putting in there team, there's a chance that some peoples seasons could be over on the first Thursday!

There wont be any loophole talk, you can be assured of that.

Biggest decision I'm making so far I think
(1) Fifita + Taupau + bench FRF (Tatola/Hetherington or Flegler + cash)
(2) Fifita/Taupau + Ofahengaue/Vaughan + Twal/Radley

Have exact cash for Taupau + Vaughan + Twal (if lock at TLT)

Comments on this team appreciated thanks.

Radley
Fifita Taupau
Arrow Murray DFifita
Cleary Keighran
Holland Nikora
Watson DEdwards Lomax

Mahoney MFotuaika LLeilua Burr
4 x NPRS

I think it's a pretty strong bench - hopefully 80 min Mahoney, and if Burr, Fotuaika and Leilua start.

Only real weak link I can see is Lomax in 17.

rhinoceroo wrote:

It's not TPJ being fit for Round 1 that worries me, it's him tweaking a hamstring 15 minutes into Round 3.

If TPJ presented amazing value for money, I would be ore willing to take the risk. But depending on what else gets thrown up on the weekend, i think there may be safer bets out there.

TLT may change things and make him the best option though

How weak is too weak a backline, if a solid forward pack and bench is the trade-off?

Macca
Fifita, Taupau
Arrow, Murray, Radley
Morgan, Brown
Capewell, Lomax
Edwards, CNK, Kahu

Vaughan, Mahoney, Glasby, Egan, 4x 212k

Camo123 wrote:Biggest decision I'm making so far I think
(1) Fifita + Taupau + bench FRF (Tatola/Hetherington or Flegler + cash)
(2) Fifita/Taupau + Ofahengaue/Vaughan + Twal/Radley

Have exact cash for Taupau + Vaughan + Twal (if lock at TLT)

I still think the cash cow/midrange prop is a trap. Don't rate Tatola. Won't make more than $100K and is taking up more than base price.

filthridden wrote:

With the amount of Broncos people are putting in there team, there's a chance that some peoples seasons could be over on the first Thursday!

Yes, and against the Storm middle players usually do very poorly. Lots of scores in the 30s because they just don't get enough tackles. Storm tend to spin the ball a lot and don't just go up the middle.
Pretty much the only reason why I'm not starting with McCullough like most of the forum.

SoylentGreen wrote:How weak is too weak a backline, if a solid forward pack and bench is the trade-off?

Macca
Fifita, Taupau
Arrow, Murray, Radley
Morgan, Brown
Capewell, Lomax
Edwards, CNK, Kahu

Vaughan, Mahoney, Glasby, Egan, 4x 212k

Depends how your approach to first few weeks. Your backs points doesn’t matter too much as long as hey are making cash (obviously a link between the two).

I’ve gone with a very similar approach. Spend money up the front, use minimum trades in that area. The rest is there to generate cash using as few trades as possible. The success of this comes down the how well you pick your cows. I kinda take comfort not having cows spread all through my team. Happy to have cows in back Line and a bench.

SoylentGreen wrote:How weak is too weak a backline, if a solid forward pack and bench is the trade-off?

Macca
Fifita, Taupau
Arrow, Murray, Radley
Morgan, Brown
Capewell, Lomax
Edwards, CNK, Kahu

Vaughan, Mahoney, Glasby, Egan, 4x 212k

Just need to answer 2 questions.

Most important is how many points your team will score. if you think you can get more points with expensive forwards and cheap backs then go for it.

Second question is flexibility around team changes. If one of your cheap players flops, or there is a WFB you don't have that starts gunning it and you need to bring him in - how easy is it for you to do that. Will you be able to make changes without wasting tonnes of trades. The more flexibility the better

Sipi1994 wrote:

42-45 points in 50 minutes.... how do you predict that?

I think it will be at the lower end of that range. Avg in games of 40+ minutes is 40.
43.4 from 50+ min. Could take over from Friend if dropped or injured. He's also new to the starting role and should improve somewhat. So I don't think he's a keeper and I'm not convinced he'll make enough money to warrant selection as a cow but could go close.

King Assassin wrote:

Josh kerr is currently fighting for a bench spot with lawrie and latimore

Lawrie is a beast with high work rate. I can see him winning the battle. But I actually think Lawrie will be in the 17 on the bench & Kerr & Latimore will be fighting for the 2nd frf bench spot.

Iron Mike wrote:

Yes, and against the Storm middle players usually do very poorly. Lots of scores in the 30s because they just don't get enough tackles. Storm tend to spin the ball a lot and don't just go up the middle.
Pretty much the only reason why I'm not starting with McCullough like most of the forum.

Because of one game? Surely there is a little more to it than that right?
PS: Don't get me wrong, I'm all about doing your own thing (although i don't think the forum is agreed on the hookers in any way), just curious.

Archer wrote:
Because of one game? Surely there is a little more to it than that right?
PS: Don't get me wrong, I'm all about doing your own thing (although i don't think the forum is agreed on the hookers in any way), just curious.

Nah not the only reason, I just can't decide, so at the moment I see definite value in Radley and Mahoney so that's where I will start with a look to upgrade to say a Cook/Brandon Smith combination

Iron Mike wrote:

Yes, and against the Storm middle players usually do very poorly. Lots of scores in the 30s because they just don't get enough tackles. Storm tend to spin the ball a lot and don't just go up the middle.
Pretty much the only reason why I'm not starting with McCullough like most of the forum.

He might score 2 tries.

Iron Mike wrote:

Nah not the only reason, I just can't decide, so at the moment I see definite value in Radley and Mahoney so that's where I will start with a look to upgrade to say a Cook/Brandon Smith combination

If Radley starts, running with him and Mahoney is very tempting to me.

Iron Mike wrote:

Yes, and against the Storm middle players usually do very poorly. Lots of scores in the 30s because they just don't get enough tackles. Storm tend to spin the ball a lot and don't just go up the middle.
Pretty much the only reason why I'm not starting with McCullough like most of the forum.

True that. Last year McCullough had a 27 and 37 against Storm in a 50 min & 59 minutes game time. However he had 4 scores of over 60 points in the 1st 5 rounds. Surely one wont pick or discard a player based on one round opponent.

Iron Mike wrote:

Yes, and against the Storm middle players usually do very poorly. Lots of scores in the 30s because they just don't get enough tackles. Storm tend to spin the ball a lot and don't just go up the middle.
Pretty much the only reason why I'm not starting with McCullough like most of the forum.

Starting hookers in 2018 averaged 37.7 tackles per game.
Starting hookers vs the Storm in 2018 averaged 38 tackles per game.