by Shady2K Mon Mar 23, 2020 1:22 pm
Looking at....
OUT: Williams + Levi
IN: Magoulias + Flegler
Even if Ofa/Lodge come back and mess with the rotation, Flegler will make 130k+ over three rounds if he holds an average of 45. With the way he's playing, it's hard to see him getting fewer minutes.
Take out Magoulias' try and he still scores 43 in 47 minutes on the field. Will make 120k+ over three rounds with an average of 35 or 150k+ if he can hit 40s.
Grant can wait a week honestly. Has a BE of 17~ as a base pricer and will likely(?) start on the bench. Even if he gets the 9, Walters/Reynolds will likely be the 14 and take minutes. Highly doubt he jumps straight in and hits an 80 minute game in his first week with the team. Even if he hits 40-50 points he'll only make 30-40k which is safe to wait on IMO. Could easily just hit 20-30 points depending on his minutes and his price change would be negligible at that point.
See a lot of people bringing in Cleary with an average of 71.5 and thought of that too - but really he is hitting an early peak and will more than likely settle later in the season if we continue. He's also up against Melbourne this week. Only need to look at DCE last year as an example when he hit scores of 75, 88, 58, 73, 73... then 31, 45, 36 and 42 and hit huge price drops. The highest averaging half last year was DCE with 56.7 then a host of options between 53-54. Highly doubt Cleary's scoring is sustainable and he will inevitably drop in price.