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    NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 33 - If Stephen Crichton gets injured this week, I'm going to cry

    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:11 pm

    Those lads that had Hess out news early have confirmed Hess is 100% playing

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    Post by wolfking Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:14 pm

    my tv broke wrote:Those lads that had Hess out news early have confirmed Hess is 100% playing


    Tolo and Hess, lovely.
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    Post by Ponga Yeo the Mann Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:17 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    With initial prices at the start of the season, a fantasy point costs you $14,529

    With the increased scoring since the restart, its down to a bit under $13,000

    If you look at the BEs in the first post of the thread, the last column, "value" is the difference between their current price and an estimate of what their price will settle in if they maintain their current average

    So if Chris Randall could maintain is current average of 72, he'll make almost $700,000. he's probably not going to do that from outside of first grade, but if you ignore the outliers you can see who is likely to gain you the most money from a purchase.

    You are a wise and helpful cow
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    Post by Chewie Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:21 pm

    Shady2K wrote:Everyone gone cold on Fui? Last start scored 69 and has a career average off 40 when starting second row

    An average of 40 will get him 130k+ over three weeks, potentially more pending Sims' return. If he maintains good form he'll keep a bench spot and hopefully keep hitting 30s. Obviously Dragons are unpredictable as a team but Fui has looked good when he's on the park and has his chance now to cement a spot in the 17

    Sims was diagnosed as a 4-6 week return. People see his comment online and start freaking out, but seriously it's just a player 'hoping' to be back sooner. I'd rather trust the diagnosis.

    Once Fui makes his cash, would be an easy switch to Latrell once he hits some form - or Hoppa, or anyone else who starts showing consistency in CTR

    Best has a great BE and been playing well, but his high tackle and metre count are unsustainable. He'll make an easy 100k just by averaging 30s, but you can also save 100k by going Fui instead who also has money making potential by being in 2rf

    The main concern on the forum was a tweet from Sims saying that he would be back sooner than the 4-6 week. This is what players often say... IE: Bateman , so take it with a grain of salt. I'm personally taking a punt and hope he gets an extended run somewhere in the team and makes a little cash, while the other cows make cash as well so I can do my WFB upgrades down the track. I'm not convinced regarding Latrell, and Best will have a low scoring game somewhere down the track (he also has an injury history).
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    Post by filthridden Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:22 pm

    my tv broke wrote:Those lads that had Hess out news early have confirmed Hess is 100% playing


    Pretty sure Moley also said Taumalolo wouldn't play.

    Half these guys are throwing darts at dart boards and puffing out their chests when they get a hit.
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    Post by ytsb Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:26 pm

    Chewie wrote:

    The main concern on the forum was a tweet from Sims saying that he would be back sooner than the 4-6 week. This is what players often say... IE: Bateman , so take it with a grain of salt. I'm personally taking a punt and hope he gets an extended run somewhere in the team and makes a little cash, while the other cows make cash as well so I can do my WFB upgrades down the track. I'm not convinced regarding Latrell, and Best will have a low scoring game somewhere down the track (he also has an injury history).

    That is a good point. Fui isn't just a potential cow, he is also a decent centre scorer for at least 3 weeks. 130k for 3 weeks of 40s is good even if Simmsy is miraculously only out for 3 weeks (unlikely). Didn't realise he played centre in R1 which skewed his scores a little.

    Welltrell might have to wait a while
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    Post by my tv broke Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:29 pm

    ytsb wrote:

    That is a good point. Fui isn't just a potential cow, he is also a decent centre scorer for at least 3 weeks. 130k for 3 weeks of 40s is good even if Simmsy is miraculously only out for 3 weeks (unlikely). Didn't realise he played centre in R1 which skewed his scores a little.

    Welltrell might have to wait a while

    Issue for me is Fui is a definite trade out in 3 or 4 or 5 weeks time. At the moment i'd like to avoid adding players who I know have to go again soon, already got Paix who has a similar shelf life.

    I mean, other problem is, he may not even start this week or next.
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    Post by Weiland Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:29 pm

    I am a cynical Warriors supporter but I don't know if a hiding vs the Cowboys is a given. The teams we have lost to sit 2,3 and 4 on the table. I don't expect us to win since we can't score points, but I haven't seen enough from the Cowboys to suggest they will give us a massive hiding.
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    Post by mattnz Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:31 pm

    ytsb wrote:

    That is a good point. Fui isn't just a potential cow, he is also a decent centre scorer for at least 3 weeks. 130k for 3 weeks of 40s is good even if Simmsy is miraculously only out for 3 weeks (unlikely). Didn't realise he played centre in R1 which skewed his scores a little.

    Welltrell might have to wait a while
    Lots of reasons to get a different CTR from Fui:
    1. Not going to be a keeper - Sims will replace him when back within a month
    2. In a poor performing team in Dragons
    3. Team is changing every week
    4. Coach can get dropped any week
    5. There are good likely undervalued keeper options available in Mitchell and Best for $100k more, or slightly more again for Capewell, why waste a trade?
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    Post by Mr peanutbutter Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:32 pm

    I'm thinking of bringing in fui and best and passing on jtb. But if I do that chances are I won't be bringing jtb in for the rest of the season. Its annoying knowing I missed the boat.
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    Post by ytsb Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:33 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    Issue for me is Fui is a definite trade out in 3 or 4 or 5 weeks time. At the moment i'd like to avoid adding players who I know have to go again soon, already got Paix who has a similar shelf life.

    I mean, other problem is, he may not even start this week or next.

    That's right. Latrell is a do or die option who might very well make 150k WITHOUT necessitating a trade out.

    If Mann is named my hand is forced a bit because I can't do Drinkwater --> Latrell and Kennedy --> Tedesco. I still rate Latrell over Fui just for the huge potential upside

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    Post by robelgordo Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:34 pm

    If people want to venture over to the thumbs up/down thread and smash the thumb icons, I'm sure that would help myself and a few others.
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    Post by Guest Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:34 pm

    Taumalolo is playing

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    Post by Ponga Yeo the Mann Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:35 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    Issue for me is Fui is a definite trade out in 3 or 4 or 5 weeks time. At the moment i'd like to avoid adding players who I know have to go again soon, already got Paix who has a similar shelf life.

    I mean, other problem is, he may not even start this week or next.

    Losing his spot is more the worry for me than the 3/4/5 week shelf life. I'm actually more keen on the paix/fui type player to make quick cash and facilitate guns quickly in the shorter season over a slow burning musgrove

    but beating out host and ford doesn't sound too tough for 3 weeks

    I think I'm just going to go "welltrell" now and forget centre is even a position in the game for a while and ride the latrell 15s and 70s. He's due a try this weekend to get the ball rolling
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    Post by JJ Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:35 pm

    Shady2K wrote:

    Only other 2rf they got is Host and Ford. Host has played 1 game this year off the bench, and Ford hasn't at all. I think I'll be taking the punt at this stage

    I am doing it. For some others it is too much risk. Everyone is going to have a different opinion but nobody knows what is going to happen. Too many people on here (not saying you) only go for a trade if they get consensus from everyone else that it is good, yet we all get things wrong non-stop like starting the season with Musgrove.
    Just weigh up the points on both sides and go with your gut.
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    Post by Holy Moly Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:35 pm

    Does anyone rate Tabuai-Fidow a decent chance of being a Fantasy-relevant winger?
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    Post by Ponga Yeo the Mann Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:36 pm

    Mr peanutbutter wrote:I'm thinking of bringing in fui and best and passing on jtb. But if I do that chances are I won't be bringing jtb in for the rest of the season. Its annoying knowing I missed the boat.

    I'm in that boat too mate. Can't get them all and our reasons for hesitating were justified. Reflect on your logic and reasoning not always on the outcome in a game like this
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    Post by ytsb Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:36 pm

    mattnz wrote:
    Lots of reasons to get a different CTR from Fui:
    1. Not going to be a keeper - Sims will replace him when back within a month
    2. In a poor performing team in Dragons
    3. Team is changing every week
    4. Coach can get dropped any week
    5. There are good likely undervalued keeper options available in Mitchell and Best for $100k more, or slightly more again for Capewell, why waste a trade?

    I agree. The temptation with Fui is the quick cash grab though, knowing he will be replaced isn't important in that regard. The thing with Latrell is he can only get better from here (there's no way he scores like he did in rounds 1-3 in the long run) which is exciting, and Best is the 'chosen one' being on Ponga's preferred side.
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    Post by mattnz Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:38 pm

    Holy Moly wrote:Does anyone rate Tabuai-Fidow a decent chance of being a Fantasy-relevant winger?
    Yes, Hampton scored 4 tries in 3 weeks on that wing and he has far more talent. From base price, the only way is up.
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    Post by my tv broke Thu Jun 11, 2020 12:39 pm

    Holy Moly wrote:Does anyone rate Tabuai-Fidow a decent chance of being a Fantasy-relevant winger?

    *mattnz incoming* bounce

    He's another highly touted outside back (usually a fb i think). probably not going to rack up TBs like a Sivo.. bonus is he is on the Cows left where Drinkwater/Holmes attack, and he will probably need to score tries to make good money. Likely to have a low floor.

    First proper league game against men this week.

    EDIT ahhh he's already got in!

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