NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 68 - Buy high, sell injured

BREAK EVEN'S:

Spoiler:

MTBs Site - Stats, Break Evens, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor, Team Builder
http://www.footystatistics.com/

Thumbs Up/Thumbs Down Question Thread
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1343-nrl-fantasy-2020-thumbs-up-thumbs-down-thread

Assistant Coach Area
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/f11-assistant-coach

Community Team Area
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/f12-celeb-community-team

Bingo

Damn you Robson and your likely 80 minutes!

Is Carrigan as only cover on bench for FRF/2RF enough or would you get another 2RF. Basically deciding between SJ & Frizell in for Fogarty (max 731k)

HLFs - Cleary, Flanagan (Hunt)
2RF - Taumalolo, Yeo, Tevaga (Carrigan)

Still considering Friend to Randall to fund future upgrades, otherwise will probably just sit for a week

Camo123 wrote:Is Carrigan as only cover on bench for FRF/2RF enough or would you get another 2RF. Basically deciding between SJ & Frizell in for Fogarty

HLFs - Cleary, Flanagan (Hunt)
2RF - Taumalolo, Yeo, Tevaga (Carrigan)

Carrigan is good enough as FRF/2RF coverage. Obviously if you have a few trades banked for injuries you can pivot out of any long term injured gun, with Carrigan covering in the short term

BEs of guys I’m looking to move on.

Robson - 52
Norman - 46
Butcher - 22

Smart play is to hold for the week I guess and continue to be sensible

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Damn you Robson and your likely 80 minutes!

Has Granville been getting named in the 21 each week and dropping out, or is this his first appearance there in a while

Looks like I'll be reversing my Robson trade. With cotter dropped surely he will play 80 mins? Unless somehow Granville gets put in the 17.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:BEs of guys I’m looking to move on.

Robson - 52
Norman - 46
Butcher - 22

Smart play is to hold for the week I guess and continue to be sensible

if it changes things, MTB is still underquoting BEs a bit, and real BE is likely to be a bit higher than that

But also depends on BE of potential trade in target.

If Butcher makes $20k but they guy you want to replace him with makes $50k, you aren't necessarily in a batter position by holding (points scored also a factor of course)

Luai + Butcher > Tedesco + Randall + 366K

R12
Young(518K with a 45) + Lucy(724K with a 50) > Fifita + Twal + 74K

R13
Find a way to get Moses in at like 670K with a 60 average

Team would be with 6 trades going into round 13 and probably 4 trades after round 13 getting Moses in

Smith
Haas Twal
Matto Lolo Fifita
DCE Cleary
Lomax Crichton
Teddy Papy Ponga

Grant Carrigan Sironen Fermor
Moses Randall Niu Farnworth

Milchcow wrote:

if it changes things, MTB is still underquoting BEs a bit, and real BE is likely to be a bit higher than that

But also depends on BE of potential trade in target.

If Butcher makes $20k but they guy you want to replace him with makes $50k, you aren't necessarily in a batter position by holding (points scored also a factor of course)

Yeah very true. I just feel like with a few guns dropping in price it’s smarter to hold some trades to get them or just have some flexibility in the run home. I have 8 and 270k before trading this weeK

My team is:

Spoiler:

I also have 6 trades a 604k itb

I have a two options:

a) Gun + Cow: I could go McCullough and Fermor for Randall plus 1.4 million to spend on anyone plus cash to upgrade young and Joliffe down the line. However this leaves me with 4 trades and two more that need to be used soon.

b) Discounted gun + Discounted gun: I could go McCulough and Fermor to Tevaga and Moses which would leave me with 362k or anyone other pair of discounted guns and use the extra money to upgrade young to in a bit which leaves me with 3 trades and Starling/Joliffe/Sironen to loop for my 17th man

Might hold on the Luai > Tevaga trade this week and see what Bateman does. Would need him to drop some value to be able to feasibly bring him in, but could be a good POD for the run home.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

Yeah very true. I just feel like with a few guns dropping in price it’s smarter to hold some trades to get them or just have some flexibility in the run home. I have 8 and 270k before trading this weeK

Don’t forget you are facing my powerhouse of a team head to head... can you really afford
to hold trades?

Taking fantasy out of it for a minute think it was pretty harsh dropping cotter, thought he added something

how far under base is Tracey actually at in terms of BE? i'd expect pretty low given a high of 18 with a -2 and 2 thrown in, low enough to wait a week at still get him at 212k if he goes large?

SoylentGreen wrote:Might hold on the Luai > Tevaga trade this week and see what Bateman does. Would need him to drop some value to be able to feasibly bring him in, but could be a good POD for the run home.

Would be the number 1 POD for the run home. Short of a top tier gun copping a season ender, no one is going to have the cash and trades to get him in

Think I'll stick to one trade this week - Nui - Randall, to rid myself of a useless red dot.
Spewin that Koro is back and Robson will get 80 mins again, but those 2 became CS9 and JFH last week which suits my team.
Down to 4 trades left, so will sit on Young and Sutton for an extra week to see what becomes of Jazz / Bat-man / Twal / DFifi for the final place in my 1 - 17.
Not enough trades to play around getting young Siro, the Widow or any other cows.