NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 48 - Show me the team list with Averillo

StormTrooper96 wrote:I just keep looking at my team and I am not happy and the one person I fear not having is Tedesco. If I had Teddy I would be happy. The rest of the team is pretty damn good.

Rest assured, Teddy historically doesn't score well against the Storm.
With this in mind, I'll be getting Cleary this week and Teddy in the next week or 2

Been at work, log in to catch up on TLT news etc. and WTF extra trades, massive blow-up cos it's all unfair etc. OK I get that.
I'm going all in, because why the hell not?? Once LS & CK hit the injury wall again, we'll just be chucked a couple of extra trades so everyone can finalise their stacked teams.
Speaking of which my WAGs team, the missus demanded that I start with Teddy for her, against my (ahem) superior footy knowledge.
This is her team:
Grant
JTB / Haas
Young / Lolo / Matters
Cleary / DCE
Talau / Lomax
Pong / Pappy / Ted

Carrigan
Koro
Robson
Averillo (loop)
Niu
Crichton
Luai
B.Burns

Thoughts? She's kicking the Bludgers mightily.

Mr Snrub wrote:With the extra trades up everyone's sleeves, are people who were on the fence about selling Moses more inclined to do so now?  

I was selling anyway, but now I feel more confident about the idea.

luckynumber8 wrote:
was about to say you're loading up on Panthers but remembered Hetherington has dipped to NZ

I thought that too but then it clicked with me with too lol. I think the Panthers are the real deal though this year.

StormTrooper96 wrote:After this week Leilua could be a handy POD. Starting to creep under 10% ownership. I am predicting a big game for him this week up against Martin.

I think you value POD's to highly. Lucy is now priced at roughly 45 which is just under his season average and that's including 2 big games with tries to start the season and falling scores the last couple. I don't think he's a specific sell but being a POD is kind of irrelevant to his performance.

my tv broke wrote:

People are only swaying back to Cleary as the must have over DCE because of the last two weeks scores. DCE had a quiet game last week and Cleary has had two big scores. Three weeks ago Cleary scored 35 and people were wavering on whether he was the best guy to bring in. DCE hits 80 this week and everyone loves DCE again.

Whoever you bring in, you can't get last weeks scores added to your total. Unless CK and LS decide they should, I guess. #whothefuckpicksEgan

(70+ minute games only)
Name - $ per point - $ per base state
Cleary - 12.29 - 14.33
Moses - 12.40 - 13.43
DCE - 13.67 - 14.98
Flanagan 12.89 - 14.88
Reynolds 13.55 - 14.90

This is what is swinging me to Cleary, he is still the best value for money. Moses after his price drop is best for base stats but the points you miss while he is out can easily offset, depending on your cover.

Next week barring injury I have a way I can get Teddy in, without pulling my team apart too much.

It involves using a pairing of either Leilua + Rudolf + 63K or Leilua + Luai + 63K > Tedesco and Cow

I have estimated each of their costs for next week and have come up with the following results.

My predictions -
Leilua (score between 45-50) 613-620K + Rudolf (score between 35-40) 468-474K = 1,144,000-1,157,000
Leilua (score between 45-50) 613-620K + Luai (score between 33-40) 425-433K = 1,101,000-1,116,000

Tedesco (score between 50-60) 895-900K + Cow 212-228K = 1,107,000-1,128,000

So using this presumption and a little bit of luck to go my way I can trade to Teddy next week, assuming a cow appears.

My team would be

Grant
Haas Carrigan
Lolo Matto Angus
DCE Cleary
Lomax Talau
Ponga Teddy Papy

Koro Young 16-21 between Rudolf/Luai, Farnsworth, Niu, Crichton, HTF, Cow.

The bench is awfully shit!!! Am I ripping my team apart too much. Should I just wait?

What's Hudson Young's job security like? Is there a chance someone can push Tapine out of that lock position then maybe he shifts to an edge again?

Hey Lads am I better off having

Option 1- Rudolf and Teddy in the team 

Option 2- JTB Ponga in my team 

Any help would be really appreciated

Chewie wrote:

Rest assured, Teddy historically doesn't score well against the Storm.
With this in mind, I'll be getting Cleary this week and Teddy in the next week or 2

That's the only thing making me think Ted might be able to wait a week, but it's risky.

The Goat Boys wrote:Hey Lads am I better off having

Option 1- Rudolf and Teddy in the team 

Option 2- JTB Ponga in my team 

Any help would be really appreciated

Option 1 for me.

Chewie wrote:

Rest assured, Teddy historically doesn't score well against the Storm.
With this in mind, I'll be getting Cleary this week and Teddy in the next week or 2

This is my plan

Anybody know what Hudson Young’s score after 80 minutes was?

Having a play and have come to this:

Katoa, Moses, Munster OUT
Niu, Young, Cleary IN

Leaves me with 606k itb and one trade left. That trade will be used to go Twal OUT

Would like some opinions on the following:

- Ponga (high be this week so leaning towards steering clear)
- Teddy (historically scores low against Storm so hopefully drops a few more $ before jumping on)
- SJ (pod half option)
- DCE (popular half option) (with him and SJ, could be worth not getting either and just getting a half once Moses/Munster drop in price later on)
- Murray (cheap 2rf gun option, up against Dogs this week)

Can only get one of the above this week, unless I change one of the other 3 trades. Cash would then hopefully go towards getting in Taupau next week after another price drop

Chewie wrote:

Rest assured, Teddy historically doesn't score well against the Storm.
With this in mind, I'll be getting Cleary this week and Teddy in the next week or 2

Historically this is highest Tedesco has ever been priced. Minus R25 last year when he was priced 886,000 after ripping off a game 5 game of 71. He will get cheaper but when is right time to strike

Welshy wrote:

Historically this is highest Tedesco has ever been priced. Minus R25 last year when he was priced 886,000 after ripping off a game 5 game of 71. He will get cheaper but when is right time to strike

Hope so. I think I will be waiting another month for this. Probably time to let my cows start making some coin, Talau, Farnworth, Niu, Young, HTF... Crichton, Luai and Rudolf are next cabs off the rank.

@MTB Welshy has forced me into an idea. Any chance you can chuck in a filter to be able to study a players scores against a certain team. I know it doesn't mean much in the fantasy world but sometimes it could.

Welshy wrote:

Historically this is highest Tedesco has ever been priced. Minus R25 last year when he was priced 886,000 after ripping off a game 5 game of 71. He will get cheaper but when is right time to strike

Historical average against Storm of 50.14 with an 85 back in 2015 (2 tries).

StormTrooper96 wrote:@MTB Welshy has forced me into an idea. Any chance you can chuck in a filter to be able to study a players scores against a certain team. I know it doesn't mean much in the fantasy world but sometimes it could.

Teddy probably scores lower against Storm than any other side but one play can change it all either way...his average against the Eels was huge but he copped a headknock and a 34 last time out

Without Lee suiting up and no Teddy trade I would have to play Hammer in the the WFB so that is what is pushing me to getting Teddy in this week over waiting 2/3 weeks