NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 2 - Backdoor Entry

Stats, Breakevens and more
https://footystatistics.com/

2021 indicative pricing
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1487-2021-indicative-pricing#460041

2021 Team planner
https://www.mediafire.com/file/u09fg5pzhyevvbg/2021+Team+Planner+v1.0.xlsm/file

2019 + 2020 NSW Cup stats
https://www.mediafire.com/file/6oybz9w0tu2gl8r/2019+NSW+Cup+stats.xlsm/file

My reply to Rhinoceroo from previous thread.

Oh and 1st by the way

I think RTS will score way more than 5 tries this year and will be sniffing around the ruck with plenty of chances to attack off this improved and big Warriors pack.

That’s why I picked him in my first draft.

Holmes I’m still a bit iffy on..... not fully convinced on him.

Rabbits21 wrote:My reply to Rhinoceroo from previous thread.

Oh and 1st by the way  

I think RTS will score way more than 5 tries this year and will be sniffing around the ruck with plenty of chances to attack off this improved and big Warriors pack.

That’s why I picked him in my first draft.

Holmes I’m still a bit iffy on..... not fully convinced on him.

I usually buy RTS expecting him to score more tries because he's such a good player, and then he doesn't. Seven tries in 2019, three in 2018, and those were full seasons.

I'm not fully sold on Holmes either, could go right or wrong but if it goes wrong there's not terrible downside at his price.

RTS carves it up in odd numbered years and has lulls in the even years in between. That doesn’t convince me to get him in fantasy but he’s going to be good this season

Mitchell is listed at a tempting price, is he going to pull his finger out this year I wonder ?

Anyone got numbers on schuster. What he scored and how many mins he played until he got injured in his first game.

manlybeaver wrote:Anyone got numbers on schuster. What he scored and how many mins he played until he got injured in his first game.

28 in 64 minutes

Full info here https://footystatistics.com/index.php?p=505720

U can make a pretty heavy top team this year it seems

Cook
Hass tolo critchon
Matterson murray
Milford walker(if he starts)
Averillo walker
Turbo sivo moylan

Watson lam chn davey
4x 228k

They've got ownership percentage up. Here is th epopular day 1 team


Grant
McInnes Tino Taumalolo
Riki Fifita
Cleary Munster
Averillo Bird
Tedesco Trbo Moylan

CHN Watson BMM Brailey
Liddle Blore Roberts Niu

This is $1mil over the cap, can't be bothered working out cap compliant team.
But a valid team would include people like Lachlan Lam, Sam Walker, Milford, Ford, Hetherington, Schuster, Davey , Simonsson


This is $1mil over the cap, can't be bothered working out cap compliant team.

Popular cheapies that I assume are just favoured by the auto-pick algorithm (or by having names similar to other players)

Jack A Williams, Keenan Palasia, Joshua Cook, Greg Marzhew, Franklin Pele, Darius Farmer, Zac Cini, Ben Trbojevic, Dean Hawkins

Mr Snrub wrote:
Last year I made a grave error in not picking Zac Lomax.

I shall learn my lesson and get on all the popular cheapies this year so I'm not left with egg on my face.

Easy to say in hindsight, but at the time it is probably still the right call, and even after a couple of weeks it appeared as though Lomax would probably be a dud.

Surprised Grant is so popular. He was sneaky on my list instead of Cook due to a few lower minute games where he spent time on the bench

my tv broke wrote:

Easy to say in hindsight, but at the time it is probably still the right call, and even after a couple of weeks it appeared as though Lomax would probably be a dud.

I had this in my lessons learned from 2020

- If you have a 50/50 decision between a POD and a popular player (JTurbo vs SJ) go with the popular guy. If they get injured everyone suffers with you, instead of suffering alone and burning trades

I went with Watkins instead of Lomax which was looking like a master stroke until he went back to Super League

my tv broke wrote:

Easy to say in hindsight, but at the time it is probably still the right call, and even after a couple of weeks it appeared as though Lomax would probably be a dud.

If your mistake last year was not picking Zac Lomax, how do you rectify it this year?

Buy Zac Lomax? Buy the cheap dragons CTR? but the cheap CTR that will play the whole year uninjured putting up monster scores?

multiple.scoregasms wrote:Surprised Grant is so popular. He was sneaky on my list instead of Cook due to a few lower minute games where he spent time on the bench

If you take out Grant's games under 70 minutes his average drops by half a point.
Potential increase in minutes played isn't really a consideration in going after him or not. Decision is whether you think he can get more attacking stats playing for Melbourne.

5.1. SELECTING A TEAM
To create a full and valid squad you must select a total of 21 players. To create a valid team, you must select exactly 3 Fullbacks/Wingers, 2 Centres, 2 Halves, 1 Hooker, 2 Edge Forwards, 3 Middle Forwards and 8 Reserves made up of 4 Interchange players (numbered 1 to 4) and 4 Emergency players (numbered 5 to . You will need to select your Team within the initial $9.9 million Salary Cap. Players who are listed as being available for two positions can be placed in either position.

Where's my extra 100k?

I think if it ain't Cook, its Grant for me. I will probably convince myself to go Grant anyway by the time round 1 rolls around when I'm trying to find that extra 30k to fill a cashie spot

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I had this in my lessons learned from 2020

- If you have a 50/50 decision between a POD and a popular player (JTurbo vs SJ) go with the popular guy. If they get injured everyone suffers with you, instead of suffering alone and burning trades

I went with Watkins instead of Lomax which was looking like a master stroke until he went back to Super League

Yep, this is about the only take away. You can't win the comp in the first six rounds but you can kill it with dud "pods". You make your big moves mid season

Currently I have JBrailey

Lolo Tino Lodge

Fifita Crichton

Lam Munster

Averillo Bird

Holmes TTurbo Isaako

Liddle Egan Gilbert CHN

Watson Moylan Blore Gosiewski

+ 233k

Milchcow wrote:
Popular cheapies that I assume are just favoured by the auto-pick algorithm (or by having names similar to other players)

Jack A Williams, Keenan Palasia, Joshua Cook, Greg Marzhew, Franklin Pele, Darius Farmer, Zac Cini, Ben Trbojevic,  Dean Hawkins

I clicked the autofill team four times and they all had Marzhew, JCook, Farmer and Cini (and McInnis and Tedesco) in them.