NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 5 - There was no party.

Mr Snrub wrote:Is picking RTS with the idea he'll go all out in his final season in league solid reasoning or wishful thinking?

He always plays his heart out, true professional

The real reason you would pick him is because of the beefed up forward pack they have now. Warriors have had a C- forward pack since 2011. This should translate to more opportunities on attack and potentially more kick return metres from pinning the opposition deeper.

Value team - feel like this might be CS-esque lol

Macca - Value pick (could upgrade)
Lodge - Previous pedigree, loss big minute forwards
Crichton - Only forward gun I trust rn
Koloa - Depends on starting
Fifita
BMM - if starting
Munster - value
Lam - value
Bird - hoping for 2019 form
Averillo - better team, better position
Teddy - no point starting without
RTS - value, first downgrade if needed
Hoppa - v poor WFB class this year, DPP cheapish

Davey - TLT dependent
Brailey
Liddle
Watson - if he's playing middle, wow, can't wait

Riki -
Niu - Cover (via Hoppa)
Hola
Stimson

189k

Probably delete all tomorrow

Draft 3 starting in 30 mins

Mulvy wrote:

Could be a smoky. Haven't checked his meter average you speak of, he needs to get back to his big try average. Scored fuck all last year. Either it was really unlucky and the good times return, or maybe he's just less likely to get them on the Eels right edge vs Roosters right edge. I don't know.

Ferguson won't start scoring more tries until he stops playing outside Waqa Blake

FalconSloth wrote:I just did a quick ladder predictor on NRL.com and came up with this:

Spoiler:

This different from what I would think the ladder would turn out as but it is interesting to see the ladder especially when you do a version when you don't look at the ladder through out the process

Looks about right to me. I didn't scroll far through it though mind you

Rapture_NRL wrote:

He always plays his heart out, true professional

The real reason you would pick him is because of the beefed up forward pack they have now. Warriors have had a C- forward pack since 2011. This should translate to more opportunities on attack and potentially more kick return metres from pinning the opposition deeper.

Well you do make a very good point about that forward pack. Fonua-Blake, Murdoch-Masila are great additions and heck even Euan Aitken brings a huge metre eating running game in the backs.  

I was honestly just thinking RTS might just have a little extra pep in his step to push for a 50 average but now I'm really convinced he's a good choice.

Mr Snrub wrote:

Well you do make a very good point about that forward pack. Fonua-Blake, Murdoch-Masila are great additions and heck even Euan Aitken brings a huge metre eating running game in the backs.  

I was honestly just thinking RTS might just have a little extra pep in his step to push for a 50 average but now I'm really convinced he's a good choice.

No stats to back this up but with Aitken coming, Maumalo + Fusitua back after leaving mid-season, will RTS be getting huge RM? Won't need to be taking 2 runs/set at the start of every set

Camo123 wrote:

No stats to back this up but with Aitken coming, Maumalo + Fusitua back after leaving mid-season, will RTS be getting huge RM? Won't need to be taking 2 runs/set at the start of every set

Oh........... didn't think of that. Well he should still rack up some decent run metres I imagine. Teddy still racked up tons with Tupou and Ferguson getting huge metres out of their half.

See this is why the forum is good. You've made me consider something I wouldn't have thought of. Brimson, Edwards and Papenhuyzen are just a bit more expensive options to round out the WFB but RTS is definitely a potential value pick.

Well back to the drawing board.

RTS is value because it’s an odd numbered season start

Welshy wrote:Might take a punt on Ramien in the CTR should get ball earlier and more often with no SJ early season and do what he does best in taking on the line

I was very disappointed having him last year but hes tempting me again

Mighty Fishes wrote:

I was very disappointed having him last year but hes tempting me again

More of a gut feel on that one but he’s so dangerous with ball in hand. Thinking is more opportunity being a Ball hog again with no SJ. Bit like Aitken

Matt Moylans scores aren’t that good at fullback where he should play after a few rounds. Is he a good option?

Camo123 wrote:

No stats to back this up but with Aitken coming, Maumalo + Fusitua back after leaving mid-season, will RTS be getting huge RM? Won't need to be taking 2 runs/set at the start of every set

RTS was usually taking the kicks even on the wings. But kick returns probably not the real selling point, it'll be benefitting from the forwards actually winning the contest. Can just see him popping up on an offload with a broken defensive line. Can't understate how much improvement there is in this forward pack than the last 4 iterations.

Anyway, talking him up cause I'm a fanboy, Warriors die hard AND there's f all WFB options this year lol

RTS stats are significantly better in wins than losses. The real upside is that the Warriors are a better team so he gets more attacking opportunities

multiple.scoregasms wrote:RTS stats are significantly better in wins than losses. The real upside is that the Warriors are a better team so he gets more attacking opportunities

The stats that back this up - RTS averaged 37 in games the Warriors lost by 6 points or more.

In all other games he averaged 62. So if the Warriors won or were competitive he went well. Ties in with why his average in 2015 at the Roosters was 56.5. I can see him hitting that this year and scoring 10 tries in the season. Only scored 5 last year.

All this RTS talk is making me rethink Brimson.

RTS cheaper (lets me get someone like Bird at CTR rather than Roberts), and Brimson will probably be playing origin.

SoylentGreen wrote:All this RTS talk is making me rethink Brimson.

RTS cheaper (lets me get someone like Bird at CTR rather than Roberts), and Brimson will probably be playing origin.

Brimson is definitely playing origin (though I don't see that as such a negative), can't see how he'd be excluded barring injury

FalconSloth wrote:Matt Moylans scores aren’t that good at fullback where he should play after a few rounds. Is he a good option?

He averages better at fullback than five-eighth

SJ is out for long enough I would base my decision on five-eighth scores, and then if I have him work out what to do when SJ comes back

He is a cheap option, hopefully good for 35, so passable as a cheap 3rd option. Depends if you want to go for Moylan or risk Simonsson or one of the cheaper options.

Turbo showed yesterday why some people are nervous about people with hammy problems.

Archer wrote:
Brimson is definitely playing origin (though I don't see that as such a negative), can't see how he'd be excluded barring injury

If back three was Ponga Holmes and Coates I could see how he could miss out, but I agree he will probably be there in some capacity.

Milchcow wrote:

He averages better at fullback than five-eighth

SJ is out for long enough I would base my decision on five-eighth scores, and then if I have him work out what to do when SJ comes back

He is a cheap option, hopefully good for 35, so passable as a cheap 3rd option. Depends if you want to go for Moylan or risk Simonsson or one of the cheaper options.

Turbo showed yesterday why some people are nervous about people with hammy problems.

Moylan scores poorly at FB and worse at 5/8 is how I’d phrase it. Only Turbo has worse hammies than Moylan.