NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 33 - Was that the best round in the world? No it was just a tribute!

FaringdonSwirl wrote:Any love for Jarrod Croker around here? Probably priced at what you'll get out of him, but I think he has the best JS for a CTR under 350k.

Looking like I'll need a CTR if Niu is out, so looking to downgrade Cheese to build bank, playing Stefano, and holding Niu/Riki/Milf.

Alternatively could just do Niu to Bird.

Camo123 wrote:

You'll get a lot of love from MS but literally no-one else

multiple.scoregasms wrote:10k short of Munster+Welch>Haas+Tevaga

Probably bank them another week while cows do their thing and run with no MID/EDG backup again

Will likely just cop Riki this week with Schuster DPP+Burns on the radar for next week

Liddle to Fogarty looking a nice trade for next week for sub 100k

manlybeaver wrote:

Mostly due to a low break even base seems to be around 30 is more then enough plus could get more opportunities with tolo quick play the balls

Archer wrote:Schuster plays on manly's left yeah? So shouldn't line up opposite Difi?

Shady2K wrote:

I was talked out of trading out Munster so just interested in your logic here?

Just a surplus of HLF and he’s your stepping stone to a stronger MID?

Shady2K wrote:

I was talked out of trading out Munster so just interested in your logic here?

Just a surplus of HLF and he’s your stepping stone to a stronger MID?

Revraiser wrote:I see Hampton scoring really bad against the better teams if Cowboys aren't suddenly a whole lot better. If I needed a centre, plus also.had.no.backup centre, I think it is better to lock it up with a centre whose looking ok re Bird. If Hampton is replaced or role changes and u need to trade in there again, u gunna flip it !

Camo123 wrote:

Correct

Manly would want to hope Sironen/Olakau'atu is back otherwise they'd be probably playing Aloiai/some other prop there

FaringdonSwirl wrote:Any love for Jarrod Croker around here? Probably priced at what you'll get out of him, but I think he has the best JS for a CTR under 350k.

Looking like I'll need a CTR if Niu is out, so looking to downgrade Cheese to build bank, playing Stefano, and holding Niu/Riki/Milf.

Alternatively could just do Niu to Bird.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

I only use dark mode!

FaringdonSwirl wrote:Any love for Jarrod Croker around here? Probably priced at what you'll get out of him, but I think he has the best JS for a CTR under 350k.

Looking like I'll need a CTR if Niu is out, so looking to downgrade Cheese to build bank, playing Stefano, and holding Niu/Riki/Milf.

Alternatively could just do Niu to Bird.

Jumping Marlin wrote:Thanks to Milch for the magic number info.  A few thoughts:

The MN is now roughly 10% lower than what players were priced at the start of the year.
Players will have to score 10% more points to retain their starting price.

Tohu Harris a good example.  Week 1 he scored 61, and his price went unchanged at $807k.   Since then he has scored 63, 62, 61, 61 during which his price has slowly dropped every week and by increasing amounts.  Down $23k in total and $9k last week. Now $784k.   If he keeps getting 61 he’ll end up roughly $745k.

A rule of thumb:  a player who was priced at 30 and averages 30 will end up losing $30k on start price.  (Replace 30 with whatever number you want for rule of thumb).

This brings me to Riki.  His current average is 45 and he’s priced at $494k.  At start of year a 45 would’ve got him to almost $600k.  Now it’ll get him only to around $550 (if MN doesn’t drop anymore).
So, he’s got maybe $55k more to make.  Unfortunately his 36 last week slows the money making.  

If he gets 45 every week from now on, he will only go up $14k this week then $5-6k per week.
If he gets 40 every week from now on, he will go up $9k this week before losing $2-3k per week.
If he gets 30 off the bench this week and then starts averaging 45, he’ll drop $2k for 2 weeks before starting to increase.  He’d make $14k total in 5 weeks.
Even a 30 followed by 50 average he only makes $12k in 3 weeks and $45k in 5 weeks.

TLDR: Even in best scenario, Riki looks such a slow burn, I might be bidding him farewell.

[Calcs above use MN of 12,200, per Milch’s earlier post.  Will differ to MTB’s magnificent site due to different MN used]

Shady2K wrote:

I was talked out of trading out Munster so just interested in your logic here?

Just a surplus of HLF and he’s your stepping stone to a stronger MID?

Camo123 wrote:

Yeah I think I'm backtracking on Hampton and looking at Niu to Bird for 1 trade

It's around that time where R13 should be priority and my tear apart team to get Fifita plan resulted in me ditching Turpin + Liddle (in addition to Fui -> SOS) last week so I'm pretty behind on R13 players compared to others

Currently have: McCullough, Watson, Riki (may not make to R13), Bird (if traded in), Laurie, Brailey, Alvaro, Utoikamanu, Roberts

Most of R13 players I'm wanting are guns which I'll have to wait for my cash cows to continue making cash