by GreenMachine Tue May 04, 2021 9:08 am
Beyond sound knowledge, some good pre-season selections, and due care for your gut, eye test and stats, the game for me ultimately falls into 3 key areas of skill, and these make up the reason our skilled players are repeat offenders of high finishes;
1. Timing - even more important than number 2. Where BEs are maximised, points are optimized and trades are only WHEN essential. It is sometimes beating the crowd to a key player by a couple of weeks and other times just moving on a fully milked cow.
2. Decision Making - it is just a series of good and/or bad decisions and much like poker, he/she who makes the most good decisions will likely prosper. Come in many forms, from choosing to bring in only first bye round players in weeks leading up (can be good or bad retrospectively), through to A vs B individual trade/player decisions
3. Trade Management & Bye Planning - not bye round planning in the first few rounds of the season doesn’t break your season, but it could make it... and striking the right balance over origin and 2 bye rounds through good planning, will see skilled players take over at least 90% of the games players in that 6-8 week period. Many will end their season at the hand of wasted trades.
Reflections so far for me is on TIMING, because 2 and 3 remain works in progress by this stage of the season;
Best Timing - Captaining Fifita against Cleary when he hit a ton
Great Timing - Cleary, Papman, Fifita, Brailey: Had them from the start and they proved value essentials.
Good Timing - Starting with Momorovski over the likes of Roberts and Bird. He looked the best value centre and maybe with exception of Opacic and at a stretch Averillo or Hampton, he’s worked out despite the suspension. Holding Tino was something else memorable with the “just one more week” delivering a big return but Running it a close second is assuming a bottoming out correctly, by bringing in Haas a week or 2 earlier than the masses hitting close to a very high break even
Sound Timing - Pre season pick of Laurie was very popular and correct, as was in-season pick of Schuster once named, perhaps a worthy mention to not picking Tedesco just yet. He’s been matched by cheaper and not completely troubled the scorera when scoring a load of tries
Ill timing - Dropping Averillo, BSmith, Riki and Turpin all too early.
Poor Timing - not buying IPap at all (yet). Buying Leniu after season start, not as a pre season cow only.
Worst Timing - still to come. Get the feeling I’ve yet to make my worst move yet with season going OK