StormTrooper96 wrote:If Esan is a late call up is he covering an injury or there on merit?
I have made a list of centres to look into over the next hour or so and have narrowed it down to;
Manu, Olam, Ramien, Rapana, Best, Opacic, Farnworth, Smith, Harper, Crichton, Kelly, Marsters
Nice list, been going through this process myself, I probably lean towards value. Thoughts:
I really like Kelly, based on last years performance and price. Not sure if he gets as much ball playing outside Fifita though. But I think he's the best value if he can. BE is on the higher side at 41, but could do that.
Could maybe wait another week on Best, has a 58 BE. He could easily smash that out this week with a good performance.
Ramien is interesting, but his run seems like a bit of an anomaly looking historically. Could be some regression to the mean, especially with the Sharks not being great.
Rapana is similar to Ramien but with DPP, historically averages about 40 on the wing. Only had 40 despite 2 tries last week. But he will have the goalkicking for a bit, big concerns around Raiders performances though.
Manu/Olam are both solid picks I think. No real value, but will hover around the 40 average mark and can both go into the 60s. Opacic similar, but maybe slightly less upside, has had an easy run of opponents.
Crichton is probably a notch below some of them, closer to a 35 avg, DPP, JS and Panthers attack are so nice though.
I'd skip Marsters for JS reasons. Farnworth hasn't been great at CTR apart from his 74, closer to a 30 average. Smith is also a 30 average historically and also this season (if you take out his 82), will make some cash short term but I don't think he's a keeper. Harper is a bit of a risk, without much history and JS/Injury issues (Suli).
To summarise: Kelly would be my value/upside play. Best for the YOLO POD, and fun to watch. Manu for solid ~40 avg pick with some potential positional value. Olam if you don't like Manu. Ramien/Rapana if you believe the uptick is real this season. Crichton if you're desperate for DPP and are OK with ~5 less points.
But I also don't know what I'm talking about.