The Betting thread part 2

Apologies for the generic sounding messages on here btw, it's a mad rush after team lists are announced to update the edge portal + get the message out about value tryscorers who are good value and find the best price etc so I end up just creating one message and posting in a few different places. If you've got advice on where else it may be worth posting up this info it'd be really helpful

**NRL Value Tryscorer Plays Round 22**

Only 4 full rounds to go in the NRL to keen to clean up with value tryscorers over the next month. Will add to the list throughout the night but Edge is already updated - https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

FTS - Moses Leota, 81 on Neds. Much higher than other sites and probably just a mistake as they're up against the Dragons.

ATS - David Fifita 3.30 on TAB - great value according to model and historical odds. Not much needs to be said, great price compared to other sites too!

ATS - Beau Fermor 6 on SB - was a winner for us last weekend and is named on the bench again. Has played big mins with Proctor and DFifita spending time on the bench and showed his skill last week with that insane flick pass and skillful try.

Edit: Jake Clifford at 6 on Topsport. Best value of the round for ATS atm. Highest elsewhere is 4.5. Model odds 4.20. Up against a weakened Sharks and scored last week for an improving Knights team!

Rooster Booster wrote:


Yeah, but did you back him and forget about the crew ?  

Was riding him on your last tip for The British Open.

No, can't lie, i didnt back him, but very much one of the few i seriously considered. This often happens, you get hung up on a favourite for either to long or not long enough, and waiver as to whether you should back up again or not. Ancer was available for 40's and 50's pre tournament.

Don’t apologise @dttragic. Appreciate the info

@Dt - all good mate, no need to apologise for anything, we don't care if these messages are generic or not, just keep those winners coming in.

Dean Ieremia 1.87 v Bailey Simonsson on Neds. Simonson is likely going to play FB with Rapana on the wing according to nrl late mail. Highest price for Ieremia is around 1.60 ATS so the 1.87 looks really good value against the likely FB of a heavy outsider

Taylan May 2.10 ATS on TAB, starting on the wing for the Panthers. Updated teamlists for tomorrow's 6pm game.
Penrith wingers odds are 1.60 at best atm and our model's odds are at 1.60 for them too so it's a great value bet.

Added at 645pm:
Munster ATS 3.75 on Playup! Amazing value compared to other sites & model and historical odds!

Kerr 101 FTS 2nd Half TAB, Luai 4 ATS Neds & Manu 1.91 ATS SB 3 of our favourite plays tonight!
https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

**NRL Super Saturday Value Plays**
Really pumped for today, should be two high scoring games and a Top 4 shootout to finish. As always, check out the edge portal (https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl) to see the best price for your picks & find your own value plays!

First Tryscorer
Mansour, Feldt & Garrick are short priced wingers all showing up as good value, I think a multi could be an option too for something fun to follow.
Ryan Matterson - double the odds of his historical odds, so basically if you think Parra can compete then he's a great bet for an early try but our model definitely doesn't rate it a good bet as Manly is expected to have a big win!

Anytime Tryscorer
Koala 4 SB - Model loves this play and left edge back rower for Souths!
Luke Brooks 5 SB - another one that our model generally recommends but up against a Cowboys team with no Taumalolo and with nothing to play for, think it's a good play this weekend
Maika Sivo - 2.50 Neds. Good value according to the model, historical strike rate & much better odds than other sites. Play of the day!

Stefano Uto FTS 67 on Bet365! Love this bet, model has him at 48, already a proven tryscorer in the NRL and up against a weak Cowboys pack.

Cheers DTTRAGIC, I'm keen on Lucy barging over tonight. Save on Utoik perhaps

Revraiser wrote:Cheers DTTRAGIC, I'm keen on Lucy barging over tonight. Save on Utoik perhaps

He's always a good pick but around 20 for fts and 2.90 for ats seems a tad short. Good luck with it if you do get on though!

Unbelievable DT !!! What a hit.

Revraiser wrote:Unbelievable DT !!! What a hit.

Oh mate it was the best feeling. Personally - my biggest ever tryscorer bet win (doubled down today when I realised they hadn't brought the odds in).
But also tipped it on here, trypod facebook group, our sporttechdaily twitter & discord! Hopefully a few people got on!

Congrats DT! Was cheering for you more than my Tigers when he crashed over

What do you reckon about Twal ATS for the 2nd half?

Nathan Brown 67 FTS Team on TAB. Expecting Manly to do well but first Eels try at 67 is great odds for Nathan Brown.

WT Winfield wrote:Congrats DT! Was cheering for you more than my Tigers when he crashed over

What do you reckon about Twal ATS for the 2nd half?

Thanks mate, appreciate it! Posted it up on a few different places so hope a few others got on!
He's historically poor at scoring tries so don't love it TBH but the TAB odds on him were really good from memory pre-game so good luck if you do get on!
Luki and Stefano are good bets IMO they look great this game. Luki may get rested but if Stefano comes on soon I might get on him next try scorer!

Dttragic2016 wrote:

Thanks mate, appreciate it! Posted it up on a few different places so hope a few others got on!
He's historically poor at scoring tries so don't love it TBH but the TAB odds on him were really good from memory pre-game so good luck if you do get on!
Luki and Stefano are good bets IMO they look great this game. Luki may get rested but if Stefano comes on soon I might get on him next try scorer!

All good mate, love to see a forumite do well, especially one with your quality of posts

I've had a few drinks, so was just my typical shitposting with the Twal comment haha. I'm a terrible sports gambler.

Dttragic2016 wrote:Nathan Brown 67 FTS Team on TAB. Expecting Manly to do well but first Eels try at 67 is great odds for Nathan Brown.

Congrats on the UTO Bet - Amazing

Just got Nathan Brown @ 101 FTS on SB

WT Winfield wrote:

All good mate, love to see a forumite do well, especially one with your quality of posts

I've had a few drinks, so was just my typical shitposting with the Twal comment haha. I'm a terrible sports gambler.

Haha all good mate, was elated and just hope a few others got on Stefano!

Rooster Booster wrote:

Congrats on the UTO Bet - Amazing  

Just got Nathan Brown @ 101 FTS on SB

Awesome mate. I've got on him fts team 67s and lts team 67s - hoping they only score the one try!

Got 2 great value plays for tomorrow! BOTH of their career first try scorer strike rates converted to odds would be $20.

Braden Uele @ 67 FTS, TAB
Ryan James @ 81, TAB

Also ATS on TAB they are 7.50 and 9 respectively.
Uele's historical strike rate in odds would be 5.36, you are getting 7.50 for him.
Ryan James is 5.57 and you're getting 9.

So to summarise my plays:

Ryan James ATS 9, Braden Uele ATS 7.50
Multi - James & Uele ATS at 67.50
James FTS 81 Uele ATS 67