NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 22 - How do you solve a problem like Fifita?

Antipodean1 wrote:Cleary breaking out a 44 has really put the wind up some people and put the cat among the pigeons, what other metaphors, um, anyway 'stats stats stats' ...... mean nothing...Buy in Cleary when he has bottomed out and stick him in all year, it's not rocket science.

Here is a link to a BE/Price forecast projector for those interested https://app.rugbyleaguefantasypro.com/fantasy/price-forecast

Not sure I trust the model behind this one.

Suggests his b/e this week was only 67

Keeping an eye on SJ as we go closer to the first bye. Juicy price for what he’s capable of

Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:Didn't get to watch the games last night.

Cleary still look the goods or what lads? 6 Missed tackles probs won't happen every week and seems like he missed a few conversions.

Would Fifita and Sexton to Cleary and a cheapie still be the ideal trade? My team is going shit to start this season ffs hahaha might not even make the top 8 in my league which hurts

Well I'd take the risk there's a few more price drops to be had for Cleary and pick him up cheaper as other money makers start to peak.

Shady2K wrote:Keeping an eye on SJ

Take it off or you'll injure him

Boozecluez wrote:Ok lets get this back on topic, got 2 and a half hours to go to the first saturday game

Whats everyone drinking?  

Anyways if the world gives you tools, make butter

I haven’t had a drink all week. I will be starting with the bastion of all beers-a sixer of Great Northern black fish. When I take it to the counter at Dan’s I always feel like I have elevated myself 3 classes in the beer Caste system.

This will be followed by a top shelf Whisky, probs CC or Beam. I am all class and not a Bevan at all...

standard-issue wrote:

I haven’t had a drink all week. I will be starting with the bastion of all beers-a sixer of Great Northern black fish. When I take it to the counter at Dan’s I always feel like I have elevated myself 3 classes in the beer Caste system.

This will be followed by a top shelf Whisky, probs CC or Beam. I am all class and not a Bevan at all...

My mates think i'm a pansy but I'll die on the black marlin hill. Northern Supercrisps are the superior day drinking beer bar-none, particularly in summer. Heavies are for when you want to get wobbly after dark.

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

Not sure I trust the model behind this one.

Suggests his b/e this week was only 67

You could be right, Milchcow was saying perhaps BE of around 95 for Cleary after his 44 and this model predicts 101, which does seem quite the jump.

standard-issue wrote:

I haven’t had a drink all week. I will be starting with the bastion of all beers-a sixer of Great Northern black fish. When I take it to the counter at Dan’s I always feel like I have elevated myself 3 classes in the beer Caste system.

This will be followed by a top shelf Whisky, probs CC or Beam. I am all class and not a Bevan at all...

That should wet the gills, should be swimming by the manly raiders game

Ok the Butters BE thing is - if I’m reading the FB post correctly - that he seems to think players have a higher MN applied in their first game - he’s saying 15800ish for 1st game and 14200ish after that. If this is true I’d think it would be observable from the first few rounds eg compare after R2 Walsh/Mitchell/Munster price changes to players that played R1 price changes.

Is it too late to get May next week?

506/8(C). Solid round so far, Mitchell my lowest scorer with 40. All downhill now when Haas banners up haha.

Rabbits21 wrote:Is it too late to get May next week?

There is still 5 more games to go, with covid,injuries and form anything can happen by then
As for spending close to 400k on a winger, your call mate but they don't get to play the Rabbitohs every week

ytsb wrote:

standard-issue wrote:

I haven’t had a drink all week. I will be starting with the bastion of all beers-a sixer of Great Northern black fish. When I take it to the counter at Dan’s I always feel like I have elevated myself 3 classes in the beer Caste system.

This will be followed by a top shelf Whisky, probs CC or Beam. I am all class and not a Bevan at all...

My mates think i'm a pansy but I'll die on the black marlin hill. Northern Supercrisps are the superior day drinking beer bar-none, particularly in summer. Heavies are for when you want to get wobbly after dark.

I’ve copped it most of my life about predominantly drinking mids, haha.

Agreed, perfect beer, especially for Bevan’s like me who don’t like fruity or overly strong tasting brews. A beer isn’t a bouquet in my book.

standard-issue wrote:

Oh, and the other thing that tipped the scales-the bloke is a Teacher, yet constantly uses ‘to’ and ‘too’ incorrectly. That shit is just not on!

I like how you really brought it home strong
KO

standard-issue wrote:Also, regret logging out after the first game, the last 10 pages were hilarious. Although I feel there were some very hurtful things said towards me in regards my IT abilities and Fantasy prowess from people I actually consider friends.  Words can be weapons peeps, words can be weapons.

This idea of mentoring the new members sounds good.
SI, would you please be my mentor?

The thing with Butters is he's so absorbed with the details that he misses the broader brushstrokes that make for a good fantasy player year in year out.

I know this because I'm pretty sure I was that guy for about the first 5 years I did fantasy. Yeah it might pay off in one out of 5 years (think I fluked one top 100 in that time), but generally it's a bad strategy.
Oh and I wasn't a condescending prick about the details (IMO)

Looking positive for Ming, with Ava playing NSW cup along with Shoupp Shoupp Diddy Wap cumma cumma wang dang.

my tv broke wrote:

surprisingly accurate depiction of how the site was built, though.. should i be worried ?

Not at all. Just because we both live in Brisbane and your house is only 3.7km from my own doesn’t mean I am going to come around and hide in the green hedge on the Eastern side of your house and peer in through the grey bathroom louvers as you poop. That would be nuts!

standard-issue wrote:

I remember you having a ding dong battle with him a few years ago on an FB page with you defending Fanatics.

Yeah but I don’t hold that against him, I fight with everyone- its basically my love language. It was all over nothing anyway, he took some inane offence when I was claiming this board to be hot competition in fantasy circles (I finished 21st that year, but only 10th in the FOG- the evidence was damning!). But he just can’t let anyone else have a moment and had to interject with how good his team of highly trained fantasy experts from The Fantasy Lounge are

The only butter worth talking about. Notice he hasn't been back since Toast arrived?

Also a Black Marlin fan after years of giving a nudge suits my taste and my age.