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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 5 - Assemble the base price players

    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:07 pm

    mattnz wrote:
    Might grab both Pele and Preston then.
    Puts Ryan Sutton back into the frame too!
    the_great_wobbler
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    Post by the_great_wobbler Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:15 pm

    The Pascoe Fiasco wrote:
    Garner’s big problem is his defense. He may have made 10 extra, but how many more did he miss?

    Garner missed 2.7 Vs Kikaus 3.5 per game last season at 2rf but the point was more that I don't necessarily think playing for the Panthers instead of the tigers means more points for Garner this season.
    The Dolphin Conspiracies
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:16 pm

    Last minute bizarre team thoughts

    Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.

    Is this a Balls move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?

    Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?



    Last edited by The Dolphin Conspiracies on Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:31 pm; edited 1 time in total
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:17 pm

    2023 is bizarro world

    Brooks will score like Cleary.

    Cleary will score like Brooks.
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:17 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts

    Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.

    Is this a Balls move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?

    Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?

    Will it work? Perhaps

    Is the R7 Tigers bye before R13 a conspiracy
    Aardvark
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    Post by Aardvark Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:18 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts

    Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.

    Is this a Balls move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?

    Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?

    Will it work? Perhaps

    I'll wave to you from the station..bon voyageeee!
    GreenSchist
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    Post by GreenSchist Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:20 pm

    Quick question regarding where people think the best value lies in making money.
    I've drafted up a team that is very much Guns + Cows, where the cows I have selected I think are at value prices and have decent room to increase price and hold that increased value.
    Currently the likes of Tapine, Haas, Carrigan, Fifita, Grant (along with guys like Cheese, E.Katoa, E.Butcher, Boyd and Hopgood who are obvious value guys with 'gun' potential).
    Is there equal value in grabbing these aforementioned players and intending to keep them, or banking all the young guys like Hosking/Garner, Nicholls, Wilton, Loiero, Ford etc in place of 1-2 guns and riding them up in price, just to potentially bring in the previous gun guys down the track.

    I'm seriously considering going the stacked approach considering I'm potentially saving on trades and acquiring similar value.

    I'll obviously ride basement value guys like Preston, BMM, Preston, Stone, Carty, IKat, Blore, Talau etc with the hope of making $150k+
    The result is a shallow backline and limited depth if cows don't make bank, but I'm really enjoying the stacked forward pack.

    Grant
    Hass, Tapine, Carrigan,
    Fifita, Butcher/Katoa

    Hope that makes sense Dance
    The Dolphin Conspiracies
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:20 pm

    Camo123 wrote:

    Is the R7 Tigers bye before R13 a conspiracy

    Haha... could be - perfect time to upgrade to Hynes then cheer
    The Dolphin Conspiracies
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:24 pm

    my tv broke wrote:2023 is bizarro world

    Brooks will score like Cleary.

    Cleary will score like Brooks.

    That's the spirit MTB and we can see it all on your broken TV

    Stats don't lie Doueihi is Brooks spirit animal

    via GIPHY

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    Post by Guest Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:28 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

    That's the spirit MTB and we can see it all on your broken TV

    via GIPHY


    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 5 - Assemble the base price players - Page 41 8197f110
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:28 pm

    catching up to the chat from this morning

    the NZ test is getting really good! 25 to win, 2 wickets to go. Foakes and Leach in.

    is To'o confirmed to be on the left wing on late mail somewhere or just random fb group rumours etc? won't bring him in nrlf but may consider him strongly in draft if he's most likely playing left wing.
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    Post by Guest Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:30 pm

    Clack Bocks
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    Post by Clack Bocks Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:32 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts

    Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.

    Is this a Balls move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?

    Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?

    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 5 - Assemble the base price players - Page 41 Giphy
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:33 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    I haven't made a squad yet and I've been ignoring any teams posted just to avoid building up any bias.

    Kind of interested to see whether I just end up with the same squad as everyone else (within reason, there's a bunch of guns to debate and a bunch of cheapies that are going to be hit or miss).

    I do have some ideas around who I will pick, a couple which are a little off the radar (but these aren't guys I expect to suddenly be 'guns', just provide solid scores until upgraded). Will see what happens at 4pm. I really need to make sure i keep some bank this year to make week 1 jumps from failed cheapie to someone who jumped 50k in a week much easier. Hopefully not tinkering forever trying to eek out 'value' will help with this.

    I mainly want to pick a team that's fun to watch.

    Joining the 'reveal' club hey. Tease.
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:35 pm

    robelgordo wrote:

    There are a few optimisers/solvers in FPL, it's a mixed bag because it's often garbage in, garbage out and then people just making poor analytical decisions on top anyway.

    For NRLFF I think you've got a few advantages
    - more complex point structure with more inputs should make predictions a little easier (less overall variance between predicted and actual)
    - there seem to be less popular dumb ideas in NRLFF to cloud a model.

    I can't code for shit, but I love the idea.

    I agree that NRLFF is a lot more predictable than FPL. I'm in my first season of FPL and so many points are based on luck, as 1 goal can make or break a player's fantasy output.
    The fantasy output of NRL players seems to be a better reflection of how they perform in real life
    The Dolphin Conspiracies
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:42 pm

    Player X got greedy is the new training the house down cheer

    Captain Brooks?

    https://www.news.com.au/sport/nrl/were-changing-things-up-greed-is-good-for-luke-brooks-as-tigers-revamp-their-attack/news-story/cde85edf639eb31732dd14b78979c182
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    Post by Guest Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:43 pm

    mattnz wrote:
    Might grab both Pele and Preston then.

    sutton will be the one to buy
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    Post by The Bludger#2 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:48 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    sutton will be the one to buy

    If Thompson is out for any length of time (4+ games) then Sutton should be a special for Lock role.
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    Post by Loomer Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:48 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    sutton will be the one to buy

    Won't his minutes be the same as they were already?
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:52 pm

    Foakes out Anderson joins Leach 7 runs to win one wicket for NZ

      Current date/time is Sat Nov 23, 2024 2:45 pm