Puts Ryan Sutton back into the frame too!mattnz wrote:
Might grab both Pele and Preston then.
NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 5 - Assemble the base price players
Rabbits21- Fanatic
- Posts : 14021
Reputation : 6175
Join date : 2019-07-24
the_great_wobbler- Posts : 1112
Reputation : 809
Join date : 2021-05-14
The Pascoe Fiasco wrote:
Garner’s big problem is his defense. He may have made 10 extra, but how many more did he miss?
Garner missed 2.7 Vs Kikaus 3.5 per game last season at 2rf but the point was more that I don't necessarily think playing for the Panthers instead of the tigers means more points for Garner this season.
The Dolphin Conspiracies- Posts : 3625
Reputation : 2111
Join date : 2021-12-30
Location : Omnipresent
Last minute bizarre team thoughts
Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.
Is this a move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?
Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?
Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.
Is this a move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?
Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?
Last edited by The Dolphin Conspiracies on Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:31 pm; edited 1 time in total
my tv broke- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 28413
Reputation : 21069
Join date : 2016-01-08
2023 is bizarro world
Brooks will score like Cleary.
Cleary will score like Brooks.
Brooks will score like Cleary.
Cleary will score like Brooks.
Camo123- Fanatic
- Posts : 13186
Reputation : 9530
Join date : 2019-01-30
The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts
Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.
Is this a move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?
Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?
Will it work? Perhaps
Is the R7 Tigers bye before R13 a conspiracy
Aardvark- Posts : 7667
Reputation : 7918
Join date : 2018-03-01
Location : Parents basement eating Cheetos
The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts
Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.
Is this a move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?
Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?
Will it work? Perhaps
I'll wave to you from the station..bon voyageeee!
GreenSchist- Posts : 826
Reputation : 759
Join date : 2023-02-15
Quick question regarding where people think the best value lies in making money.
I've drafted up a team that is very much Guns + Cows, where the cows I have selected I think are at value prices and have decent room to increase price and hold that increased value.
Currently the likes of Tapine, Haas, Carrigan, Fifita, Grant (along with guys like Cheese, E.Katoa, E.Butcher, Boyd and Hopgood who are obvious value guys with 'gun' potential).
Is there equal value in grabbing these aforementioned players and intending to keep them, or banking all the young guys like Hosking/Garner, Nicholls, Wilton, Loiero, Ford etc in place of 1-2 guns and riding them up in price, just to potentially bring in the previous gun guys down the track.
I'm seriously considering going the stacked approach considering I'm potentially saving on trades and acquiring similar value.
I'll obviously ride basement value guys like Preston, BMM, Preston, Stone, Carty, IKat, Blore, Talau etc with the hope of making $150k+
The result is a shallow backline and limited depth if cows don't make bank, but I'm really enjoying the stacked forward pack.
Grant
Hass, Tapine, Carrigan,
Fifita, Butcher/Katoa
Hope that makes sense
I've drafted up a team that is very much Guns + Cows, where the cows I have selected I think are at value prices and have decent room to increase price and hold that increased value.
Currently the likes of Tapine, Haas, Carrigan, Fifita, Grant (along with guys like Cheese, E.Katoa, E.Butcher, Boyd and Hopgood who are obvious value guys with 'gun' potential).
Is there equal value in grabbing these aforementioned players and intending to keep them, or banking all the young guys like Hosking/Garner, Nicholls, Wilton, Loiero, Ford etc in place of 1-2 guns and riding them up in price, just to potentially bring in the previous gun guys down the track.
I'm seriously considering going the stacked approach considering I'm potentially saving on trades and acquiring similar value.
I'll obviously ride basement value guys like Preston, BMM, Preston, Stone, Carty, IKat, Blore, Talau etc with the hope of making $150k+
The result is a shallow backline and limited depth if cows don't make bank, but I'm really enjoying the stacked forward pack.
Grant
Hass, Tapine, Carrigan,
Fifita, Butcher/Katoa
Hope that makes sense
The Dolphin Conspiracies- Posts : 3625
Reputation : 2111
Join date : 2021-12-30
Location : Omnipresent
Camo123 wrote:
Is the R7 Tigers bye before R13 a conspiracy
Haha... could be - perfect time to upgrade to Hynes then
The Dolphin Conspiracies- Posts : 3625
Reputation : 2111
Join date : 2021-12-30
Location : Omnipresent
my tv broke wrote:2023 is bizarro world
Brooks will score like Cleary.
Cleary will score like Brooks.
That's the spirit MTB and we can see it all on your broken TV
Stats don't lie Doueihi is Brooks spirit animal
Dttragic2016- Posts : 1298
Reputation : 962
Join date : 2016-02-24
Location : Sydney
catching up to the chat from this morning
the NZ test is getting really good! 25 to win, 2 wickets to go. Foakes and Leach in.
is To'o confirmed to be on the left wing on late mail somewhere or just random fb group rumours etc? won't bring him in nrlf but may consider him strongly in draft if he's most likely playing left wing.
the NZ test is getting really good! 25 to win, 2 wickets to go. Foakes and Leach in.
is To'o confirmed to be on the left wing on late mail somewhere or just random fb group rumours etc? won't bring him in nrlf but may consider him strongly in draft if he's most likely playing left wing.
Clack Bocks- Posts : 2330
Reputation : 446
Join date : 2015-09-26
The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Last minute bizarre team thoughts
Depending on what happens in 2 or 3 hours I am closing in on selecting both Tiger Halves. Doueihi averages ~ 60 when playing with Brooks but here is the kicker - Brooks average is close to 10 points higher when paired with Doueihi at 5/8 than without. Both players do not have a bye until R13 by which time Brooks will be upgraded to Hynes.
Is this a move? Undoubtedly! Will it work? Who knows?
Anyone joining me on the Brook Look?
Revraiser- Fanatic
- Posts : 17154
Reputation : 9481
Join date : 2015-10-21
Location : Sydney
my tv broke wrote:
I haven't made a squad yet and I've been ignoring any teams posted just to avoid building up any bias.
Kind of interested to see whether I just end up with the same squad as everyone else (within reason, there's a bunch of guns to debate and a bunch of cheapies that are going to be hit or miss).
I do have some ideas around who I will pick, a couple which are a little off the radar (but these aren't guys I expect to suddenly be 'guns', just provide solid scores until upgraded). Will see what happens at 4pm. I really need to make sure i keep some bank this year to make week 1 jumps from failed cheapie to someone who jumped 50k in a week much easier. Hopefully not tinkering forever trying to eek out 'value' will help with this.
I mainly want to pick a team that's fun to watch.
Joining the 'reveal' club hey. Tease.
Chewie- Fanatic
- Posts : 18002
Reputation : 12753
Join date : 2016-02-02
Location : Milenium Falcon
robelgordo wrote:
There are a few optimisers/solvers in FPL, it's a mixed bag because it's often garbage in, garbage out and then people just making poor analytical decisions on top anyway.
For NRLFF I think you've got a few advantages
- more complex point structure with more inputs should make predictions a little easier (less overall variance between predicted and actual)
- there seem to be less popular dumb ideas in NRLFF to cloud a model.
I can't code for shit, but I love the idea.
I agree that NRLFF is a lot more predictable than FPL. I'm in my first season of FPL and so many points are based on luck, as 1 goal can make or break a player's fantasy output.
The fantasy output of NRL players seems to be a better reflection of how they perform in real life
The Dolphin Conspiracies- Posts : 3625
Reputation : 2111
Join date : 2021-12-30
Location : Omnipresent
Player X got greedy is the new training the house down
Captain Brooks?
https://www.news.com.au/sport/nrl/were-changing-things-up-greed-is-good-for-luke-brooks-as-tigers-revamp-their-attack/news-story/cde85edf639eb31732dd14b78979c182
Captain Brooks?
https://www.news.com.au/sport/nrl/were-changing-things-up-greed-is-good-for-luke-brooks-as-tigers-revamp-their-attack/news-story/cde85edf639eb31732dd14b78979c182
Guest- Guest
mattnz wrote:
Might grab both Pele and Preston then.
sutton will be the one to buy
The Bludger#2- Posts : 2213
Reputation : 1391
Join date : 2022-02-03
Location : The Hunter
White Lightning wrote:
sutton will be the one to buy
If Thompson is out for any length of time (4+ games) then Sutton should be a special for Lock role.
Loomer- Fanatic
- Posts : 10738
Reputation : 4331
Join date : 2016-01-29
White Lightning wrote:
sutton will be the one to buy
Won't his minutes be the same as they were already?
Rabbits21- Fanatic
- Posts : 14021
Reputation : 6175
Join date : 2019-07-24
Foakes out Anderson joins Leach 7 runs to win one wicket for NZ
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 26 - Tries are base stats
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 54 - 11 players is enough
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 60 - Keep your paws off our players Billy and Freddie
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 46 - You say which fantasy group is at the top? I Can't Believe It's Not Butters
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 36 - At the going down of the sun
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 54 - 11 players is enough
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 60 - Keep your paws off our players Billy and Freddie
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 46 - You say which fantasy group is at the top? I Can't Believe It's Not Butters
» NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 36 - At the going down of the sun