NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 14 - Mark Holden

WT Winfield wrote:

Rabbits21 wrote:
Suaali  fine looks like the precedent is set can hammer someone 3 metres off the ball without the ball and it’s only a fine. Lets see if they keep it like that for all.

Latrell would've gotten 4 weeks

Lattrell is dirtier than JWH & McGuire combined. They even changed the previous offence demerit system because of him.

WT Winfield wrote:

Latrell would've gotten 4 weeks

Nah but he would’ve got a week for sure.

Anyone else thinking there might be a bit of something wrong with the formula on MTB site? Eg Cheese scores 35 under his BE it predicts him to lose 36k. Mahoney scores 20 above his BE it predicts him to rise 34k….. just found that interesting and maybe a bit off?

Rabbits21 wrote:Anyone else thinking there might be a bit of something wrong with the formula on MTB site? Eg Cheese scores 35 under his BE it predicts him to lose 36k. Mahoney scores 20 above his BE it predicts him to rise 34k….. just found that interesting and maybe a bit off?

They are different prices which probably has a lot to do with it

Was getting all set up until I realised it wasn't a 2pm kickoff again. Hate that.

mattnz wrote:Is it fair to say that typically the gun fantasy wingers take a year or 2 to hit top form?

Garrick, Too, Rapana and Nofo were all like that.

Makes me think Matt feagai could be the next, Hard running tackle busting winger. Bit of a hot take, but hes outside lomax this year so could get a few more tries and raise that average to 45ish.

mattnz wrote:Is it fair to say that typically the gun fantasy wingers take a year or 2 to hit top form?

Garrick, Too, Rapana and Nofo were all like that.

Kiraz looked gun yesterday and his game is built for fantasy. You'll get some lows for sure but if anyone can ride variance it's you.

Given your season so far he probably averages 80 from here anyway.

King Assassin wrote:

Makes me think Matt feagai could be the next, Hard running tackle busting winger. Bit of a hot take, but hes outside lomax this year so could get a few more tries and raise that average to 45ish.

Kiraz is the one I am seriously looking at. Previously had a decent number of offloads, but looks like the new coach has told him he trusts his instincts to pass in the tackle any time he wants to and to back himself. 5 OFs each of the last 2 games, big running meters, lots of TBs.

Thinking if he can average 180 running meters, 5 TBs, 3 OFs (career average 2.5), 5 tackles net of misses, that is 45 "base", plus line breaks, tries and try assists. On his day will get 3 tries and a banner.

If he can average 50, will be about $130k underpriced this week.

Looks like a good test of the recency bias theory, and the last week to get him if you are going to. Walsh can still be picked up next week.

I should add I picked up Too round 2 in his breakout season and have owned Garrick before as well, so this is pretty true to form gut feel for me.

I'd be more keen on Kiraz if he had CTR. As WFB only I'm more keen on a fullback (ie Walsh).

Yep, definitely a good test of the last week's sco.. *ahem* recency bias test.

SoylentGreen wrote:I'd be more keen on Kiraz if he had CTR. As WFB only I'm more keen on a fullback (ie Walsh).

I may end up with both, move Ponga to HLF for Trindall when he is out and play a back 3 of Kiraz, Walsh and Miller - hopefully 3 for breakout seasons and Ponga back to his old self.

Also while Kiraz looks great for fantasy, it doesn't likely translate to an Origin spot, while Walsh probably will.

If you take out all of the Kiraz tries, LBs, 5 of his 10 TBs and LBA, he still would have scored over 50 this week, tries are just a bonus stat.

Tedesco could be low 700s after his bye, be a good time as any to pick him up.

Bad news for NAS owners but as a JKing owner this will keep the gravy train rolling!

For 13 points less than Tohu over 2 rounds the bin chicken will probably double the price rises at a minimum for a starting price of $182k cheaper.

So roughly…. I’ve potentially saved (and made) $250k over 2 rounds for 13 points less over a two round period in comparison to THarris.

Definitely not as solid of a scorer but his role was what I expected to start the season and now should keep going to round 9.

That said though, I’m definitely looking to grab Tohu (like most), at such an awkward price it’s going to be hard to not tear up what I have to do it, might just have to ride the price rises from JKing and make the small jump come round 9.

Congrats to anyone who followed through and grabbed Nicholls too, was a lot of talk on the forum preseason, not too sure how many had the nuts to follow through.

superbucks wrote:Tedesco could be low 700s after his bye, be a good time as any to pick him up.

Would be a fine investment. I'm hoping he can knock out a tonne next week against the old rivals. Got the week off after, so can afford to rip into the Bunnies.

For sure, congrats to Nicholls and King owners.

Genderbender wrote:Bad news for NAS owners but as a JKing owner this will keep the gravy train rolling!

For 13 points less than Tohu over 2 rounds the bin chicken will probably double the price rises at a minimum for a starting price of $182k cheaper.

So roughly…. I’ve potentially saved (and made) $250k over 2 rounds for 13 points less over a two round period in comparison to THarris.

Definitely not as solid of a scorer but his role was what I expected to start the season and now should keep going to round 9.

That said though, I’m definitely looking to grab Tohu (like most), at such an awkward price it’s going to be hard to not tear up what I have to do it, might just have to ride the price rises from JKing and make the small jump come round 9.

Congrats to anyone who followed through and grabbed Nicholls too, was a lot of talk on the forum preseason, not too sure how many had the nuts to follow through.

King only started $180k less than Tohu and you will need to trade him out as he isnt a keeper.

mattnz wrote:

King only started $180k less than Tohu and you will need to trade him out as he isnt a keeper.

Please forgive me for being $2k off what I wrote.

Just a friendly reminder not to rip your team apart to get some of these guys doing really well. Myriad opportunities appear throughout the year so ensure you're only trading with a purpose and not for a flavour of the week.