NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 18 - Catchy Thread Title

MF wrote:Wasnt Josh Curran injured? Lining up for the Kiwis cup team in the second row

Maybe just underdone/hasnt trained after hip cork? last week so give him a run in cup this week?

White Lightning wrote:doueihi will play & start he's survived the final cut

Will be interesting to see Bateman running outside Douehi today.

SoylentGreen wrote:649/13c  - Doueihi, Trindle, Alamoti and Preston to play

I need HSS to score more than 4 to beat you. I'm not confident...

MF wrote:

I traded him in so I can assure you he will be lucky to score the 5 out of 85

Haha, I'll take it!

MF wrote:I love this. You can tell what part of last night Mulvy is up to by his replies

Mulvy was hungover and needed an early night.

mattnz wrote:

I have calculated Kiraz based on 180 running meters, 5 TBs, 3 OFs (career average 2.5, 5 in each game so far this season), 5 points for tackles net of misses, which would put him at 45 average, plus any tries, try assists, line breaks, TOs etc. How much to add is the difficult bit, really depends on how the Bulldogs perform, but should have him at a 50+ average, hopefully more.

Im sure someone here will have the answer but when was the last time any winger averaged 50 for a sustained period of time? Maybe Nofo or too during a purple patch?
In isolation I can see the value of some of your predictions but over and over again you seem to expect your selections to go onto unprecedented levels of scoring. Expecting any winger to average 3 offloads a game is total lunacy based on you seeing what you want to for two games.
Then we get to do it all over again in a week or two. Lather, rinse and repeat.

mattnz wrote:Will be interesting to see Bateman running outside Douehi today.

He can run as much as he wants, he won't see much ball.

Krump wrote:
Im sure someone here will have the answer but when was the last time any winger averaged 50 for a sustained period of time? Maybe Nofo or too during a purple patch?
In isolation I can see the value of some of your predictions but over and over again you seem to expect your selections to go onto unprecedented levels of scoring. Expecting any winger to average 3 offloads a game is total lunacy based on you seeing what you want to for two games.
Then we get to do it all over again in a week or two. Lather, rinse and repeat.

Not sure but mansour would of been close

Krump wrote:
Im sure someone here will have the answer but when was the last time any winger averaged 50 for a sustained period of time? Maybe Nofo or too during a purple patch?
In isolation I can see the value of some of your predictions but over and over again you seem to expect your selections to go onto unprecedented levels of scoring. Expecting any winger to average 3 offloads a game is total lunacy based on you seeing what you want to for two games.
Then we get to do it all over again in a week or two. Lather, rinse and repeat.

Nofo, Too, Garrick, Rapana, Mansour have all had 49+ fantasy seasons. Too hit 59 one year.

Kiraz was averaging 47 in his rookie season through to round 20 and has a career average of 2.5 offloads per game. Has increased his work rate this year, so getting more touches, which leads to higher run meters, TBs, OFs.

None of the others had their career year in their rookie season, they started hitting their straps in year 2 and 3.

The fantasy stars have aligned to spite me this week.

Tossed up between Walsh (51), Hammer (38), Sloan (44) and Perham (??) for a trade in this week and went with Perham. We all know how this ends

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:The fantasy stars have aligned to spite me this week.

Tossed up between Walsh (51), Hammer (38), Sloan (44) and Perham (??) for a trade in this week and went with Perham. We all know how this ends

Thats a very defeatist attitude, complaining about the score of a guy that hasn't even played yet is a new one.

Mulvy wrote:

The bye didn't help, but Sloan was pretty terrible in the Charity Shield.

last night the commentator was saying sloan has said he had to grow up & not be such a sook as he admits he was last year...then he starts crying like a sook after the charity shield game.

Krump wrote:
Im sure someone here will have the answer but when was the last time any winger averaged 50 for a sustained period of time? Maybe Nofo or too during a purple patch?
In isolation I can see the value of some of your predictions but over and over again you seem to expect your selections to go onto unprecedented levels of scoring. Expecting any winger to average 3 offloads a game is total lunacy based on you seeing what you want to for two games.
Then we get to do it all over again in a week or two. Lather, rinse and repeat.

To'o averaged 58 in the whole of 2021. It was over 50 even considering the change in TB/OL scoring.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:The fantasy stars have aligned to spite me this week.

Tossed up between Walsh (51), Hammer (38), Sloan (44) and Perham (??) for a trade in this week and went with Perham. We all know how this ends

Excuse me in advance LB, but what possessed you to pick the worst player of the four options, playing for the worst team of the four? Too many Lion Reds at Joe's Garage?

mattnz wrote:

Nofo, Too, Garrick, Rapana, Mansour have all had 49+ fantasy seasons. Too hit 59 one year.

Kiraz was averaging 47 in his rookie season through to round 20 and has a career average of 2.5 offloads per game. Has increased his work rate this year, so getting more touches, which leads to higher run meters, TBs, OFs.

None of the others had their career year in their rookie season, they started hitting their straps in year 2 and 3.

You said 50 for Kiraz so that’s the number I used not 49. The only one of those to do that I can see is mansour in 2014.
Personally I choose to leave out 2021 averages as they are such crazy outliers. If you want to use those 2021 scores then getting in any wfb other then Turbo is idiocy right? Can’t have your cake and eat it too.

rhinoceroo wrote:

To'o averaged 58 in the whole of 2021. It was over 50 even considering the change in TB/OL scoring.

(That's an argument to pick up a 545k To'o, btw, not another winger at 100k more)

manlybeaver wrote:

Not sure but mansour would have been close

only non V’landys ball average that high I can see. Gold star for you good sir

576/12c

Tapine, Trindall, Doueihi, Alamoti, Preston

Feels like on-par with the pack, a big score from Jo T would be most welcome
wish I could check my status on livefpl.com yafss.com @ynot ??? (miss your work)

Krump wrote:
You said 50 for Kiraz so that’s the number I used not 49. The only one of those to do that I can see is mansour in 2014.
Personally I choose to leave out 2021 averages as they are such crazy outliers. If you want to use those 2021 scores then getting in any wfb other then Turbo is idiocy right? Can’t have your cake and eat it too.

It seems you are being far more selective than I am, caring about 1 point.

Kiraz has the same style of game as a Mansour / Too / Rapana / Nofo - probably the closest of them is Too, as he didn't need a try to put up a decent score, but none of them are averaging 10 points per week in offloads, which adds significantly to his upside.