NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 20 - Kaufusi + 4 weeks = Null SQ

Genderbender wrote:


Think Keppie is a good look, no reason why he can’t chug along at 35-40 making a bit of coin along the way and also a handy first bye player.

Keppie has looked good in his first two games.

However historically his PPM has been around .7 to .8.

If you work on Keppie getting 40mins but drops back to his historical PPM let`s say .75 he only averages 30.

Or do we think he has become a better PPM player over the off season.

Rabbit wrote:Made a big move this week. Up from 72,000th to 61,000th. In Round 2, 5 of my HIA’s made 22 points total. Lol.

Thinking about starting a thread on ‘how to claw your way back from the abyss’.

Garner, Cleary, Brailey, Ford back this week. Lessgo!

Please tell me you are THE RABBIT!!!

Contrastinghobby wrote:

Made that number up, noone fact checks you haha (Technically a fancy way of saying 40 haha)
Munster does a better after party anyways as he runs better lines ...........

I see what you did there  

The Goat Boys wrote:

Keppie has looked good in his first two games.

However historically his PPM has been around .7 to .8.

If you work on Keppie getting 40mins but drops back to his historical PPM let`s say .75 he only averages 30.

Or do we think he has become a better PPM player over the off season.

Probably more that Manly have become a better side in the offseason buddy, he’s had some purple patches as well (2021). It’s not far fetched to see 35-40 IMO, they’re carrying a much smaller bench this season as well which means any big guy goes down he’s probably the main beneficiary.

Aardvark wrote:

This is the appeal for me...not HSS

Not sure he is a must have option as a non CTR middie cash cow or even a nice to have.

If you aren't playing him at CTR I don't think it's worth jumping from another midranger.

Edit:  I don't think anyone is saying he is Bird but the last time I looked Bird was $170k more and tbh no one would be looking at Bird if he was a mid/edg only (general comments here not a direct reply)

Absolutely. Let's not forget, HSS has a shelf life too, to go with not really being playable.

Genderbender wrote:


Probably more that Manly have become a better side in the offseason buddy, he’s had some purple patches as well (2021). It’s not far fetched to see 35-40 IMO, they’re carrying a much smaller bench this season as well which means any big guy goes down he’s probably the main beneficiary.

Yeah that`s fair.

Mulvy wrote:

Absolutely. Let's not forget, HSS has a shelf life too, to go with not really being playable.

I am happy to run HSS next to Alamoti until next round, 20-30 each week is fine from him.

Genderbender wrote:


Probably more that Manly have become a better side in the offseason buddy, he’s had some purple patches as well (2021). It’s not far fetched to see 35-40 IMO, they’re carrying a much smaller bench this season as well which means any big guy goes down he’s probably the main beneficiary.

Also he'll definitely make money in the short term.

Three scores of 30 makes him 60k - so not the worst if he reverts to past PPM but not ideal, would just take the L and downgrade him to the next cheapie

Three scores of 35 makes him 85k - not exactly what I want but not bad either, just a slower burn than intended

Three scores of 40 makes him 110k - about what I want

Three scores of 45 (or more likely two 40s and a 55 if he happens to get a try or something) makes him 135k - best case scenario

Probably more sensible to ditch Doorey or Trindall then BMM isn't it? Getting rid of him after a HIA affected week is just rage trading and really he's just a chunkier Doorey with what looks like a starting spot

Aardvark wrote:Probably more sensible to ditch Doorey or Trindall then BMM isn't it? Getting rid of him after a HIA affected week is just rage trading and really he's just a chunkier Doorey with what looks like a starting spot

I’m keeping him for at least another round buddy. He’s already a bye round down, plays first bye and will get DPP in a couple of weeks. He’s worth a hold for a week or two IMO.

Doing some more playing around and instead of going Doueihi and Butcher to Hynes and Null Null I can hold butcher and get rid of deadweight Talau for Null Null if I get Sj instead of Hynes

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

mintotheimmortal wrote:Doing some more playing around and instead of going Doueihi and Butcher to Hynes and Null Null I can hold butcher and get rid of deadweight Talau  for Null Null if I get Sj instead of Hynes

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

I actually think Fogarty is better as a long term point scoring option than SJ is, and they're around the same price, but I like the idea of getting rid of Talau.

I think I have to let Trindall go over Doorey or BMM.......the other two look to have an ongoing role (Doorey needs a wait and see) while Tricky is pretty much irrelevant unless he starts.

I know it probably costs me a few $$ but it could solve a headache next week.

Antipodean1 wrote:

I am happy to run HSS next to Alamoti until next round, 20-30 each week is fine from him.

This is where I’m kind of at. Yeah he’s not shiny and new and yeah we know what to expect score wise. I’m kind of worried about no CTR cover at all but feel like I should be jumping on good cows early instead of patching up CTR

Moanaman wrote:All this SJ v ARey talk and no one has mentioned The Fog. Looked pretty good to my eye last week and the same price as SJ

Back to back 34 scores with minimal negatives before last week would not make me rush to buy plus large enough BE

Aardvark wrote:I think I have to let Trindall go over Doorey or BMM.......the other two look to have an ongoing role (Doorey needs a wait and see) while Tricky is pretty much irrelevant unless he starts.

I know it probably costs me a few $$ but it could solve a headache next week.

Doorey has lost his playable spot, the same as Trindall. The difference is that if there is an injury or suspension and Trindall comes back into the starting side, he is going to score well enough to be in your 17 each week and make lots more cash, while Doorey won't, even if starting.

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:I can't look past J. Brailey as a under -recognised cut price gun. He is cheap because of an injury in Round 2. In an 80 minute role he scores very well. Hoping for a good rest of the year with him and not too much of a jump in price from Hodgson

If you don't wait a week on Brailey you hate money not to mention another early HIA with 80 odd BE would be catastrophic

mintotheimmortal wrote:Doing some more playing around and instead of going Doueihi and Butcher to Hynes and Null Null I can hold butcher and get rid of deadweight Talau  for Null Null if I get Sj instead of Hynes

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Hynes coming off injury and bye in 2 rounds is a rd 7 wait for me

mattnz wrote:

Doorey has lost his playable spot, the same as Trindall. The difference is that if there is an injury or suspension and Trindall comes back into the starting side, he is going to score well enough to be in your 17 each week and make lots more cash, while Doorey won't, even if starting.

Maybe, the reality is they both probably have to go over the next few rounds so I'm just choosing which one goes first.

It's a pretty low percentage play to hold someone hoping for an injury or suspension, particularly someone with a history of single digit scoring from the bench (despite the temptation of a much bigger upside). The reality is Doorey is a much bigger chance of getting a starting spot back than Trindall based on how things stand right now.

If the injury or suspension is significant you can always trade him back in. TBH I would have preferred it if Trindall didn't get picked in the 17 at all this week then he would be a comfortable hold for a look.

Who knows I might still change my mind.

Edit : I have managed to avoid playing Doorey in my 17 to date so maybe that is swaying me

Who would you trade to get Lemuele?

Loiero or Sutton

I was sold on selling them both but think I might reign it in a little and sell one. Loiero has a BE of 30 whilst Sutton a BE of 39. Both pretty achievable. I'm leaning more towards selling Sutton assuming TPJ is almost back, and I can only see Loiero improving now with Munster back?

Or should I just fuck it all and go Tommy T and Ford?

a] Sutton > Lemuele
b] Loiero > Lemuele
c] Sutton + Loiero > Ekat + Lemuele
d] Sutton + Loiero > Tommy T + Ford