NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 24 - Responsibility is not a good look for me

Rabbits21 wrote:Just thinking ahead if you have both Cleary and Hynes come round 7/8 can you still have a good squad balance is the question. If you’re playing 2-3 risky cheapies a week is it worth it or just carrying one of Cleary or Hynes and targeting underpriced guns.

That's the million dollar question mate

Rabbits21 wrote:Just thinking ahead if you have both Cleary and Hynes come round 7/8 can you still have a good squad balance is the question. If you’re playing 2-3 risky cheapies a week is it worth it or just carrying one of Cleary or Hynes and targeting underpriced guns.

When they are both averaging 75 be miles ahead....

Shady2K wrote:Very shitto voting here

TU: Start ITT and loop HSS/Warbrick
TD: Start HSS and loop Warbrick/ITT and IKatoa

Downvoted by mistake, score should be 3-1. I meant up!

All other things being equal, would you trade E.Butcher or R.Sutton out this week?

Leaning slightly towards holding Sutton based on that Dogs’ bench and a slightly lower BE…

Welshy wrote:

Cherry picking a tad.... but filtering since 2021 when he nailed 80 minute role, playing 70+ minutes his average is 54 mate.

Priced at 45 average? Playing 2 big byes.

If we had this price start of season reckon Brailey would of been in a load of teams

Diolch.

Exactly right mate, the main reason he's coming in for me. Will make death riding Grant and Cook each week a little less painful, however still far from enjoyable

User Name wrote:I am looking to start betting on NRL games.
If there is anyone on here that wouldn't mind me talking to them about how to go about it then message me please.

My advice is not to.

When I used to bet on the games fairly regularly I would become emotionally invested and have poor emotional responses to losses.

Everyone will tell you they do about break even but the bookies always win (outside of matched betting)

In a work context I've seen people go from a $5 per game flutter to losing their house.

If you are looking for a hobby choose a different one

Anyone else try to guess the main team list changes based on the three headshots on the NRL homepage, before clicking on the link?

It’s my weekly game of Guess Who. Took me a while to ID Drew Hutchison. He’s no Aubbo, that’s for sure…

Jele wrote:All other things being equal, would you trade E.Butcher or R.Sutton out this week?

Leaning slightly towards holding Sutton based on that Dogs’ bench and a slightly lower BE…

i think butcher has the potential for higher scores, but there are lots of edge options to replace him with or play instead,

i dont own either, and havent studied either in great detail, but looking at there stats seems like sutton should be getting more minutes and butcher despite tackling everything is getting too many demerits

neither play round 13, similair price, similar break even, Id just get rid of the one you dislike most

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

My advice is not to.

When I used to bet on the games fairly regularly I would become emotionally invested and have poor emotional responses to losses.

Everyone will tell you they do about break even but the bookies always win (outside of matched betting)

In a work context I've seen people go from a $5 per game flutter to losing their house.

If you are looking for a hobby choose a different one

Quality post.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

My advice is not to.

When I used to bet on the games fairly regularly I would become emotionally invested and have poor emotional responses to losses.

Everyone will tell you they do about break even but the bookies always win (outside of matched betting)

In a work context I've seen people go from a $5 per game flutter to losing their house.

If you are looking for a hobby choose a different one

probably the best advice, if you haven't started by now, your life will not be enhanced with it,

and ive met plenty of addicts in my time who've lost alot

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

My advice is not to.

When I used to bet on the games fairly regularly I would become emotionally invested and have poor emotional responses to losses.

Everyone will tell you they do about break even but the bookies always win (outside of matched betting)

In a work context I've seen people go from a $5 per game flutter to losing their house.

If you are looking for a hobby choose a different one

As someone who's a healthy punting addict, I can agree with the above. Very invested in games and struggle to watch a game without having something on it, Fantasy fixes the urge though.

However if you do want to, I recommend spreadsheeting every bet you make so you can see in plain terms your profits/losses. The general punter doesn't track this and typically remembers only the wins, leading to huge losses. I've spreadsheeted every bet now for 4 years and if you do it right and are disciplined with staking and other factors, it can be done profitably and enjoyably... much like everything in life!

Fantasy is a free way of getting the "punter's high". I do occasionally have small bets on first try scorer or margin, but I'm more invested in who missed what tackle or threw which pointless offload, tbh.

rhinoceroo wrote:Fantasy is a free way of getting the "punter's high". I do occasionally have small bets on first try scorer or margin, but I'm more invested in who missed what tackle or threw which pointless offload, tbh.

Tbh, it can also ruin a perfectly entertaining NRL game as well

Is it horrible idea to plug HOK gap this week with Hands and hope for 25-30pts to leave cash in reserve maybe for Hynes after the bye?

Loomer wrote:Is it horrible idea to plug HOK gap this week with Hands and hope for 25-30pts to leave cash in reserve maybe for Hynes after the bye?

Should be okay as long as you wear gloves

How stupid is it to trade in a player on a bye (AKP). Was looking at bringing in next week, but if I do it this week for Thompson it opens up the 2nd trade next week if there’s a better viable cashout or cow than what’s on offer this week.

Pros: Opens up a trade next week, gives up a loop option
Cons: Would lose WFB cover this week, Is AKP a trap with -14 BE with limited base (basically I see him as a Coates type scorer), Risk of Maumalo/JFifita taking spot

If you really want to gamble, I'd suggest playing Draftstars daily fantasy comps.

They have cheap to enter comps so you can do it on whatever your budget is. The scoring is similar to fantasy so you already know what players are good. And because every contest you get to pick a different team its a nice way to get rewarded for the good players that you can't get in your actual fantasy team

Rabbits21 wrote:Just thinking ahead if you have both Cleary and Hynes come round 7/8 can you still have a good squad balance is the question. If you’re playing 2-3 risky cheapies a week is it worth it or just carrying one of Cleary or Hynes and targeting underpriced guns.

The biggest factor is captaincy. Old mate two spots behind me in the Tassie overall captained Hynes for his 96 and made up huge ground. Then again, you get absolutely fucked when Cleary belts out a 40 like he did the other day.

Right now I can't even break my team to get them in even if I wanted to, so it's not an issue for me, but it is definitely a season defining call imo

Camo123 wrote:How stupid is it to trade in a player on a bye (AKP). Was looking at bringing in next week, but if I do it this week for Thompson it opens up the 2nd trade next week if there’s a better viable cashout or cow than what’s on offer this week.

Pros: Opens up a trade next week, gives up a loop option
Cons: Would lose WFB cover this week, Is AKP a trap with -14 BE with limited base (basically I see him as a Coates type scorer), Risk of Maumalo/JFifita taking spot

Given Fifita’s been injured (due back Rd 7), I think the risk he’ll lose his spot is not low.

https://www.sen.com.au/news/2023/03/28/warriors-assistant-provides-update-on-star-casualties-ahead-of-sharks

Some quotes from Warriors assistant coach. Sounds like smoke and mirrors to me, think Tohu will be out