NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 24 - Responsibility is not a good look for me

MF wrote:

Thinking of forgoing Hoskins and getting a centre in sk I don’t have to play HSS. Maybe Timoko? He’s killing it

Put the Penis in mate

https://www.roosters.com.au/news/2023/03/29/robinson-he-bleeds-red-white-and-blue/

Robinson gives an Angus update at the end. Been doing some 'pre-season' type training to get fitness up. Next week they hoping for him to be training with the team proper.

Revraiser wrote:

Put the Penis in mate

5k short of my price range otherwise I would have done it

Was also going to put Ramien in instead but he went and had a spectacular game ruining his losses

Just looking at that bench for the tigers. No chance In hell that stays the same at kick off. Big Joe not named in NSWcup and he was named last week and played

MF wrote:Was also going to put Ramien in instead but he went and had a spectacular game ruining his losses

Ramien always an inch away from suspension, such a tool that guy. Gr8 fantasy game though I agree. Timoko is a gr8 shout.

Revraiser wrote:

Ramien always an inch away from suspension, such a tool that guy. Gr8 fantasy game though I agree. Timoko is a gr8 shout.

I feel Hoskins will make me regret it but it’s probably the smarter play for the year

The more I look at it, the more I wonder if Brailey is really worth it.

Looking at his average season by season (starting hooker, 60+ mins)


2019: 44.6
2020: 41 (just 2 games)
2021: 56.5
2022: 50.3 (7 games)


All time average starting at hooker (60+ mins) is 48.5, priced at a low 40s average right now. Kinda gives me Mahoney vibes, only really been a proper keeper in PVL ball. Plenty of injury issues too. My biggest interest in him would be playing both R13 and R16 but it's probably a bit early to be buying him just for that.

I think he's probably a decent buy still, but not sure he's the must-have I'd previously assumed.

mrbrownstone wrote:The more I look at it, the more I wonder if Brailey is really worth it.

Looking at his average season by season (starting hooker, 60+ mins)


2019: 44.6
2020: 41 (just 2 games)
2021: 56.5
2022: 50.3 (7 games)


All time average starting at hooker (60+ mins) is 48.5, priced at a low 40s average right now. Kinda gives me Mahoney vibes, only really been a proper keeper in PVL ball. Plenty of injury issues too. My biggest interest in him would be playing both R13 and R16 but it's probably a bit early to be buying him just for that.

I think he's probably a decent buy still, but not sure he's the must-have I'd previously assumed.

He isn't a must-have, and you should only be buying him this week if you need a hooker (like I do).

He'll plod his way to a 50 point average and plays the first 2 big bye rounds (his byes are round 10, 14 and 19), so even if you own Cook or Grant he's got some value for the Origin period (though you could wait a week or two since his BE is still fairly high)

Random stat

Last time the Wests Tigers won a game with Luke Brooks named at halfback was Round 22 2021 against the Cowboys.

Milchcow wrote:
Random stat

Last time the Wests Tigers won a game with Luke Brooks named at halfback was Round 22 2021 against the Cowboys.

Ye gods! Is that true?

Bethany_B wrote:

He isn't a must-have, and you should only be buying him this week if you need a hooker (like I do).

He'll plod his way to a 50 point average and plays the first 2 big bye rounds (his byes are round 10, 14 and 19), so even if you own Cook or Grant he's got some value for the Origin period (though you could wait a week or two since his BE is still fairly high)

Yeah that's about where I'm landing on it. I think he's a good trade, but not worth forcing a trade for (was previously considering trading Boyd/Loiero to get him, neither of whom are really sells). Will probably still aim to get him closer to those byes, but can give it a few more weeks.

There are indeed ways to win money gambling, but you need to leverage sign up bonusses and bonus bet promos, largely on horse racing. There's a fairly large "underbelly" of dudes who pay $500 for people's gambling accounts so they can abuse promos. They turn that $500 investment (plus $200 iPhone 7 because you cant use more than 1 account per device) into 10k odd before getting banned. These guys rake in a ridiculous amount of money. Managing these accounts by yourself, you can deal with ~15 (cycling which ones you're using on weekends, usually 6 per weekend), and rake in 120kish per year tax free. There are guys who do this and earn hundreds of thousands.

ytsb wrote:There are indeed ways to win money gambling, but you need to leverage sign up bonusses and bonus bet promos, largely on horse racing. There's a fairly large "underbelly" of dudes who pay $500 for people's gambling accounts so they can abuse promos. They turn that $500 investment (plus $200 iPhone 7 because you cant use more than 1 account per device) into 10k odd before getting banned. These guys rake in a ridiculous amount of money. Managing these accounts by yourself, you can deal with ~15 (cycling which ones you're using on weekends, usually 6 per weekend), and rake in 120kish per year tax free. There are guys who do this and earn hundreds of thousands.

They can have any of my old accounts for $500 a pop

MF wrote:

They can have any of my old accounts for $500 a pop

$500 for the full suite mate

mrbrownstone wrote:

Yeah that's about where I'm landing on it. I think he's a good trade, but not worth forcing a trade for (was previously considering trading Boyd/Loiero to get him, neither of whom are really sells). Will probably still aim to get him closer to those byes, but can give it a few more weeks.

Unlikely to change price much next week, so can easily pick him up then.
Personally I'm looking at him as a possible Grant downgrade Rd 7 to allow a Hynes trade. Not sold on selling Grant but definitely want to get Brailey in for the Origin period.

ytsb wrote:There are indeed ways to win money gambling, but you need to leverage sign up bonusses and bonus bet promos, largely on horse racing. There's a fairly large "underbelly" of dudes who pay $500 for people's gambling accounts so they can abuse promos. They turn that $500 investment (plus $200 iPhone 7 because you cant use more than 1 account per device) into 10k odd before getting banned. These guys rake in a ridiculous amount of money. Managing these accounts by yourself, you can deal with ~15 (cycling which ones you're using on weekends, usually 6 per weekend), and rake in 120kish per year tax free. There are guys who do this and earn hundreds of thousands.

Should also add that even though the odds are rigged, punters have the advantage of being able to select what they bet on. There are instances where the bookies have something as 50/50 (1.9 odds) but you see it as a 65/35 chance so that 1.9 is worth it. Not like roulette where 50/50 is 50/50 and the casino offers $1.96 on $2 odds or whatever. It is indeed possible to make money punting.

Other ways are middle betting, i.e. betting on +10.5 and -9.5 handicaps on two bookies offering odds close to one another. In this way you can "pay" for 30-1 odds (i.e risk $10 to earn $300 if a team wins by 10, winning both bets) when the likelihood of the event occuring is ~15-1 (i.e. risking $10 should only get you $150 if you used the same bookie). This is a statistically foolproof way. The long-term ROI is around 4-15%, most bloke with their many accounts are using big money so 4-15% is a lot.

MF wrote:

Thinking of forgoing Hoskins and getting a centre in sk I don’t have to play HSS. Maybe Timoko? He’s killing it

Been our best player this year. Super underrated player.

Grouse wrote:
Been our best player this year. Super underrated player.

All signs point to yes

Max King has been playing with an injury and still pumping out those numbers.

He’s just incredible