2016 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 19

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:How do guys on here recommend sorting your starting team, players who play earliest in the week in the 13 and guys who are later make up the reserves??

Thats exactly how it should be done.

If a player in your 13 doesn't play till Monday and is a late withdraw, you get an AE, which you dont want. So always put the players who play in the earlier games in your starting 13 where possible

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:How do guys on here recommend sorting your starting team, players who play earliest in the week in the 13 and guys who are later make up the reserves??

I definitely do this. Don't want to get caught out with player pulling out and giving you an ae because your reserves already played. Happened to me once, never again.

Cheers Finch and Pookus, strange looking line up for sure but makes sense

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:None taken, i dont like red dots in my team at all. HArsh thing9 to look at lol

You opted for Gordo and Mansour mate. Strong, bold forthright decisons !

Also, just on Maubbs.

People say it was crazy to bring him in.

In 2014 + 2015, Aubbs was starting 2nd row 13 times. 
In those 13 games he averaged 48 and his lowest score was 37 (that includes any game where he started at 2nd row but moved to centre mid game, but excludes any game he started at centre or came off the bench)

Now in 2016, the scores for the 4 games he has started in the 2nd row rank as 15th, =13th, 17th, 16th (out of 17 scores) for the last 3 years of data.

If you include 2014 data, he has started 2nd row 28 times, and all of 2016s scores fall in the bottom 10 of those.

Now other than saying "Aubbs has screwed you in the past" there was no reason to expect that he would be consistently scoring so low this year. Looking at the stats, and his likely extended run as starting forward, there was every reason to think he would score well.

It hasn't worked out, but I would make a similar decision again in a heartbeat, because long term it will pay off more than it fails. I still hold out hope that he will bang out some 40+ scores before Cordner comes back. Would have done it last week if the bunker was kind.

Revraiser wrote:

You opted for Gordo and Mansour mate. Strong, bold forthright decisons !

Yeah for sure, hoping for good things. Now i have 3 red dots nicely spaced out in case some cows come along the road

Finch wrote:

Thats exactly how it should be done.

If a player in your 13 doesn't play till Monday and is a late withdraw, you get an AE, which you dont want. So always put the players who play in the earlier games in your starting 13 where possible

And also - if you are captaining someone who plays in the first game of the round. Your VC should also come from that game.

If you know for certain your captain is playing, no point locking in a VC that plays later in the weekend and getting caught unable to sub him if he is a late withdrawl.

Finch wrote:If you have money lying around doing nothing...

http://www.ebay.com.au/itm/152032939232?ul_noapp=true

Damn outbid at 23k ! I was going to wear it to bed, safe sex and all....

I still follow the old rule "Thou shalt NOT buy Aubbo".

Milchcow wrote:Also, just on Maubbs.

People say it was crazy to bring him in.

In 2014 + 2015, Aubbs was starting 2nd row 13 times. 
In those 13 games he averaged 48 and his lowest score was 37 (that includes any game where he started at 2nd row but moved to centre mid game, but excludes any game he started at centre or came off the bench)

So in 2016, the game he has started in the 2nd row, this years stats rank as 15th, =13th, 17th, 16th (out of 17 scores) for the last 3 year data.

If you include 2014 data, he has started 2nd row 28 times, and all of 2016s scores fall in the bottom 10 of those.

Now other than saying "Aubbs has screwed you in the past" there was no reason to expect that he would be consistently scoring so low this year. Looking at the stats, and his likely extended run as starting forward, there was every reason to think he would score well.

It hasn't worked out, but I would make a similar decision again in a heartbeat, because long term it will pay off more than it fails. I still hold out hope that he will bang out some 40+ scores before Cordner comes back. Would have done it last week if the bunker was kind.

Damn Milchow, your subtle blend of statistics and logic makes me moist at times.

Milchcow wrote:Also, just on Maubbs.

People say it was crazy to bring him in.

In 2014 + 2015, Aubbs was starting 2nd row 13 times. 
In those 13 games he averaged 48 and his lowest score was 37 (that includes any game where he started at 2nd row but moved to centre mid game, but excludes any game he started at centre or came off the bench)

So in 2016, the game he has started in the 2nd row, this years stats rank as 15th, =13th, 17th, 16th (out of 17 scores) for the last 3 year data.

If you include 2014 data, he has started 2nd row 28 times, and all of 2016s scores fall in the bottom 10 of those.

Now other than saying "Aubbs has screwed you in the past" there was no reason to expect that he would be consistently scoring so low this year. Looking at the stats, and his likely extended run as starting forward, there was every reason to think he would score well.

It hasn't worked out, but I would make a similar decision again in a heartbeat, because long term it will pay off more than it fails. I still hold out hope that he will bang out some 40+ scores before Cordner comes back. Would have done it last week if the bunker was kind.

his missed tackles rate and penalty count is also up this year

a team doing as poor as the roosters this would be expected

Pookus McFly wrote:

Damn Milchow, your subtle blend of statistics and logic makes me moist at times.

That's the problem 

But also the solution 

Need to blend the numbers and logic with human learning

charliemurphy wrote:Ive seen all over the internet, we are known as 'the best group of fantasy players' and 'best statistical and analytical group for fantasy'

How are we all doing so bad. Apart from Fishes(?) who's tearing it up in the top 200.

But did so terrible the last 3 years! Don't forget that!

Pain wrote:
Yeah sorry about my little spit

I'd love to have both but I'd get mbye first. Milf has looked great but hunt has done FA this year so if he kicks off Milfs points may reduce.

Yea 100% agree with that mate

Simon Templar wrote:I still follow the old rule "Thou shalt NOT buy Aubbo".

Is that the third rule after the two Cameron Smith ones?

Pain wrote:
That's the problem 

But also the solution 

Need to blend the numbers and logic with human learning

If only someone could teach me about these human emotions of yours.

Then, one day, I might know what love is.


(On that note, I think its time to go to bed)

charliemurphy wrote:Ive seen all over the internet, we are known as 'the best group of fantasy players' and 'best statistical and analytical group for fantasy'

How are we all doing so bad. Apart from Fishes(?) who's tearing it up in the top 200.

We have 4 around that rank in the top 300.

To help put the start to this season into perspective, I looked around my other non-Fanatics leagues. In my Legends League 2, the HIGHEST placed overall player is ranked nearly 1900 overall. Legends are tremendous, and a wonderful community just like this one, but this time last year they had 3 of their 70 posters in the Top 20 Overall. NRL won't load at the moment so can't check the Legends Overall Group, but that League 2 example is pretty crazy. The place is full of Fantasy/DT diehards.

charliemurphy wrote:Ive seen all over the internet, we are known as 'the best group of fantasy players' and 'best statistical and analytical group for fantasy'

How are we all doing so bad. Apart from Fishes(?) who's tearing it up in the top 200.

Do people actually say that?

If you listen to Renegades, Rengades are the best.

If you listen to Butters, Butters is the best.

If you listen to ex-Sportal, we suck and demand explanations!

also remember that some teams that have taken the punt on guys like Milf/Tedesco/Mbye to start the season their huge scores will even out in the next few rounds so their 80's and 90's when other guns have been scoring 40s and 50's might reverse and that's where you gain ranking spots

People talk about the same players for a reason. Generally a lot of people who have the same players will want to talk about those same players they have. I haven't mentioned Aubbs once because I don't have him.
I was considering McInnes or Rein a lot and trying to gauge what people thought but they have other pressing issues which is fair I asked and some people still responded and it changed my mind which I think is for the better, so throw all of your left field options up here because why not? Might get someone point out something that you didn't notice before.

and if everyone does talk about the same players I think its great, its awesome to see so much activity on our godfather's Randoms website