NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 10 - Not enough Raiders

wolfking wrote:

I wouldn't dump Salmon if that happened but having him in the 17 would cause some panic and maybe look or another playable option elsewhere.

Saying that, going down to Cotter, if Chan is benched then there's money there to upgrade to even a Palasia or someone else.

Think I've talked myself into him over Harris with that aspect.

I do think you're right on your Harris assessment though.  Just hope Cotter can get back to a 50 point scorer somehow.

I think I have talked myself into the same thing.

Some added security and flexibility.

Only downside is the unknown of Cotters points.

I think sometimes with these players, its better to own them and enjoy the big scores, rather than hide behind the couch every time they take the field and hope they don't go large.

So even though I am not 100% convinced on May, I'm considering trading him in, just so I don't have to panic every time he's on the field

The Goat Boys wrote:

I think I have talked myself into the same thing.

Some added security and flexibility.

Only downside is the unknown of Cotters points.

Honestly, if he can scrap to his BE and gets decent minutes, I'll be okay with that for week 1.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Radley averaged 71 minutes last year including 3 sin bins and a 29 minute injury game in round 1

I know it doesn't fit the May=must have agenda but Radley playing big minutes is almost the only certainty in the Roosters pack

Radley averaged 60 minutes the season before, when they weren't short on forwards like last season. This year is more like that season, where they aren't short on talented players to come in.

2023 - 71 mins when short on troops
2022 - 59 mins
2021 - 61 mins
2020 - 58 mins

There is 1 season that is an outlier. Expecting back to normal this year.

Worth noting that the guy that takes his minutes at lock is Butcher, who was an 80 min EDG last season, and is now back on the bench.

wolfking wrote:

Honestly, if he can scrap to his BE and gets decent minutes, I'll be okay with that for week 1.

Another downside discovered after implementing this move is the increased ability to tinker with my team with extra cash to play with.

Can`t wait for all my players to be locked

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Who scores more points

Salmon - perhaps 40 minutes +/- 10 at LOCK                     - TU
Russell - 80 minutes carting the ball back on the WING        - TD

I'm going Russell mate. Looked good in the trials.

The Goat Boys wrote:

Another downside discovered after implementing this move is the increased ability to tinker with my team with extra cash to play with.

Can`t wait for all my players to be locked

I think cash may be more useful next week, when we have more complete information on all the teams, injuries, suspensions, new team lists etc. Really tempted to get a big bank. If Chan scores well, I will probably have $300k+ sitting there for some nice upgrades next week.

I think my cash out plan if it all goes tits up tomorrow with team changes is to just go down from Moses to SOS or maybe even Hutcho and cop is score for a week and then do some switching round 2 with 300k ish in the bank.

I thought 850 was way too high for par and that I wouldn't have a chance of making it but if all my players hit their average I'd get 846 (and that's assuming 30 points each for Salmon, Kini and Chan) so maybe not as far-fetched as I thought

I'm thinking of dumping Kiraz for Palasia

Would give me Kris as my only cover for both WFB+CTR (with Burbo and Strange only other centres)
But I'd have over $300k in the bank to bring people in next week

Also have an eye on team lists. Fantasy players seem to have a massive hard-on for Blore making the Storm team so just have to keep an eye out for final team lists in case Chan gets ditched

whall15 wrote:I thought 850 was way too high for par and that I wouldn't have a chance of making it but if all my players hit their average I'd get 846 (and that's assuming 30 points each for Salmon, Kini and Chan) so maybe not as far-fetched as I thought

I was thinking 800/820 would be about par.

My best guess at Roosters roughly planned rotations, based on what we saw last week:

Collins and Whyte share 80 mins
JWH and May share 80 mins - maybe 40 each
Wong comes off at 25 mins, after playing hard out, Butcher goes to his EDG
Wong comes back on at around 50 mins into the game, Radley comes off, Butcher moves to lock
Radley returns with 10-15 mins to go and Butcher moves to Sitili's EDG to finish the game

Would have the minutes at:
Collins 55-60
Whyte 15-20
JWH 40-45
May 40-45 (may steal another 5 or so from Whyte)
Wong goes hard out for 55 mins, could score close to 50 in that time with his work rate
Sitili 65-70 mins for 40-45 average
Radley 60-65 mins
Butcher 55 mins

Thinking of taking Taylan May over Kiraz and Penisini.

Better team and great numbers on the wing.

Just wondering whether his numbers may go up 6 points in base playing centre.

Bit of a left field pick (Probably will end up going with the crowd).

mattnz wrote:My best guess at Roosters roughly planned rotations, based on what we saw last week:

Collins and Whyte share 80 mins
JWH and May share 80 mins - maybe 40 each
Wong comes off at 25 mins, after playing hard out, Butcher goes to his EDG
Wong comes back on at around 50 mins into the game, Radley comes off, Butcher moves to lock
Radley returns with 10-15 mins to go and Butcher moves to Sitili's EDG to finish the game

Would have the minutes at:
Collins 55-60
Whyte 15-20
JWH 40-45
May 40-45 (may steal another 5 or so from Whyte)
Wong goes hard out for 55 mins, could score close to 50 in that time with his work rate
Sitili 65-70 mins for 40-45 average
Radley 60-65 mins
Butcher 55 mins

This would pretty much make the Roosters the only team in the comp to run two sub 80 minute EDGs - what makes you so certain that your idea is better than 100% of the actual coaches in the NRL?

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

This would pretty much make the Roosters the only team in the comp to run two sub 80 minute EDGs - what makes you so certain that your idea is better than 100% of the actual coaches in the NRL?

The fact that Robbo subbed Wong off at 25 minutes for Butcher to come on, and he will be looking to give Butcher as much time on the park as possible from the bench.

Think of them as similar to Panthers when they had Kikau, Capewell and Martin all sharing minutes.

last piece of the puzzle then

who averages the most points long term

shoes -- TU
salmon -- TD

i have 5 halves cleary, fogarty, hutchison, flanagan & strange...need about 50k to get the money for terrell so thinking of downgrading flanagan who's in my emg's to someone 300k or less but the options are limited it comes down to:
(a) galvin - 230k - on a bye but basement price & could feature rd 2 or
(b) faamausili - 300k - starting prop for doggies but will only play 35 mins at most but he is a busy player or
(c) muhleisen - 250k - starting on bench but is a tackling machine 42 tackles in charity shield where he came off the bench but don't know how many mins he played. liddle currently has some issue but will start or
(d) viliame fifita - 230k - starting on bench round 1 but there is l. leilua & sele who are out when they're fit he's probably out of the 17 unless m. molo is the fall guy

thoughts & thanks.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Radley averaged 71 minutes last year including 3 sin bins and a 29 minute injury game in round 1

I know it doesn't fit the May=must have agenda but Radley playing big minutes is almost the only certainty in the Roosters pack

That and Cheese doing himself an injury somewhere along the line.

Sportsbet allow you to bet on overs and unders on fantasy stats now but with no demerits and slightly different scoring using nrl stats

White Lightning wrote:i have 5 halves cleary, fogarty, hutchison, flanagan & strange...need about 50k to get the money for terrell so thinking of downgrading flanagan who's in my emg's to someone 300k or less but the options are limited it comes down to:
(a) galvin - 230k - on a bye but basement price & could feature rd 2 or
(b) faamausili - 300k - starting prop for doggies but will only play 35 mins at most but he is a busy player or
(c) muhleisen - 250k - starting on bench but is a tackling machine 42 tackles in charity shield where he came off the bench but don't know how many mins he played. liddle currently has some issue but will start or
(d) viliame fifita - 230k - starting on bench round 1 but there is l. leilua & sele who are out when they're fit he's probably out of the 17 unless m. molo is the fall guy

thoughts & thanks.

I think you've ordered them correctly.

You could also consider Suluka-Fifita, who's presumably signed with the Dogs for some gametime.

You could bet on Talau replacing Saab [edit, nope that won't work]

Finefuaki could get more time - and seems a talent.