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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 12 - No need for a restart

    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:51 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    How many injured CTRs average 47?

    This is such a nonsensical line of argument, I can barely be bothered, but - as a physio - at what point when duffing up on the wing last year - as all wingers will at some point - do you think Kiraz "got over" his injury. Was it the one where he scored ok in fantasy?
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:53 pm

    I mean, fuck it, I was only half floating selling Kiraz earlier, but now I'm definitely going to have to do it.
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    Post by my tv broke Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:53 pm

    Kiraz was obviously fit for his good scores and unfit for his bad acores.

    There are no other factors that influence a wingers ability to score or not score fantasy points.

    Now that hes unfit again, hes a trade. Easy


    Last edited by my tv broke on Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post by mattnz Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:53 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    This is such a nonsensical line of argument, I can barely be bothered, but - as a physio - at what point when duffing up on the wing last year - as all wingers will at some point - do you think Kiraz "got over" his injury. Was it the one where he scored ok in fantasy?

    NRL Physio had Kiraz as one of his first picked this season, as he came back way too early from injury and that heavily impacted his performance, not just me saying it.
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    Post by wolfking Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:54 pm

    my tv broke wrote:Kiraz was obviously fit for his good scores and unfit for his bad acores.

    There are no other factors that influence a wingers ability to score or not score fantasy points.

    That's what I was trying to say, pure logic. Absolutely no other factors are involved.
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    Post by wolfking Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:55 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    NRL Physio had Kiraz as one of his first picked this season, as he came back way too early from injury and that heavily impacted his performance, not just me saying it.

    I wonder how many top 10 or 20 finishes NRL Physio has had.
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    Post by King Assassin Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:56 pm

    wolfking wrote:

    This is what the misses tells her friends.  I appreciate it. Just need some help being 'fully fit'.

    Can confirm I was dealing with some niggles last year and the ex did in fact tell her friends I was dealing with an injury when I was "Underperforming" (AKA playing shit). Never seemed to mention it when I had that 1 good game last year.
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    Post by my tv broke Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:57 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:I mean, fuck it, I was only half floating selling Kiraz earlier, but now I'm definitely going to have to do it.

    I could actually do

    Kiraz to Tuaapiki
    Kini to Terrell

    Which would look pretty good if Taine was going to get a few more games than currently expected.
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:57 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    NRL Physio had Kiraz as one of his first picked this season, as he came back way too early from injury and that heavily impacted his performance, not just me saying it.

    I picked him too! At centre.
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    Post by mattnz Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:57 pm

    wolfking wrote:

    I wonder how many top 10 or 20 finishes NRL Physio has had.

    When I want expert advice on NRL injuries and their impact on performance, I am happy to take his over yours.
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    Post by Rabbits21 Mon Mar 11, 2024 10:58 pm

    WT Winfield wrote:

    Yeah seems about right from the limited samples I looked up. SJ at 515 last year, Cleary at 470 with Luai 70. Foggy 388 with Wighton 172 last year and 261 and 284 respectively in 2022.

    I probably should've said ~500 KM average for Foggy seems reasonable, rather than 500+.
    So an extra 3 points or so in kicking plus 3-4 points in GK would get him to about a 53 avg
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    Post by Rabbits21 Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:00 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    TayMay isn't a must at this point? It's good if you started with him, but there are so many potential gun centres (Holmes, Manu, Gagai, Garrick, RTS, Tago, you could maybe add Aitken) who can match him that it seems worth treating them like gun WFBs where you buy the slump. Several of those will be available at less than $630k during the season. For example Tago with his high BE is likely to cross May in price next week, although at some point soon he'll score 70 in a game where May scores 20. They're centres. If you want a gun around May's price point, just buy Teddy, who I can confidently predict will score you more points than May this season.

    Kiraz could also be one of those gun centres, but I'm also considering punting him. On the wing, he's a 40 point scorer (two years of data) and he's priced at 40. I know JAC might only be out a few weeks but once Xerri is in there's a fair chance that JAC comes back for Wilson instead and Kiraz stats wing. Without thinking about position, think I could get considerably more bang from buck from Smithies, who I should have started with.
    Mate how many mins do you think for Smithies once Horse is back hard to know how that rotation works
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    Post by wolfking Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:00 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    When I want expert advice on NRL injuries and their impact on performance, I am happy to take his over yours.

    Me too, cause I know fuck all about players carrying injuries and have never professed that I do, unlike some.
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    Post by wolfking Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:03 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:
    Mate how many mins do you think for Smithies once Horse is back hard to know how that rotation works

    53 minutes and 27 seconds.
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    Post by rhinoceroo Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:04 pm

    Rabbits21 wrote:
    Mate how many mins do you think for Smithies once Horse is back hard to know how that rotation works

    Gambling on 60-65 minutes for a 50ish average. That would do me. Doesn't look to have many attacking stats in him (as expected) but there'll be turnovers and the occasional time he'll be put through a huge gap near the line or be the first to touch the ball off a batted-back kick or whatever. Can't read Ricky's mind on minutes, but he's solid as hell for the team and clearly has the motor.
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    Post by Teeth Eater Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:08 pm

    Kinda just hearing the outskirts of the Galvin rumours, but man, that would be an absolute Christ-send for anyone who stupidly picked up V.Fifita and is wondering how best to get rid of him immediately. That'd just be perfect.

    Which means Sezer will be named tomorrow. Surely?
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    Post by Rabbits21 Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:20 pm

    wolfking wrote:

    53 minutes and 27 seconds.
    Will need more than that
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    Post by robelgordo Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:21 pm

    People seem to be reaching a bit to sell players, does that mean maybe don't sell any players?
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    Post by Rabbits21 Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:23 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    Gambling on 60-65 minutes for a 50ish average. That would do me. Doesn't look to have many attacking stats in him (as expected) but there'll be turnovers and the occasional time he'll be put through a huge gap near the line or be the first to touch the ball off a batted-back kick or whatever. Can't read Ricky's mind on minutes, but he's solid as hell for the team and clearly has the motor.

    Tapine 50mins
    Papali’i 40mins
    Horse 45-50mins
    Smithies 55-60mins
    Guler 25mins
    Mariota 20mins


    Something like this maybe? Hard to see Smithies getting those 65mins
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    Post by Boozecluez Mon Mar 11, 2024 11:24 pm

    Haha so was sent this email now
    Even though the system won’t let you create a team during lockout it still let me (using the app)
    Nothing in the system stopped or mentioned this but they probably manually flagged it haha

    Was a fun 24 hours, guessing they had to put some overtime in

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      Current date/time is Sat Nov 23, 2024 6:03 pm