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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 54 - Will the real Jake Sully please stand up

    Finch
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    Post by Finch Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:34 am

    Khany wrote:This rd 19 WFB situation isn't going away

    What's your current situation?
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    Post by OB Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:36 am

    easytiger wrote:

    The stock market analogy is half fair - buying high and low is a key part of Fantasy strategy, but stocks are in play every week and you don't get paid dividends for every week you own them.
    Players you essentially get dividends (as points) only when they play, the less they play the less points you earn.

    So as it stands the Storm have 10 games left. Harry misses this one. I'm tipping large scale resting for R26 or 27, so that's imo another, and 50-50 on R20.
    So possibly plays 7 or 8 out of 10 remaining.
    But then I also think he plays 60 minutes in 2 or 3 of those, so to me, he's got potentially only 5 games as an 80-minute Hooker - is that worth me playing a man short this week?, maybe not.

    There's truth in that selling now is like selling at a floor, but it also might be that it's actually just selling at his points value going forward.
    Not hugely different to buying Aitken the last few weeks at likely a ceiling price - sometimes in fantasy we just have to take the value hit for the sake of overall points

    I fully agree with everything you are saying and everyones' individual situation calls for different valuations on certain moves.

    My comment comes from the perspective of trying to develop a heuristic approach to my decision making in this game. Therefore was probably shortsighted of me to announce that the reasons that Grant is likely a buy for me would apply to others; that Grant is a universal hold or buy.

    I appreciate it when my rules of thumb get challenged. Helps me understand the nuances of when to adhere to and when to adjust my heuristic framework.
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    Post by Camo123 Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:37 am

    For reference

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    Post by BCT05 Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:41 am

    Would love to hear something, anything, about Twal
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:44 am

    BCT05 wrote:Would love to hear something, anything, about Twal

    Apparently Twal does not like black jellybeans
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    Post by Wiremu Trades Gone? Sat Jun 29, 2024 11:46 am

    Chevy, Guler and Horse into the Raidercup side and Adam Cook has been withdrawn
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    Post by Revraiser Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:01 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

    Apparently Twal does not like black jellybeans

    PODs and black jelly beans today, Ur firing 🔥
    standard-issue
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    Post by standard-issue Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:06 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:
    BCT05 wrote:Would love to hear something, anything, about Twal

    Apparently Twal does not like black jellybeans

    I know this horrible rumour has been doing the rounds, but not sure how much truth to it there is. A new low for Buzz to dampen a couple of wins for the Tigers.
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    Post by robelgordo Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:12 pm

    The Grant thing is if you’re catching a zero this week with <17 players, then you know he missed R19, probably gets minutes managed in R20 and R27 at a minimum, then it’s not ideal to sell low but it’s better than holding IMO (well maybe not with 1-2 trades left, but more is fine IMO)

    Hynes is just people being hysterical. Finch had to be trolling.
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    Post by Tigs Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:12 pm

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    Post by Chewie Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:25 pm

    Great contributions on here today.
    My 2 cents:
    Hynes was unlucky in both Origin appearances, he probably has more talent than Moses, but Moses is currently the better and smarter halfback. Cleary is a level above both.
    The Storm look more vulnerable this season, but know how to win games. I doubt that Munster will come back to peak performance this season, and Grant will continue to be sub-par compared to previous seasons. In saying that Harry will still be one of the top 3 Hookers this season, so no need to sell him if you still have him, but he's not an urgent buy either.
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    Post by Tigs Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:29 pm

    Lomax out
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    Post by robelgordo Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:40 pm

    Tigs wrote:Lomax out

    SMH report is they are hopeful he’ll be fit for Origin . So not looking good for R18 either

    RIP Dragons slim top 8 chances but hey at least NSW won amirite?
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    Post by my tv broke Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:52 pm

    Down to 15 and hynes C underwelming, feels like a trade is necessary (have 5).

    Carrigan to JHughes
    Or
    Wighton to Marzhew

    Are on the table. Leaning latter atm, because it feels silly to trade out a keeper. Wighton feels expendable. All it really achieves is an extra number this week.

    Hughes has obviously been hot for fantasy. Havent seen a storm game in weeks though, so no idea if hes a 60s guy now or just slips back to regular programming.

    Do eels love to jam in? Could big greggy get a double today? Im building into it

    I could double trade to get to 17 but one of the ins would have to be a mid/edg, so cant do both of the above


    Last edited by my tv broke on Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:56 pm; edited 1 time in total
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:55 pm

    OB wrote:

    I fully agree with everything you are saying and everyones' individual situation calls for different valuations on certain moves.

    My comment comes from the perspective of trying to develop a heuristic approach to my decision making in this game. Therefore was probably shortsighted of me to announce that the reasons that Grant is likely a buy for me would apply to others; that Grant is a universal hold or buy.

    I appreciate it when my rules of thumb get challenged. Helps me understand the nuances of when to adhere to and when to adjust my heuristic framework.

    I, too, don't mind being challenged; sometimes, it's the best way to check my own thinking or see if there's something I've missed.

    In previous years Grant has been an elite "must-have" hooker, it doesn't quite seem that way this year.
    He'll be in the top 3, but close enough to other options that it all becomes horses-for-courses. There will be situations where he's an option to sell, hold, or buy, and all of them justifiable.

    My pitiful team value means that everyone gets my eye cast over them Laughing

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    Post by Guest Sat Jun 29, 2024 12:59 pm

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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:02 pm

    my tv broke wrote:Down to 15 and hynes C underwelming, feels like a trade is necessary (have 5).

    Carrigan to JHughes
    Or
    Wighton to Marzhew

    Are on the table. Leaning latter atm, because it feels silly to trade out a keeper. Wighton feels expendable. All it really achieves is an extra number this week.

    Hughes has obviously been hot for fantasy. Havent seen a storm game in weeks though, so no idea if hes a 60s guy now or just slips back to regular programming.

    Do eels love to jam in? Could big greggy get a double today? Im building into it

    I could double trade to get to 17 but one of the ins would have to be a mid/edg, so cant do both of the above
    I’m in a similar boat with Wighton. Thinking of going to Sharpe and just hoping he goes nuts for the next three weeks
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    Post by my tv broke Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:05 pm

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    I’m in a similar boat with Wighton. Thinking of going to Sharpe and just hoping he goes nuts for the next three weeks

    Ive already got sharpe which does make me hesitant to bring in another knights outside back, given they are *checks notes* shithouse (sorry my knights familia)
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    Post by Rabbits21 Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:12 pm

    Any word on Yeo yet?

    I’m at work
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    Post by Guest Sat Jun 29, 2024 1:21 pm

    so i think i'm going to sell grant & wighton....only have 13 players so a couple of trades to have 15. which trade in option do you like:
    TU: J. Hughes & Sharpe or
    TD: Samuela Fainu & Cartwright

    cheers.

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