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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 19

    Jele
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    Post by Jele Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:12 am

    Warriors wrote:

    I've gone TRD, happy to watch Abbey this weekend and decide next week if its worth moving Idris on.

    Even with Copely now at the Titans, surely TRD keeps his spot until 1 of Don/Hayne come back?

    Sarginson is out this game by the looks of it, and when back centres are Hurrell, Sarginson and back 3 of Copely, Zillman and TRD you would think. Given TRD was starting ahead of Vidot and Cornish surely Cornish will lose his spot first next week to Copely and then hes got the job until Hayne/Don come back which is 4-6 weeks? Even then, his form could warrant staying in the side.

    Just couldn't pass up the free money of a 37 score, base price with negative break even. Scores of 20 he still makes very good money.

    how much do you calculate TRD makes in that situation (37 points followed by say four scores of 20)? Anyone know what Assistant Coach predicts for him this week (score and price rise)?
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:12 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:JBrom as a keeper prop option is nice but he doesn't play round 12. Whitehead and Bodene are probably higher priorities if they both put up 50's this week

    Hmmm I hadn't considered Bodene yet, will have to keep an eye on his scores and minutes to see when he bottoms out
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    Post by standard-issue Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:13 am

    Warriors wrote:
    pm888 wrote:abbey up to almost 18%, Trd 2.3%, cornish 1.5%. easy to see where fantasy punters are flocking.

    might be a pod to go one of the titans pair and hope for points. i dont have the balls though, going to run with abbey

    I've gone TRD, happy to watch Abbey this weekend and decide next week if its worth moving Idris on.

    Even with Copely now at the Titans, surely TRD keeps his spot until 1 of Don/Hayne come back?

    Sarginson is out this game by the looks of it, and when back centres are Hurrell, Sarginson and back 3 of Copely, Zillman and TRD you would think. Given TRD was starting ahead of Vidot and Cornish surely Cornish will lose his spot first next week to Copely and then hes got the job until Hayne/Don come back which is 4-6 weeks? Even then, his form could warrant staying in the side.

    Just couldn't pass up the free money of a 37 score, base price with negative break even. Scores of 20 he still makes very good money.

    Anyone now how much cash he makes if he hits a 30?

    Tyrone Phillips is spooking me on Abbey, and actually got a feeling once Ponga is finally in the team Green will find a spot week in week out if he goes a long way to winning them a game or 2.
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    Post by wolfking Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:16 am

    I'm aiming to get Bodene, Whitehead and JBrom. Have 246K after downgrading Carty to Hess so could also stockpile and go Talakai to Abbey but again, I'll wait. It will cost me, but I think I have that room to move. Have Jacks also which is great. Although I have Moga. Suspect
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:17 am

    Warriors wrote:

    Get all three,

    Sironen becomes Whitehead and you can probably afford to wait longer than round 5.

    Cash cow backs get downgraded to make up the cash to get JBrom and Bodene will bottom out round 5? Problem is most will still be making cash up to about round 7/8.


    I've gotta trade Munster out this week so considering JBrom despite the fact he has 10k still to lose. Probably worth banking the points rather than waiting for 10k. Leaves me plenty of cash to grab Whitehead and Bodene for Sironen and Jwal/Kaufusi/Musgrove
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:19 am

    SI wrote:

    Anyone now how much cash he makes if he hits a 30?  

    Tyrone Phillips is spooking me on Abbey, and actually got a feeling once Ponga is finally in the team Green will find a spot week in week out if he goes a long way to winning them a game or 2.

    Phillips is a winger so Montoya is most at threat rather than Abbey. Based on previous price rises I worked out that every point above or below the b/e was worth $925. If TRD scores 30 he should make approx. 31-32k.
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    Post by Ross96p Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:24 am

    Are most people with the smith and brailey combination looking to upgrade brailey to mcinnes or maccas once he is maxed out and run 2 gun hookers
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:27 am

    Just running numbers on some trades

    JBrom 37, 50, 50 398k
    Whitehead 50, 50, 50 372k
    Bodene 50, 50, 50 420k
    Sironen 35, 35, 35 305k(15k from peak)
    Musgrove 35, 35, 35 291k(29k from peak)

    Basically it looks like the guns are going to bottom out before the cows are ready to be milked. Is it worth forgoing 50k in price rises to bank the points early?


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    Post by Loomer Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:28 am

    Points win prizes
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:30 am

    Ross96p wrote:Are most people with the smith and brailey combination looking to upgrade brailey to mcinnes or maccas once he is maxed out and run 2 gun hookers

    I keep forgetting about this but I think it actually needs to become a priority. Segeyaro will eventually happen, too.
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    Post by RandomSil Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:30 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Just running numbers on some trades

    JBrom 37, 50, 50 398k
    Whitehead 50, 50, 50 372k
    Bodene 50, 50, 50 420k
    Sironen 35, 35, 35 305k(15k from peak)
    Musgrove 35, 35, 35 291k(29k from peak)

    Basically it looks like the guns are going to bottom out before the cows are ready to be milked. Is it worth forgoing 50k in price rises to bank the points early?

    I would go with the trades when they bottom out, whatever extra cash you are going to make from the likes of Sironen you will lose in what the Guns start to earn back. Essentially you wont be making cash of the cows if you plan to turn them to the exact same players who start rising in price from then on.
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    Post by standard-issue Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:31 am

    White Lightning wrote:
    SI wrote:

    Anyone now how much cash he makes if he hits a 30?  

    Tyrone Phillips is spooking me on Abbey, and actually got a feeling once Ponga is finally in the team Green will find a spot week in week out if he goes a long way to winning them a game or 2.

    Phillips is a winger so Montoya is most at threat rather than Abbey. Based on previous price rises I worked out that every point above or below the b/e was worth $925. If TRD scores 30 he should make approx. 31-32k.

    So mainly a winger in First Grade then? He played everywhere in U20's didn't he? Wasn't he in the mix with Perrett and someone else for Barba's spot when Barba left?
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    Post by Warriors Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:33 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Just running numbers on some trades

    JBrom 37, 50, 50 398k
    Whitehead 50, 50, 50 372k
    Bodene 50, 50, 50 420k
    Sironen 35, 35, 35 305k(15k from peak)
    Musgrove 35, 35, 35 291k(29k from peak)

    Basically it looks like the guns are going to bottom out before the cows are ready to be milked. Is it worth forgoing 50k in price rises to bank the points early?



    Last year Whitehead had scores of 32 and 42 before going on to average 50s. I'm not sure that JBrom, Whitehead etc hit 50s right off the bat so they could fall lower than anticipated.
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    Post by Warriors Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:35 am

    Loomer wrote:Reports saying DCE doubtful for game. Would this be good news for Koro and or Dalker or would Hastings come in for DCE?

    Hope DCE plays so Dalker can still kick. If Hastings comes in he takes the kicking. Get Koro out of your team now.
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    Post by filthridden Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:35 am

    White Lightning wrote:

    Phillips is a winger so Montoya is most at threat rather than Abbey. Based on previous price rises I worked out that every point above or below the b/e was worth $925. If TRD scores 30 he should make approx. 31-32k.

    Any backline player is a threat to Abbey if they decide to move BMoz into the #1 position after a week or two (or even tonight).
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    Post by rhinoceroo Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:40 am

    Ross96p wrote:Are most people with the smith and brailey combination looking to upgrade brailey to mcinnes or maccas once he is maxed out and run 2 gun hookers

    They're neither of them much use over the byes in combination with Smith. Friend works better.

    One option is to trade Smith out before Origin and pick him back up Round 20. He misses 4 out of 8 weeks 12-19. Will have to work out whether that's the way to go deoending on rest if team set-up nearer the time.

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    Post by rhinoceroo Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:50 am

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    They're neither of them much use over the byes in combination with Smith. Friend works better.

    One option is to trade Smith out before Origin and pick him back up Round 20. He misses 4 out of 8 weeks 12-19. Will have to work out whether that's the way to go deoending on rest if team set-up nearer the time.


    Actually, the more I think about it the ideal move if you have the cash and trades would be to trade both of them before byes to a complementary pair eg. Friend and McInnis who between them play all rounds then bring Smith back in Round 20 for whichever is scoring worse.
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:50 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Just running numbers on some trades

    JBrom 37, 50, 50 398k
    Whitehead 50, 50, 50 372k
    Bodene 50, 50, 50 420k
    Sironen 35, 35, 35 305k(15k from peak)
    Musgrove 35, 35, 35 291k(29k from peak)

    Basically it looks like the guns are going to bottom out before the cows are ready to be milked. Is it worth forgoing 50k in price rises to bank the points early?



    Frustrating that they are peaking at the same time... I can't make 3 trades in one round :pp:

    Hopefully one of them with have an avg score this round or next so it spreads it out a bit.

    I'll probably "upgrade" ET to one of these guns, unless ET starts firing in the next few rounds
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    Post by standard-issue Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:50 am

    filthridden wrote:
    White Lightning wrote:

    Phillips is a winger so Montoya is most at threat rather than Abbey. Based on previous price rises I worked out that every point above or below the b/e was worth $925. If TRD scores 30 he should make approx. 31-32k.

    Any backline player is a threat to Abbey if they decide to move BMoz into the #1 position after a week or two (or even tonight).

    Yeah, I take WL's point though that all things being equal Montoya is first to go though. I reversed my Abbey trade lst night so I can see exactly what happens when teams are named.
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    Post by standard-issue Fri Mar 17, 2017 11:52 am

    rhinoceroo wrote:
    rhinoceroo wrote:

    They're neither of them much use over the byes in combination with Smith. Friend works better.

    One option is to trade Smith out before Origin and pick him back up Round 20. He misses 4 out of 8 weeks 12-19. Will have to work out whether that's the way to go deoending on rest if team set-up nearer the time.


    Actually, the more I think about it the ideal move if you have the cash and trades would be to trade both of them before byes to a complementary pair eg. Friend and McInnis who between them play all rounds then bring Smith back in Round 20 for whichever is scoring worse.

    And there's always the chorus of "Smith will be managed through Origin" that may actually ring true one year.

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