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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 40

    Johnny B Goode
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    Post by Johnny B Goode Mon May 15, 2017 2:13 pm

    What do people think about a Brailey to Friend trade this week. Brailey actually outscored him a few rounds ago in less game time but he'll miss Round 13 and Friend takes on more duties over Origin.

    Friend ain't putting up keeper scores but he very well could and that's making me reconsider plans. Basically comes down to whether I think Friend will outscore Brailey in 12. I'll still have 100k if I do the trade
    bluetige
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    Post by bluetige Mon May 15, 2017 2:13 pm

    @WL

    Friend certainly was gunning it during the first 8 or so rounds last year without Pearce and Cordner, and come the Origin period with Cordner out and Pearce injured he had a 53, 51 and 54 (80, 64, 64 min) and as soon as Pearce come back he got a 44 and 45 in 80 min both games. In 2015 when Pearce played Origin he ave 50 in 71 minutes for the 6 rounds around Origin, his season ave was 52



    I've been thinking of trading out Cam Smith for Friend over Origin hence the research.

    Smith during the same period 
    2016 ave 64 in 78 min, season ave 67
    2015 ave 58 in 79 min, season ave 61
    2014 ave 50 in 71 min, season ave 52

    I am leaning towards holding Smith now and saving 2 trades
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon May 15, 2017 2:14 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    This is something I've wondered about. I'm not sure whether they're contracted to provided "final" stats within X hours, but it wouldn't seem terribly necessary (especially if it reduces the quality of output).

    Assuming the stats guys are based in AU it seems silly to do a live call and then full, final review immediately after the game has finished, taking them through to sometimes 11, 12 or 1am.

    Regardless of issues with TA's, TB's, etc, I would be interested to know how its all done and what their contractual obligations are.


    Last I read they were doing it out of Palmerston North NZ. But Im not sure if things changed when Stats acquired Prozone 2 years ago!

    http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/league/72017064/palmerston-norths-prozone-headquarters-providing-statistics-for-the-nrl

    The dude in the photo is still listed as working in PN for Stats so connecting the dots you'd say they are still doing it from there!
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon May 15, 2017 2:15 pm

    bluetige wrote:Feeling in a crap mood today. On top of all the things happening at the Tigers my Fantasy team went to shit over the weekend and with Normans injury my bye planning is now in turmoil. Will probably bring in Cody Walker or Adam Reynolds for him. If I go Arey, he will end up playing Origin somehow, so I'm favouring Walker and he is a little bit better value too.

    So many of us have a gripe with the stats guys and I can see why, whether its a missed TB or an un-rewarded TA they cop a hammering and deservedly so. However it is a hard job taking stats, especially live stats so I understand how they get some things wrong. I've tried taking stats myself and appreciate how difficult is is to get it right the first time.

    Prozone (its not Fanhub as some people complain about), you useless fucks, how about taking the time to review each game correctly. You always seem in a hurry to get stats out within a few hours, why? Most people will be in bed anyway, whats the fucking hurry. I don't care if it takes another 12 hours, just get it right on the review. I have no doubts about the fuck-ups you make, some of these are judgemental like awarding TB's or TA's but certain things are easier to calculate like run and kick metres gained. Example: Billy Slater had 2 kicks the other night, the first one around the 9 and half minutes which was a grubber that travelled 17m and the second kick was seconds before half time which travelled for 18m which you awarded in your live stats. Added together thats 36m but 18m was noted and was missed in the review. This is only 1 example, there have been many more, all I  want to see is you get it right.

    Prozone read these forums last year, lets hope they do this year too.

    Rant

    As above, technically 'Stats' after they bought Prozone 2 years ago!
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Mon May 15, 2017 2:18 pm

    bluetige wrote:@WL

    Friend certainly was gunning it during the first 8 or so rounds last year without Pearce and Cordner, and come the Origin period with Cordner out and Pearce injured he had a 53, 51 and 54 (80, 64, 64 min) and as soon as Pearce come back he got a 44 and 45 in 80 min both games. In 2015 when Pearce played Origin he ave 50 in 71 minutes for the 6 rounds around Origin, his season ave was 52



    I've been thinking of trading out Cam Smith for Friend over Origin hence the research.

    Smith during the same period 
    2016 ave 64 in 78 min, season ave 67
    2015 ave 58 in 79 min, season ave 61
    2014 ave 50 in 71 min, season ave 52

    I am leaning towards holding Smith now and saving 2 trades

    The key point here is that between 12 and 19 Smith plays 4 times in 8 weeks (and 2 of the 4 he plays are backing up after origin)
    Friend plays 6 times in 8 weeks.

    So you are trading quantity in over quality.
    Friend also pairs well with McInnes such that you always have a premium hooker available.
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Mon May 15, 2017 2:18 pm

    Interesting article, perhaps the buy out has affected the quality of stats (staff?)
    danseels1985
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    Post by danseels1985 Mon May 15, 2017 2:21 pm

    Any thoughts on my team please:

    Smith McInnes
    McGuire FKaufusi Brown Ese ese
    JDB Surgess Crichton Elliot CHN Fuimaono
    SJ Norman Niko Hampton
    BJ Aubusson Kelly Idris
    RTS Slater Hayne Suli Phythian

    18 trades and 220k left. Was thinking Norman to Walker and Suli to Munster. Anybody got any other suggestions?
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    Post by Guest Mon May 15, 2017 2:21 pm

    bluetige wrote:@WL

    Friend certainly was gunning it during the first 8 or so rounds last year without Pearce and Cordner, and come the Origin period with Cordner out and Pearce injured he had a 53, 51 and 54 (80, 64, 64 min) and as soon as Pearce come back he got a 44 and 45 in 80 min both games. In 2015 when Pearce played Origin he ave 50 in 71 minutes for the 6 rounds around Origin, his season ave was 52



    I've been thinking of trading out Cam Smith for Friend over Origin hence the research.

    Smith during the same period 
    2016 ave 64 in 78 min, season ave 67
    2015 ave 58 in 79 min, season ave 61
    2014 ave 50 in 71 min, season ave 52

    I am leaning towards holding Smith now and saving 2 trades

    Cheers mate.
    bluetige
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    Post by bluetige Mon May 15, 2017 2:25 pm

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:

    Last I read they were doing it out of Palmerston North NZ. But Im not sure if things changed when Stats acquired Prozone 2 years ago!

    http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/league/72017064/palmerston-norths-prozone-headquarters-providing-statistics-for-the-nrl

    The dude in the photo is still listed as working in PN for Stats so connecting the dots you'd say they are still doing it from there!

    From the article it appears they make an effort to get things right in an allotted time frame. It makes me wonder if Fantasy get the final stats or not, "Kane said a review of each match can take between 6 and 20 man hours to complete and there are multiple analysts working on them at any one time". 
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    Post by bluetige Mon May 15, 2017 2:30 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    The key point here is that between  12 and 19 Smith plays 4 times in 8 weeks (and 2 of the 4 he plays are backing up after origin)
    Friend plays 6 times in 8 weeks.

    So you are trading quantity in over quality.
    Friend also pairs well with McInnes such that you always have a premium hooker available.
    Your right, thats why I was initially going to do the trade but its 2 trades and after previous years I know how valuable trades are at the back end of the season, hence I may hold Smith. Also other trades are looking more important, ie, Norman
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon May 15, 2017 2:30 pm

    my tv broke wrote:Interesting article, perhaps the buy out has affected the quality of stats (staff?)

    Quite likely. Back when I was living in PN the bulk of the coding was done by Uni students. A fucken horrible job to be honest. So the lower you pay these guys the less they give a shit. If the buy out resulted in less money to staff then I could see the quality of stats deteriorating! The speed at which they "review" the stats suggest they are not being that thorough.
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    Post by Milchcow Mon May 15, 2017 2:33 pm


    Its also possible that stats get reviewed quicker now because they have improved/automated enough technology such that they can just do things more efficiently.

    Its just as likely as random guys giving bonus stats to whoever they own in their fantasy team
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    Post by Guest Mon May 15, 2017 2:35 pm

    bluetige wrote:
    Your right, thats why I was initially going to do the trade but its 2 trades and after previous years I know how valuable trades are at the back end of the season, hence I may hold Smith. Also other trades are looking more important, ie, Norman

    That's right. I remember 2-3 years ago I went Smith to Macca in round 12 & by round 20 I ran out of trades as per usual. I was just lucky that on the home stretch Macca was matching Smith's scores.
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    Post by filthridden Mon May 15, 2017 2:38 pm

    Fortitude wrote:

    I don't want to be all SJW here, but he has every right to not play on sundays if its religious conviction. (The reason we have a Monday to Friday working week actually goes hand in hand with this)

    Employers of any type of job are required to make reasonable adjustment for religion, disability, gender all those sorts of things. Working a 9-5 job doesn't change your right to make these sort of demands.

    The issue is you cant pick and choose when it suits you and when it doesn't. If you do start to pick and chose you run the risk of looking like a fucking hypocritical douchebag.

    Bulldogs should make a stand, cut his salary by a certain percentage and not allow him to play sundays, in line with his previous demands. That way, they are being "PC" and tolerant of religious difference, and in the process likely discourage others from trying to pull the religion card.



    never understood why SJW was an insult.
    Bulldogs had every right to not sign him a contract if he didn't want to play Sundays but they did sign him up.
    Is the Sunday thing in his contract? Good for him. If not, the Bulldogs have been doing him a favour.
    Is he going to play Sundays now because the Bulldogs have requested that in a new contract? Maybe.

    I don't agree with his religion but I honestly don't have a problem with any of this.

    If I was a Bulldogs fan, I might be asking the question do we really think he's good enough to take up that cap space if he's not committed to 100% of games?

    However I am a Warriors fan and I know our players are committed to playing around 40mins each game.
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    Post by Fortitude Mon May 15, 2017 2:42 pm

    filthridden wrote:

    never understood why SJW was an insult.
    Bulldogs had every right to not sign him a contract if he didn't want to play Sundays but they did sign him up.
    Is the Sunday thing in his contract? Good for him. If not, the Bulldogs have been doing him a favour.
    Is he going to play Sundays now because the Bulldogs have requested that in a new contract? Maybe.

    I don't agree with his religion but I honestly don't have a problem with any of this.

    If I was a Bulldogs fan, I might be asking the question do we really think he's good enough to take up that cap space if he's not committed to 100% of games?

    However I am a Warriors fan and I know our players are committed to playing around 40mins each game.

    My point being he has every right to request something. But no right to change his stance. His religion hasn't changed, so why should his stance. You either believe in something or you don't.

    Try being a raiders fan. Either they are shit hot, or shit.
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon May 15, 2017 2:43 pm

    bluetige wrote:

    From the article it appears they make an effort to get things right in an allotted time frame. It makes me wonder if Fantasy get the final stats or not, "Kane said a review of each match can take between 6 and 20 man hours to complete and there are multiple analysts working on them at any one time". 

    Or if things have changed in the last couple years - could be that they just aren't spending that amount of time on it anymore. One could imagine a situation where their bosses tell them they have to get it right the first time and cut back on the review hours. I mean at the end of the day who holds these guys accountable? Do Fansub really care if a few stats are missed here and there? or if they get a few things wrong? As long as they are the cheapest provider and do an 'adequate job' all is well...right?
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    Post by Guest Mon May 15, 2017 2:45 pm

    Fortitude wrote:

    My point being he has every right to request something. But no right to change his stance. His religion hasn't changed, so why should his stance. You either believe in something or you don't.

    Try being a raiders fan. Either they are shit hot, or shit.

    Just because he's religious doesn't change the fact that he's a greedy capitalist just like the rest of us haha.
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    Post by bluetige Mon May 15, 2017 2:47 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    That's right. I remember 2-3 years ago I went Smith to Macca in round 12 & by round 20 I ran out of trades as per usual. I was just lucky that on the home stretch Macca was matching Smith's scores.
    Can't remember exactly when, maybe 5-6 years ago I traded Smith out for the Origin period but he had absolute blinders in between Origin games. His price rose too much for me to afford bringing him back after Origin finished. I can laugh about it now but it was far from funny at the time
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    Post by filthridden Mon May 15, 2017 2:50 pm

    Fortitude wrote:

    My point being he has every right to request something. But no right to change his stance. His religion hasn't changed, so why should his stance. You either believe in something or you don't.

    Try being a raiders fan. Either they are shit hot, or shit.

    Why can't he change his stance? Religion is not black and white, it's up for interpretation by the individual.

    Imaigne if a Seventh-day Adventist was playing for the Broncos and asked to be excused from Friday night games.
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    Post by bluetige Mon May 15, 2017 2:51 pm

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:

    Or if things have changed in the last couple years - could be that they just aren't spending that amount of time on it anymore. One could imagine a situation where their bosses tell them they have to get it right the first time and cut back on the review hours. I mean at the end of the day who holds these guys accountable? Do Fansub really care if a few stats are missed here and there? or if they get a few things wrong? As long as they are the cheapest provider and do an 'adequate job' all is well...right?
    You may be right, it was a couple of years ago so who knows what happened. It would be nice if it eventually gets cleared up for us though

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