Even though there is still more than half of the comp to go, there has been a little bit of talk about cashing out to a red dot for looping purposes. For me, it's still to early to be doing that, but if anyone is looking to do this then hopefully this list of red dot candidates will prove useful.
When it comes to choosing a red dot, ideally you want that (non) players team to be playing the bulk of their matches as late as possible in each round. In practice this requirement is difficult to achieve and in fact is not really necessary. As long as you choose a red dot from a team that has no, or very few, Thursday night and 6pm Friday games you should be able to set up a decent loop each round. This will generally work as each week you are likely to have a couple of green dots who play in the first two matches of the round.
So which teams have the best draw to allow this?
Well for me it has to be the Raiders, who after a bad start in Round 10, have no Thurs/6pmFri matches for the remainder of the season. The next best teams would then be the Sharks followed by the Knights. Both of these teams have two 6pmFri matches after Round 10 with no Thurs games at all. I've placed the Knights after the Sharks as one of their 6pmFri games is in Round 20 and you may well be relying on the possibility of a loop in the final round to win a h2h grand final.
For those of you who prefer to have red dots from teams who have as many Sunday games as possible, your best bets are to choose them from either the Warriors or the Knights. The Warriors have six Sunday games and no Thursday games, however, they do have three 6pm Friday games in consecutive weeks from Round 12. The Knights have five Sunday games and no Thursday games, although as already mentioned they do have one early game in the final round.
The table below shows the number of matches each team has on Thursday, Thurs/6pmFri, and Sunday along with the rounds in which these matches occur
Some of the other teams, such as Manly and Wests Tigers, become more attractive options as you progress further in the draw, so could be an option also if you are looking to cash-out a little later in the season.
The table below shows some red dot forward candidates from the teams who have a favourable draw for looping purposes. Obviously any of these players (except for those with a season ending injury) could get a run in their teams at any stage and the off-contract players could be picked up by another club. So have a good think about the likelihood of any of these players getting a start before selecting them as a cash-out.
Name | Team | Position | Price | Status |
Tom Starling | CAN | HOK | 228000 | |
JJ Collins | CAN | FRF | 246000 | released |
Cruz Topai-Aveai | CRO | 2RF | 228000 | |
Kayleb Milne | CRO | 2RF | 228000 | |
Teig Wilton | CRO | 2RF | 228000 | |
Cameron King | CRO | HOK | 246000 | injured/out for season |
Jirah Momoisea | NEW | 2RF | 228000 | |
Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard | WAR | FRF | 228000 | |
Jackson Frei | WAR | FRF | 228000 | injured/out for season |
Josh Curran | WAR | 2RF | 238000 | |
Leivaha Pulu | WAR | 2RF | 246000 |
The table below shows some red dot backline candidates from the teams who have a favourable draw for looping purposes. These players should prove more useful than the forwards as ideally you want to be looping your backline players as they are your more boom/bust types. The same caveats as above apply.
Name | Team | Position | Price | Status |
Andre Niko | CAN | WFB | 228000 | injured/out for season |
Harley Smith-Shields | CAN | CTR | 228000 | |
Semi Valemei | CAN | WFB | 228000 | |
Connor Tracey | CRO | HLF | 216000 | played 4 matches |
Braydon Trindall | CRO | HLF | 228000 | |
Jackson Ferris | CRO | CTR | 228000 | |
Starford To'a | NEW | WFB | 228000 | named in Rd9 |
Phoenix Crossland | NEW | HLF | 246000 | |
Tyrone Roberts-Davis | NEW | WFB | 246000 | |
Taane Milne | WAR | CTR | 246000 | injured/out for season |
Andre Niko and Taane Milne are the winners here.
When it comes to DPP red dots (the most useful for looping purposes) it looks like Failhub have royally screwed us. They either suffer from being from a non-favourable club or from being well above base price. The DPP forward candidates are shown in the table below:
Name | Team | Position 1 | Position 2 | Price |
Michael Chee-Kam | WST | 2RF | CTR | 264000 |
Tyrone Peachey | GLD | 2RF | CTR | 355000 |
Aaron Pene | MEL | FRF | 2RF | 228000 |
Corey Jensen | NQL | FRF | 2RF | 272000 |
Jacob Host | SGI | FRF | 2RF | 302000 |
Ofahiki Ogden | CBY | FRF | 2RF | 343000 |
Sauaso Sue | CBY | FRF | 2RF | 343000 |
Ethan Bullemore | BRI | FRF | 2RF | 229000 |
Cory Paix | BRI | HLF | HOK | 313000 |
Most of these players are currently starting (or on the interchange) for their teams and hence are not good selections. The "good" options here are Pene and Bullemore who are both cheap and unlikely to see any (more) first team action unless there is an injury crisis at their respective clubs.
The DPP backline red dot candidates are shown below:
Name | Team | Position 1 | Position 2 | Price |
Adam Pompey | WAR | CTR | WFB | 260000 |
Ben Hampton | NQL | CTR | WFB | 295000 |
Dale Copley | GLD | CTR | WFB | 279000 |
Gerard Beale | WAR | CTR | WFB | 338000 |
Jesse Arthars | BRI | CTR | WFB | 318000 |
Jordan Kahu | BRI | CTR | WFB | 318000 |
Marcelo Montoya | CBY | CTR | WFB | 354000 |
Brayden Wiliame | SGI | CTR | WFB | 290000 |
David Fusitu'a | WAR | CTR | WFB | 308000 |
Reimis Smith | CBY | CTR | WFB | 306000 |
Nicho Hynes | MEL | HLF | WFB | 246000 |
Will Smith | PAR | HLF | WFB | 275000 |
The clear pick among the HLF/WFB's is Hynes based only on price when compared to Smith. Their fixture suitability isn't the best but is essentially the same after Round 10 has been played. Beggars can't be choosers here.
The situation is even more dire when it comes to the WFB/CTR's. None of these players are base price and most of them have got at least a few starts with their teams so are a risk of being a green dot. The best you can hope for here is that players such as Hampton, Beale, and Copley all get some games in the short term, play terribly, lose lots of value and then get dropped for the rest of the season. If you were choosing someone now it would probably have to be Pompey, although he is also a risk of getting some more first team action. Alternatively, if you already have Williame you could pray to the fantasy gods that Mary doesn't select him again when he returns from injury.
TLDR : Meh, you didn't miss much