2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

Random wrote:So I have a question. With lots of cows peaking now. You need to cash them out. Is it too early to consider trading them out for NPRs. With the new system even someone scoring crap could have long term value, or do you need to target cashcows still.

Mearcats wrote:Ok, take two...

Trade Outs?-
1. Kennar - Exactly as advertised preseason. Needs tries to sustain decent scores. Came back to earth with a 14 last week with a BE of 22 and big scores start dropping soon. I wouldn't say "needs" tries, had a 30+ score in rd2 without one but definitely helps. For me is in the same boat as Isaako last week. He's one decent score away from kick starting his scoring but will that score come. IMO, one week hold. A trade but not urgent. Hold.
2. Doughy - Danger to lose cash playing small minutes in the number 14 jumper. Wasting a spot in a 21 man team praying for an injury is paving bad fantasy karma.A trade. Which shits me! I HATE trading negative BE players but he is either gonna bleed all his cash off playing from the bench or just chew up a bench spot for you (and the Ribbitohs) by not playing at all! Trade.
3. Lodge - At a 35 score for the next 3 weeks he makes 2k. Peaked cow who doesn't play 13. Scores are consistent but aren't exciting enough to hope there is more. Infected ass. Possibly carrying an injury but I feel I'm just using that as an excuse to hold him. His ceiling so far is 51 and even if he scored that every week for the next three weeks he'd only make 80ish k. Not gonna happen. I will have to hold one more week due to more pressing issues (like feckin Inglis). Otherwise, Trade but not urgent.
4. Griffin / Rochow - Both play 13 but subpar scores last weekend may drop some cash on their way to rd13. Is the rd13 score reason enough with limited cash to come good enough?Why bother carrying a midranger when you can have a probable gun that plays 13 in Surgess? Especially if they show signs of losing cash? Trade.
5. Hiku - ..................... NZ lost on the weekend and Hiku will be replaced by Beale in an effort to right the ship. Hold. Hiku looks frail defensively and has a rubbish technique which means he misses a lot of tackles. But, he only has a BE of 28 which he should cover in base stats. Last week was the first week he went sub 100mts (last weeks 82 was about 60 less than his average) and he was playing in a spot where Oates decided to make him his batty boy. Should be sharper this week, albeit against an undefeated Dragons outfit. Hold for mine.  
6. LCroker - Plays the ball backwards......... Is pretty much averaging his breakeven. Doesn't look to have a big score in him. Plays rd 13 but who wants 15 points? Trade. I got off him two weeks ago. He's a definite trade.
7. Inglis - Playing slow and not looking sharp. Has rested on his laurels with QLD selection guaranteed. People have Hiku and other options while GIs cash could be used elsewhere. Trade. Unfortunately, in that position any trade is going to be sideways or require bank to upgrade to Aitken or a keeper. No obvious cash cows at the moment though a possibility that that will chance with Penny losing Mansour. Regardless, Inglis = Trade.
8. TPJ - Wayne has realised that he should use fantasy scores to determine starting minutes. Macca, Sua, Ofa, Lodge, Glenn and Thiday to start ahead of him next week. I think he's a hold. At least for another week. Kinda depends on Broncs team list but if it's favourable he's a hold. If you have really good depth across your FRF 2RF then could downgrade him to a Gosi.Su'a type but I'd be happy with a one week hold.
9. Dufty - Relied on tries to get two mediocre scores in the last 2 weeks. Not looking to be a keeper and his big score will dropout soon. Plays 13 though. Different one cos many will disagree with this statement but I don't think he'll be a top 5 WFB which means he ain't a keeper. The buy low sell high rule dictates that you should sell a peaked non keeper and he has peaked. Statistically he's slightly under priced but that's due to the 81 being in there. Will drop out in a two weeks. IMO Trade.
10. Thompson - After a great run he has likely reached peak value. Plays rd 13 and spot seems secure enough but probably isnt a keeper like more premium options Another interesting one but a hold for me. At least for this week. He is definitely close and has made a tonne of cash but will hold for this week to see what he can do. Would be nice to ride him all the way through to 13 if possible but I won't let a cow run dry. BE should be achievable this week at least.

SI wrote:Happy Birthday to @Chucky

Bit unfair getting flogged 38-12 the day before by those magnificent Tigers mate  

Chucky wrote:

SI wrote:Happy Birthday to @Chucky

Bit unfair getting flogged 38-12 the day before by those magnificent Tigers mate  

Cheers SI. You just had to mention the Tigers game.
Pretty relaxing day, still on honeymoon in Port Douglas.

My trades this week look like Lichaa and Griffin out for SJ and Su’A, pending team lists.

MilfordTheMagician wrote:How many are people looking to have for round 13 and 17?

rhinoceroo wrote:

Hard to tell without knowing Origin teams. Plenty of people will have the likes of Cook, Mitchell, Api, DCE who pencilled in as R13 players but might not be.

All I know is any cashouts from now will be to cheapies who play R13 (so Gos over Sua) who hopefully peak after 13 and can in turn be cashed out to R17 cheapies.

Mearcats wrote:

I think you're right in your own analysis mate. As you said, you do have a fair few cows and middies... Unfortunately they all shit the bed at once. That being said, that doesn't mean that because it happened this week they're all going to become serial shitters! I have a mate who shits the bed every time he drinks, that's a serial shitter. I last shit the bed when I was a young'un, I grew out of it.

Sometimes persistence pays off and other times it pays to be aggressive. You've held for a while, maybe it's time to look at getting off of a few guys, even if they haven't quite peaked. Personally, I would get out of a high value mid ranger now to give you a good kitty. I know others will say hold but if you offload Griffin for Gosi or Su'a then that allows you to upgrade Lodge or Rochow.

I know you feel those two guys are trappy but what's worse? Being "caught in a trap" (the Elvis song just went through my head typing that) with one player but offsetting that by upgrading a mid to a gun (and getting the points increase) or staying stagnant and persisting for the sake of one or two small price bumps but getting left behind in the meantime? I know which is the lesser of the two evils in my eyes mate.

And fuck the fantasy blues! Ain't no one got time for that. Nobody likes to play games that aren't fun.... Asides from maybe accountants. Mix it up, do something you usually wouldn't and take a risk mate.

Rapture_NRL wrote:@Honey Badger Copley any more trap than Inglis? Copley has 2 scores less than 30 versus Inglis of 5. Inglis also I'm not a fan of the previous gun theory with the likes of Bromwich and Graham springing to mind. Copley is safer IMO. Not that I'll be getting either of them, but the way he's going, he'll be okay at that centre spot comparatively. Just an out of the box suggestion if anyone is game on some risk lol

MilfordTheMagician wrote:

Surely Cook is ahead of Api for Origin?

I am starting to think Cook will be the Origin hooker this year...

McInnes also a chance too.

Honey Badger wrote:

I keep hearing them talk about Cook off the bench. Imagine if the picked both koro and cook!

MilfordTheMagician wrote:

Surely Cook is ahead of Api for Origin?

I am starting to think Cook will be the Origin hooker this year...

McInnes also a chance too.

Andrew Fifita will be unavailable for selection this week as he recovers from bone bruising in his knee. Still expected to return sometime in the next 2-4 weeks

— NRL PHYSIO (@nrlphysio) April 16, 2018

MilfordTheMagician wrote:

I didn't even realize Api was being talked about as an Origin selection over Cook and McInnes. This makes me think trading him in might not be the best idea but at the same time I would pick Cook and McInnes over him...