2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 31

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Surgess or Matterson will be my big choice this week.

Rein definitely coming in but concerned I'm missing the Sua/Gos cash

Should that be a worry?

You can't get them all.

Rippin and Tearin wrote:End of the day you gotta take a punt somewhere in this game, sometime it'll pay off , sometimes it won't, but if you punt on a "fallen gun" and you get it right then that gives you a massive leg up IMO.

That's pretty much it with Taumalolo. On form it's not the best pick, but at the same time there is reason to believe he can turn it around and get back to 2017 form pretty quickly.

Lolo just has a big engine that takes weeks to warm up. Once it's revving, look out I reckon.

Surely Cowboys have to start more second phase plays purely out of desperation to win, which should mean he throws a few more offloads.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:Are those trading out Kennar not worried about coverage for back 5? If I traded out Kennar I would have no centre coverage and my WFB coverage is my starting HLF. Would ideally need to flip him to a keeper centre(Bird?) allowing me to have Hiku as back-up on the bench

Im tempted to go kennar to bird and move Isaako to my emergencies as backup centre. Not confident Isaako will score well against the storm

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Surgess or Matterson will be my big choice this week.

Rein definitely coming in but concerned I'm missing the Sua/Gos cash

Should that be a worry?

I reckon there's a reason you're finding it hard to decide.

If Matt scores his base-stat 45, then in 3 rounds time he'll be 38k more expensive. Unless you're expecting more 2-try games.

If Surgess scores his base-stat 55, then in 3 rounds time he'll be 36k more expensive.

Neither of these guys are itching triggers than need to be pulled this week.

Bank the cash and trade?

luckynumber8 wrote:Lolo just has a big engine that takes weeks to warm up. Once it's revving, look out I reckon.  

Surely Cowboys have to start more second phase plays purely out of desperation to win, which should mean he throws a few more offloads.

They have one win for the year and the most damaging ball runner in the game thats getting paid more than we'll ever see. He needs to start firing.

L-Jimmy wrote:Bank the cash and trade?

Would be ideal but i think most are trying to turn someone like Griffin into a reliable scorer - which means the trade probably needs to happen. Holding the trade/cash is looking like being 20+ points worse off for the week.

Personally, I need to make moves for points.

But, in saying that, I also want to slow down on trades, which is why I'm thinking Sua over Rein. I think Rein makes cash quicker and will be a reliable 17 player while he's there, but he may also need to be traded out again in 4 weeks time. SuA has better prospects long term. Unfortunately neither will play rnd 13 so that doesn't come into it.

FWIW an article has just gone up re Peats/Rein - Rein will most likely be an 80 minute hooker until peats returns, however Brennan seems to be of the opinion Peats will be back sooner than expected:

"Hopefully we will get him back earlier than that, mostly it's a pain threshold [issue] now and as everyone knows Peatsy a fairly fierce competitor," said Brennan, who has also lost centre Dale Copley for three to four weeks.

"That's on the outside, the four to six weeks' time frame. But it is what it is and hopefully we can get him back sooner."

"Reiny will play nine. Whether he plays the 80 minutes or not we will see as the game goes on.

"Maybe we have to carry someone on the bench that can cover that role, like a Ryan Simpkins, or decide whether I've already got someone in my squad that, if something happened and I need to put someone on, I can use them.

"There is a bit of flexibility in the squad with someone able to hop in there if we need to give Reiny a spell or if he had an injury but I'll look at that as the week comes on."

https://www.nrl.com/news/2018/04/18/rein-needs-to-be-an-80-minute-man-with-peats-sidelined/

Milchcow wrote:

My problem is I want to ditch Doueihi. Bankroll can't afford DCE/SJ who would be my preferred target. 

Other than maybe Arrow (possibly Murray and JFH) , don't have any keepers in 2rf/FRF yet, so Lolo/Surgess make sense. 

I think Thurston in a couple of weeks will be very tempting as a temporary measure whilst I wait to get a true gun half in

It sounds like you don't think Taumalolo (from a previous post) is a good choice but you are lining up Thurston as a stepping stone to a gun, using an extra trade to do that? Tell me that's not right!

Conservatively would it be reasonably to expect 0.6 ppm out of Rein and worst case scenario he plays 60min per game? => 36 points on average as a floor?

Looking at past 4 seasons of stats he has averaged high 40s on nearly ~65 min per game.

Unless something has either changed with him or the roll he will play at the Titans he has to be the buy of the week right?

On top of that if he plays 80 min as reported then he should hit high 40s maybe even 50.

So putting all that together worst case he averages 35 for 4 weeks (6 weeks in brackets) and makes 90k (120k)
40 for 4 (6) = 130k (180k)
45 for 4 (6) = 170k (230k)
50 for 4 (6) = 200k (290k)

Based on that Im bringing him in this week. Will add Su'A next week if he goes well again this week.

Edit: Article posted above puts more context around this (as I was posting) and suggests the main risk could be that Peats is back in 3 weeks perhaps. But even still it wouldn't be a disaster and the upside is super tempting.

Rippin and Tearin wrote:Conservatively would it be reasonably to expect 0.6 ppm out of Rein and worst case scenario he plays 60min per game? => 36 points on average as a floor?

Looking at past 4 seasons of stats he has averaged high 40s on nearly ~65 min per game.

Unless something has either changed with him or the roll he will play at the Titans he has to be the buy of the week right?

On top of that if he plays 80 min as reported then he should hit high 40s maybe even 50.

So putting all that together worst case he averages 35 for 4 weeks (6 weeks in brackets) and makes 90k (120k)
40 for 4 (6) = 130k (180k)
45 for 4 (6) = 170k (230k)
50 for 4 (6) = 200k (290k)


Based on that Im bringing him in this week. Will add Su'A next week if he goes well again this week.

I’ve traded him for Lichaa so worse case for me is he makes money and scores the same

Deciding who to trade for Lolo - AFB or Rochow?
AFB has the higher BE so leaning this way.

Lone Scout retweeted someone reporting that Rein will be an 80min hooker until Peats is back

Mighty Fishes wrote:Lone Scout retweeted someone reporting that Rein will be an 80min hooker until Peats is back

haha i posted the article just above. Brennan didn't actually say he will be an 80 minute hooker, and suggested 'they have options' if rein needs a break. Unless that bench changes though, gotta assume Rein will play 80 or very close to it.

my tv broke wrote:

haha i posted the article just above. Brennan didn't actually say he will be an 80 minute hooker, and suggested 'they have options' if rein needs a break. Unless that bench changes though, gotta assume Rein will play 80 or very close to it.

With the team they've named its very hard to see him playing anything less than 60-65 min this week. Seems like a solid buy to me. Probably make cash and worthy of a spot in the 17. Im sold

danaconda86 wrote:Deciding who to trade for Lolo - AFB or Rochow?
AFB has the higher BE so leaning this way.

AFB.

I would love to get Rein and Sua in for Griffin and Kennar.

Leaves me 420k and I don't think I'm losing out on any points at all as Griffin is usually in my 17, Rein would take his spot.

Gives me a week more to watch Surgess and hopefully Murray is back.

multiple.scoregasms wrote:Are those trading out Kennar not worried about coverage for back 5? If I traded out Kennar I would have no centre coverage and my WFB coverage is my starting HLF. Would ideally need to flip him to a keeper centre(Bird?) allowing me to have Hiku as back-up on the bench

I'm playing Kennar this week. I think the Bunnies game plan will be to attack the Raiders left edge (Croker/Cotric) as I think the Raiders left edge is is defensively weaker than the right edge. This should see Kennar getting attacking opportunities.

I think my trades will be Griffin and Lodge out for Tolo and Rein.

I think I've locked in Griffin/Kennar > Rein/Matterson. Gives me a backline of:

DCE, Matterson
Aitken, Hiku/Isaako
Ponga, Teddy, Walker

On any given week i guarantee at least two of those guys goes huge. Set and Forget

WT2K wrote:Something interesting off the wt forum in regards to players with niggling injuries. Cleary confident with depth and will rest players if he can.
If Elijah Taylor wasn't ready for this week, Lawrence would have played but since he's right they're giving Lawrence a rest with a sore hammy.

Very interesting insight on the way Cleary is dealing with slight injuries. This infers that Rochow must be 100% because if he wasn't then Cleary would have rested him.