2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 2

Mulvy wrote:Interesting read from Steve Nicholls:

http://renegadesfs.com/index.php/nrl-fantasy/item/1968-how-i-finished-10th-in-nrl-fantasy

Apparently, guns and cows isn't the way GM. Welcome back btw.

I think this article is absolutely spot on but I would cause it's the way I played last year and it got me a top 40 finish too.

Therefore Im wondering, is it just that this strategy worked last year? or is it a strategy the works most/every year?

Im thinking as a general strategy its pretty good. However it really all does depend on where the value is initially. Last year there were a bunch of cows that were pretty easy picks and you knew you were likely to get great value out of them (several turned into keepers/borderline keepers). Im not so sure this year will be the same from first looks. I think this year looks more like the year of the mid-ranger that might become a gun. My thoughts therefor are that my initial side may not contain a single 'gun' (at gun prices) or at most might just have the one (either Cook or Fifita) and mostly just there as a go-to captain option. The rest will be a combination of the best mid-rangers available (some of whom should turn into guns) and cows.

With the above in mind, I don't think cash generation will be as easy this year and so there will be less room for poor trade decisions and starting team mistakes.

Outside of that though I'll be playing the game basically as the author scripted and hope it works out

Milchy wrote:


I use this strategy and finished outside the top 1000.

The key is not just the strategy, but the execution. Its a lot easier to say "pick the undervalued guys" than it is to actually pick the undervalued guys.

Haha, yes of course. You can be screwed from the outset if you get too many duds early no matter how quickly you try to rectify the situation.... Fingers crossed, this forum and a bit of meta-analysis was what I actually credit for doing ok last year. Will see if it works again

I think it depends on the quality of the base price cows. Having 4 bench hookers playing 40 minutes between them is going to screw you but if you manage to grab 4 Havili's for base price then why wouldn't you spend all of your saved cash on guns? The name of the game is points after all.
My strategy for this year pending Fanhub screwups will be to trade like Slats. I'm generally far too conservative to win anything so this year if I'm not winning I'll be going down in a ball of flames.

Great to be back. Up the pommie NRL fantasy players!!

This year looks awfully tough. I was a lot more confident with the cows at hand last year (Kikau, Havili, etc) and more confident with the middies (RFM, Arrow, Ponga, Cook). I just hope I jump on the right cow early on this year. So far my list of cows to look for come TLT
NZ Half
Eels Half
Nick Meaney WFB
Kurt Dillon FRF
Marata Niukore 2RF
Briton Nikora 2RF
Taane Milne CTR/2RF
Zac Lomax WFB/CTR
Albert Hopoate CTR
Bronson Xerri CTR
Morgan Harper CTR
Corey Allan WFB
Payne Haas FRF
Let me know if I missed anyone

NRLF is shit! Asking me to sign in using my 2018 details and then saying my account is already linked yet it is asking me to log in and link my account otherwise I have to sign up with a new account?

Password reset worked for me.

I cannot believe that someone has registered the team name I wanted (it seems it has to be unique this year?). I am coming for whoever it was!!!

Krump wrote:I think it depends on the quality of the base price cows. Having 4 bench hookers playing 40 minutes between them is going to screw you but if you manage to grab 4 Havili's for base price then why wouldn't you spend all of your saved cash on guns?

Havili was an interesting one and also came down to timing. Early on he wasn't scoring all that well and many jumped off. It wasn't til round 8 that he busted a big score and then went on a bit of a run. If I remember correctly, I traded him out right before that big score haha.

my tv broke wrote:I cannot believe that someone has registered the team name I wanted (it seems it has to be unique this year?). I am coming for whoever it was!!!

Someone got the one that I claimed as well. Fucking non contributing lurkers no doubt.

my tv broke wrote:I cannot believe that someone has registered the team name I wanted (it seems it has to be unique this year?). I am coming for whoever it was!!!

It’s not a new feature.
When I first started playing umpteen years ago, my team was called Beagles. A few years later there were about 3 or 4 teams with the same name. Then a few years ago they brought in that it had to be a unique name and one of the other Beagles registered before me. Ever since I’ve been The Beagles.
I try every year but it hasn’t let me change it back.

Chucky wrote:
It’s not a new feature.
When I first started playing umpteen years ago, my team was called Beagles. A few years later there were about 3 or 4 teams with the same name. Then a few years ago they brought in that it had to be a unique name and one of the other Beagles registered before me. Ever since I’ve been The Beagles.
I try every year but it hasn’t let me change it back.

Ah, fair enough. I mean, it makes sense to ensure everyone uses a unique name. I hadn't noticed til now I guess.

Milchy wrote:

No changes to the rules, loop still there.

Also, number of trades not changed, so its still impossible to field 17 in both bye rounds (like last year max is 33 players over 2 rounds, which is all but impossible)

To be eligible for the "early" league creator prize, you need to fill your league (16 players or more) by the end of round 1

Scoring unchanged, so the pricing is a few points off the 2018 average for some players (reasoning unknown)

From what I can gather, high averaging players in each position are getting a "superstar surcharge" of about 2%, but there seems to be a sliding scale and cut off point that I don't know of. The pricing works the other way too with low averaging players getting a further discount.

Shane Wright, Mitchell Dunn, Oregan Kaufusi and Paul Momirovski never got their discount for playing less then 10 games either. Consistency is all we ask for.

from nrl.com article:

What's new in 2019?
The price change predictor
A new introduction to Coach in 2019 is the price predictor. Expecting one of your players to score 40 points this week? Enter '40' into the price predictor and Coach will tell you how much his price is likely to change next week, and the next couple of weeks. It's the key addition to a Coach product that offers users more data in 2019.

Move along


https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t769-2019-nrl-com-fantasy-thread-part-3#249924