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    NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 68

    Syzy
    Syzy

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    Post by Syzy Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:34 pm

    Watson has a BE of 50 and his 31 last week is his best score at fullback this year.
    Signs aren't promising. Even if he scores 50 this week I think his BE will be 50+ next week too.

    He wasn't in my plans, but I'm looking at Burns as a potential option. He makes a good 18th man option with Ponga who can shift up into the halves if need be.

    Just not sure he's worth the trade when I was keeping Lomax for the same purpose.
    Pain
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    Post by Pain Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:40 pm

    DaGold wrote:Whilst you're here pain just thought I'd say sorry for knocking you out the eliminator in your first matchup..

    Shots fired!
    standard-issue
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    Post by standard-issue Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:44 pm

    my tv broke wrote:
    Fortitude wrote:Which player do you think has lost the most money this year? Is there a way to see a list? I can only see how much players have made? Or individual players in isolation.

    Tapine lost 380k.



    Unless I have fucked up the SQL query - the list of biggest losses are (from Round 1 price to now):
    Rhyse Martin - 407k
    Tapine - 384k
    Hess - 294k
    Alvaro - 286k
    Yeo - 285k
    Koroisau - 275k
    Lichaa - 275k
    Ese Ese - 273k
    Farah - 264k

    Shaun Johnson isn't far behind hah

    Alternatively, biggest earners (R1, to current price):
    Haas (derr)
    Nikora (derr)
    Hamlin-Uele
    Butcher
    Sivo
    Xerri
    Burr
    Waddell
    Bird
    Cust
    Tryone Roberts
    Carty Party Very Happy



    Not sure about you mate, but when I am using SQL I use the following to make it more efficient:

    rs.Open "SELECT ..."
    If Not rs.EOF Then
    rs.MoveFirst
    End If


    For any more tips just hit me up as usual...

    Very Happy
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:47 pm

    I basically need Watson to miss his BE (around 50) by no more than Jurbo misses his (around 65) for my plans to work out. 

    So it seems I'm hoping Jurbo plays limited minutes after Origin or Watson scores a couple of tries. The other possibility, which would probably help Watson's score, is him playing half and Mann fullback with Pearce not backing up.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:52 pm

    Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs
    Fortitude
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    Post by Fortitude Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:57 pm

    Really want to wait on trades this round. I can make trades this round With 2k left over. I’ll be filthy if I wait and can’t afford next week.
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:57 pm

    Welshy wrote:Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs

    So trade in some Dogs?
    Ben Marlin
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    Post by Ben Marlin Tue Jul 09, 2019 9:59 pm

    Welshy wrote:Firm advocate of not playing matchups, but Watson is playing the Dogs
    Dogs have conceded an average of 49.4 points to fullbacks in the last 5 weeks
    Those 5 fullbacks have a combined average of 35.5
    So going off the last 5 matches, Dogs make fullbacks score 39% more points


    Last edited by Ben Marlin on Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:01 pm

    WT Winfield wrote:
    So trade in some Dogs?


    Don't fucking make me gif some Baha Men!!!
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:24 pm

    Ben Marlin wrote:
    Dogs have conceded an average of 49.4 points to fullbacks in the last 5 weeks
    Those 5 fullbacks have a combined average of 35.5
    So going off the last 5 matches, Dogs make fullbacks score 39% more points

    This isnt really an accurate representation when Manu scored 98.
    Pain
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    Post by Pain Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:31 pm

    Watson will be up for a big game. Blamed himself for the loss last week.
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:32 pm

    Pain wrote:Watson will be up for a big game.  Blamed himself for the loss last week.  
    Watson is the type of player who will have a 25 minute period where he is in everyone, sparking everything and scoring tries. Hoping that 25 minutes is about 30 and he makes 50 points from it, then can just coast of return metres.
    Pain
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    Post by Pain Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:36 pm

    StormTrooper96 wrote:
    Watson is the type of player who will have a 25 minute period where he is in everyone, sparking everything and scoring tries. Hoping that 25 minutes is about 30 and he makes 50 points from it, then can just coast of return metres.

    For sure. And then I'll end up holding him a week too long after Cook scores 20 and plays like a busted.
    Ponga for prez
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    Post by Ponga for prez Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:39 pm

    What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer
    Ben Marlin
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    Post by Ben Marlin Tue Jul 09, 2019 10:53 pm

    my tv broke wrote:

    This isnt really an accurate representation when Manu scored 98.
    I just had a look for the whole season over 15 games
    Bulldogs have conceded 641 points to fullbacks for an average of 42.7
    The averages for all of those fullbacks is only 36.2
    Based on these stats, fullbacks score 17.96% more points when playing against the Bulldogs
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    DaGold

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    Post by DaGold Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:05 pm

    I think I am trading Watson to Burns and playing him this week to cover TED. Scoring potential feels like a coinflip and cash wise I am better off. Want Burns as 19th man so makes sense and could net me a few extra points.
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:08 pm

    Ponga for prez wrote:What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer
    No halves anywhere in the squad other than if Hughes moves to 6 and pappy starts but very unlikely.
    Johnny B Goode
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    Post by Johnny B Goode Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:09 pm

    Ponga for prez wrote:What’s the likelihood that Munster is rested? Can’t afford to have any outs this week but I’ll still probably cop some. Bummer

    You're only going to get armchair critics making baseless assumptions here but probably not this week. It'll be Smith's 400th and the Sharks generally give them tough games so Bellamy is probably going to want all hands on deck.

    They are ahead of the Roosters in 2nd place by a good 3 wins so he's highly likely to be rested at some point but maybe not this week.
    Ben Marlin
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    Post by Ben Marlin Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:13 pm

    DaGold wrote:I think I am trading Watson to Burns and playing him this week to cover TED.  Scoring potential feels like a coinflip and cash wise I am better off.  Want Burns as 19th man so makes sense and could net me a few extra points.
    Watson has averaged 19 from his 3 games at fullback this year
    Burns has averaged 50.7 from his 3 games at centre this year

    I am confident that Burns will outscore Watson for the rest of the season and the trade gives you an extra 189k

    I like the trade
    Johnny B Goode
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    Post by Johnny B Goode Tue Jul 09, 2019 11:45 pm

    Oh damn I'm changing my mind again on getting Burns in which would only leave me with one trade after my final gun is in.

    Burns is a good scorer, DPP and if a HLF goes down, Ponga can go there while Burns covers.

    I know just one trade for like 6 rounds is stupid as but if I keep the extra trade my 18th man is going to be Robson or Mann lol

    Shit though what if there's an injury crisis and I can't trade the guns out for good replacements. Damn this week is going to put the nail in the coffin of my season.

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