HomeAlso, imagine Cody Walker and Latrell Mitchell going missing during the game at the same time 
NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition
Chewie- Fanatic
- Posts : 18003
Reputation : 12753
Join date : 2016-02-02
Location : Milenium Falcon
StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
Reputation : 3353
Join date : 2018-02-26
Age : 28
- Post n°322
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition
by StormTrooper96 Wed Jan 15, 2020 11:00 am
Chewie wrote:Also, imagine Cody Walker and Latrell Mitchell going missing during the game at the same time
Cody Walker has historically had a big start to the season the last couple of years, in the first 10 rounds averaging 42.4 and 48.3 in 2017 and 2018 respectively. If this trend continues this year you'd almost be inclined to pick the whole left side of the Rabbitohs + Latrell to start the year. (Walker, S'ua, Burns, Graham, Mitchell)
StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
Reputation : 3353
Join date : 2018-02-26
Age : 28
- Post n°323
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition
by StormTrooper96 Wed Jan 15, 2020 11:01 am
When does the ladder predictor thread come out?
rhinoceroo- Fanatic
- Posts : 14020
Reputation : 9265
Join date : 2015-09-30
There is absolutely no doubt that, barring injury, Latrell playing at fullback is going to be one of the two top scoring centres in the league, therefore you want him in your end of season team.
It's just a matter of whether you save a trade by starting with him or whether you think he'll take a few games to bed in and you can pick him up at a discount.
It's just a matter of whether you save a trade by starting with him or whether you think he'll take a few games to bed in and you can pick him up at a discount.
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13118
Reputation : 9659
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
No Worries wrote:
Right.
So we should be taking the season average of those games at which all players played centre. Break that down to an average for each data point. Compare that data set with an equivelent data set for Latrell. Determine the +/- % performance of Latrell against each data point.
Now we should be taking the season average of those games at which all players played fullback. Break that down to an average for each data point. Increase that by the Latrell performance factor and you get his predicted season average at FB. Assuming his able to perform at the same level compared to his peers. The bonus of this method, it automatically removes goal kicking.
Sure why not.
StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
Reputation : 3353
Join date : 2018-02-26
Age : 28
- Post n°326
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition
by StormTrooper96 Wed Jan 15, 2020 11:22 am
rhinoceroo wrote:There is absolutely no doubt that, barring injury, Latrell playing at fullback is going to be one of the two top scoring centres in the league, therefore you want him in your end of season team.
It's just a matter of whether you save a trade by starting with him or whether you think he'll take a few games to bed in and you can pick him up at a discount.
I think he will come at a discount by about R4-5. Although, being Latrell, he could bust out a couple massive plays in a game and end up with a 60 score in the first two rounds and this is what is scary!
No Worries- Moderator
- NRL FF Survivor Champion : I'm like the waterboy.
Posts : 10520
Reputation : 7274
Join date : 2015-07-31
StormTrooper96 wrote:When does the ladder predictor thread come out?
Subtle.
Considering your tipping accuracy is akin to your namesake, thought you'd be about as keen as Finn shooting villagers to go again this year.
robelgordo- Fanatic
- Posts : 13118
Reputation : 9659
Join date : 2019-07-08
Location : Sydney
StormTrooper96 wrote:
I think he will come at a discount by about R4-5. Although, being Latrell, he could bust out a couple massive plays in a game and end up with a 60 score in the first two rounds and this is what is scary!
Last year those who started him got done over by games at 5/8, and then you didn’t need him at the discount because of the two very good BRs available at CT.
Current thinking - I’ll definitely leave him out initially if he’s confirmed FB and probably if he’s confirmed CT.
StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
Reputation : 3353
Join date : 2018-02-26
Age : 28
- Post n°329
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition
by StormTrooper96 Wed Jan 15, 2020 11:44 am
No Worries wrote:
Subtle.
Considering your tipping accuracy is akin to your namesake, thought you'd be about as keen as Finn shooting villagers to go again this year.
- SPOILER:
- Finn was left empty handed when Rey tongue punched her distant relatives??? voice box. Unlike Finn, this StormTrooper will get his come uppins.
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25395
Reputation : 17817
Join date : 2015-07-31
rhinoceroo wrote:There is absolutely no doubt that, barring injury, Latrell playing at fullback is going to be one of the two top scoring centres in the league, therefore you want him in your end of season team.
It's just a matter of whether you save a trade by starting with him or whether you think he'll take a few games to bed in and you can pick him up at a discount.
Latrell was the 3rd highest averaging centre last year (behind Bateman and Nikora)
Highest average for actual centres
Without goal kicking he would have dropped to 13th behind players like Xerri, Ramien, Bird, Marsters Dugan
There is a lot of doubt in my mind that any extra points he gets at fullback will make up for the loss of 8 points a week from kicking goals, assuming ARey retains the kicking.
Clack Bocks- Posts : 2330
Reputation : 446
Join date : 2015-09-26
Milchy wrote:
Latrell was the 3rd highest averaging centre last year (behind Bateman and Nikora)
Highest average for actual centres
Without goal kicking he would have dropped to 13th behind players like Xerri, Ramien, Bird, Marsters Dugan
There is a lot of doubt in my mind that any extra points he gets at fullback will make up for the loss of 8 points a week from kicking goals, assuming ARey retains the kicking.
I just remember GI's first year as full back after being a centre and that alone sells me on Latrell
Honey Badger- Posts : 2589
Reputation : 873
Join date : 2015-11-09
Location : NZ
Clack Bocks wrote:
I just remember GI's first year as full back after being a centre and that alone sells me on Latrell
We should get the chance to watch him in preseason anyway. See how fit he looks!
13CokeHeads- Posts : 964
Reputation : 269
Join date : 2019-03-25
Is korosau going to be an 80 min 9 or will they blood Kenny a bit?
Iron Mike- Posts : 811
Reputation : 300
Join date : 2019-01-25
13CokeHeads wrote:Is korosau going to be an 80 min 9 or will they blood Kenny a bit?
In my opinion I think Korisau will play 65+ minutes but Tyronne May (if allowed back) will be on the bench.
my tv broke
my tv broke- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 28415
Reputation : 21074
Join date : 2016-01-08
Captain Darius Boyd, in line for a centre or wing spot, has already made a statement at training after returning from the Christmas break in peak condition.
Boyd won the club fitness test on Monday at training and Seibold said he was "leading the way" with what has been a gruelling pre-season.
Chewie- Fanatic
- Posts : 18003
Reputation : 12753
Join date : 2016-02-02
Location : Milenium Falcon
Clack Bocks wrote:
I just remember GI's first year as full back after being a centre and that alone sells me on Latrell
I also remember Teddy's first season with the Roosters, it took a bit of time for him to adjust
Chewie- Fanatic
- Posts : 18003
Reputation : 12753
Join date : 2016-02-02
Location : Milenium Falcon
my tv broke wrote:
Captain Darius Boyd, in line for a centre or wing spot, has already made a statement at training after returning from the Christmas break in peak condition.
Boyd won the club fitness test on Monday at training and Seibold said he was "leading the way" with what has been a gruelling pre-season.
Boyd training the house down?!
Jump on lads!
Guest- Guest
Iron Mike wrote:
In my opinion I think Korisau will play 65+ minutes but Tyronne May (if allowed back) will be on the bench.
I read on nrlsctalk that Kenny may not be ready to start the season & I. Cleary has said he wants an 80 min hooker. Koroisau averaged 70 mins in 2018 & 69 mins in 2017 so he's capable of playing big mins. This is a quote from I. Cleary:
"Koroisau hasn't played a full 80 mins in a long while so we'll see how he goes. It would be nice if he could play 80 mins but if he can't we have Kenny & May in the group."
my tv broke- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 28415
Reputation : 21074
Join date : 2016-01-08
Koro will be popular. Start slow. Everyone will rage trade. Then he'll pump out some 70+.
Rapture_NRL- Posts : 3293
Reputation : 1193
Join date : 2017-02-28
Location : Earth
Rabbits21 wrote:Burns looks good like others have said too, but geez he is made of very fragile glass, I dunno if I can take that risk.
Billy Smith is probs the safer option.
Kinda like Roache it seems