NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 11 - The join your Leagues edition!

MTBs Site - Stats, BE, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor[/b]
http://www.footystatistics.com/

MTB's team builder
http://footystatistics.com/team_planner_2020.php


Excel links

Milchcow's excel solver
https://www.mediafire.com/file/kcuwhduwp4n227e/2020_Fantasy_Solver_v1.0.xlsm/file

Milchcow's team planner
https://www.mediafire.com/file/pj9xsl5oxf2rgwd/2020_Team_Planner_v0.1.xlsx/file

arsen's excel
http://www.mediafire.com/file/3tr3at0u11gg7mo/NRL_Fantasy_2020.xlsx/file

mattnz's excel sheet
https://www.mediafire.com/file/ez4a4ipfe11s4h5/2020_players_updated.xlsx/file

Steve Nicholls (RNGD Analytics) excel database
https://www.mediafire.com/file/mxuesns6qcmu9qc/RFS_2014-19_Data_%28v1.0%29.xlsm/file


2020 BYE PLANNER


Player Prices  

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1127-2020-prices

Price change formula

New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

G1 = most recent game
G2 = game before that
G3 = game before that
Etc

Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average

Rabbits21 wrote:I shudder to think what the supermarkets will be like in winter if it’s like this now!

The world has gone mad!

Everyone has over a years supply of toilet paper now - we'll be fine for the winter

Join your leagues edition, love it!

Which combo do you guys rate more?

A: Hughes + Watkins + Shiba

B: Staggs + Lomax + Brenko

Bethany_B wrote:Which combo do you guys rate more?

A: Hughes + Watkins + Shiba

B: Staggs + Lomax + Brenko

Probs the first one but tbh I’m not keen on either.

Neither really Bethany

What!? We're up to league 14

Bethany_B wrote:Which combo do you guys rate more?

A: Hughes + Watkins + Shiba

B: Staggs + Lomax + Brenko

A. Because they’re all in my team. Plus Lomax. :-)

Sign me up for League 14

I can see the value in Shibasaki, but the Watkins pick makes me scratch my head Am I missing something?

I'm interested in League 51... party with my GIF buddies Code Delta, Mulvy, Milchy, No Worries, Verbal, and Trooper

Chewie wrote:I can see the value in Shibasaki, but the Watkins pick makes me scratch my head Am I missing something?

He is at most 4 points undervalue, and CTR is a wasteland at lower tiers so people are trying to eek out any potential they can.

RandomSil wrote:

He is at most 4 points undervalue, and CTR is a wasteland at lower tiers so people are trying to eek out any potential they can.

Yeah pretty much.

I'm looking at how my team would work with Mann as my 2nd half, leaves up to 575k in CTR if I upgrade Watkins, not quite sure who I want for a gun centre. My gut says Burns but his hammies are made of string cheese.

Chewie wrote:I can see the value in Shibasaki, but the Watkins pick makes me scratch my head Am I missing something?

I know, Super League aint NRL.
How many English backs really kill it over here, it's not like he's a bruising forward.
I'd rather go with a young islander gun to jag a couple of meat pies.

I generally have a rule of when it comes to English exports choosing only forwards. But I might even go against my own better judgement and go Watkins over Burns. Burns is a fantasy pure bred stud Ferrari. It's just too bad Ferrari's are in the shop more often than on the track

Big Joey Leilua is looking more and more like a good option

Watkins was one of the best super league backs I've seen in many years in his prime. Injuries curtailed him but looked lean fit and firing in trial

Could go well outside Carty Party and little risk at his price

Chewie wrote:I can see the value in Shibasaki, but the Watkins pick makes me scratch my head Am I missing something?

He's cheap, and used to be good in superleague

There are worse reasons for thinking players are value.

Worst case - he is underpriced by a couple of points based on last year's average - which was coming back after major injury and included 0 tries.
If you think the titans will improve and/or Watkins will be a bit better with a full off-season under his belt, then there are worse picks.

He's sort of the "I want to save money and trust the other cheap CTRs even less" pick

Speaking of made of glass players. Who would you trust the least in your team if they were available out of Braidon Burns, Josh Dugan, Adam Reynolds or Tom Trbojevic?

Mine would be the classic Dugan heart attack every hit up