NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 4 - Praying that nobody gets hurt

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I currently have all four with Watson MID and Liddle/Lam toss up for 17/18

From the sounds of things our teams are very similar

mattnz wrote:
It is all comparative. In his position he is far from the best. Both Watson and Liddle are well ahead of him for likely points differential, should score at least as well for a much lower price point.

Lots of other players also have at least a 14 point differential as well. Assuming LAM averages 44 as a starting prop, which his scoring history indicates is realistic, he is getting the same scoring for $50k less and has far better positional coverage, covering 3 slots in your team. If your team has 4 hookers including Brailey and you don't have LAM and he is starting in round 1, and you only have 1 MID on your bench, it is really foolish.

In terms of team balance and slot coverage, at a minimum you need to ensure that you have 5 MID and 5 WFB. HOK should probably be 2, possibly 3 at most. The rest of the positions, each should have probably 4 in your team.

With cover of 2, 5, 4, 4, 4, 5 = 24 minimum required positions covered. If you have 3 DPPs you just reach those minimal positional requirements across your 21. 4 hookers is a luxury in a team. If Brailey is your 4th best hooker option, and you can see another under-represented position with a player that can also get you 14 points differential, Brailey is likely surplus to requirements in your team.

I plan to run with Watson, Liddle and at least 1 underpriced keeper at hooker, so Brailey is definitely not needed in my team. Instead by adding LAM I reach 5 MIDs in my team for balance and coverage, without losing anything, and I save $50k at the same time, that can be used to gain points elsewhere.

Mulvy wrote:

Sounds like it.  Currently have Lam ahead of Liddle as per my previous post.

Rabbits21 wrote:

Who are your current starting halves?

mrbrownstone wrote:Just catching up on the Lolo & McInness news after being out of the loop for a bit. Definitely makes MID tricky to start with. No McInness/Haas, Lolo, Carrigan all on less minutes, Crichton better served at EDG, questions over Tohu's role with lots of middle signings at the Warriors. There go all your 60+ avgs from last year to start with.

Do we still think 60+ will be keeper level for MID. I imagine Haas still averages mid 60s, but will anyone else? Not sure Lolo can in 55 mins. Is worth starting with a Jurbo/Klemmer who will hit reliable 55s in that case? I'm not sold on SST's upside, and everyone else is pretty much priced as is.

Brown averaged 58 in the back half of last year, so some value there potentially. Does he keep up those minutes/avoid suspension?

mrbrownstone wrote:Just catching up on the Lolo & McInness news after being out of the loop for a bit. Definitely makes MID tricky to start with. No McInness/Haas, Lolo, Carrigan all on less minutes, Crichton better served at EDG, questions over Tohu's role with lots of middle signings at the Warriors. There go all your 60+ avgs from last year to start with.

Do we still think 60+ will be keeper level for MID. I imagine Haas still averages mid 60s, but will anyone else? Not sure Lolo can in 55 mins. Is worth starting with a Jurbo/Klemmer who will hit reliable 55s in that case? I'm not sold on SST's upside, and everyone else is pretty much priced as is.

Brown averaged 58 in the back half of last year, so some value there potentially. Does he keep up those minutes/avoid suspension?

Holy Moly wrote:


So, do you think Crichton's average will go down?

mrbrownstone wrote:Any thoughts on this? Had a re-jig after the Lolo/Averillo news

Cook
Tino LAM Watson
DiFi Davey/Riki
Cleary Munster
Bird/Hopo Roberts
Teddy Turbo Laurie

Liddle Brailey Lam CHT

Alvaro* Niu Simonsson** Blore**

*Placeholder for whichever cheap MID ends up being viable - Leniu/Hetherington/Stimson if starting prop & DPP
**Placeholders for whichever 246k players end up being viable

Too half heavy?

Just feels a gun short now. Cook, Teddy, Cleary, and then hope that DiFi, Tino, Munster, Turbo become keepers, and Bird/Hopo put up close enough to gun scores to keep them for a good chunk of the season.

I'm not super sold on Tino, but not sure where else to go in MID now.

Mulvy wrote:

Cleary and Munster at this stage.

mrbrownstone wrote:Any thoughts on this? Had a re-jig after the Lolo/Averillo news

Cook
Tino LAM Watson
DiFi Davey/Riki
Cleary Munster
Bird/Hopo Roberts
Teddy Turbo Laurie

Liddle Brailey Lam CHT

Alvaro* Niu Simonsson** Blore**

*Placeholder for whichever cheap MID ends up being viable - Leniu/Hetherington/Stimson if starting prop & DPP
**Placeholders for whichever 246k players end up being viable

Too half heavy?

Just feels a gun short now. Cook, Teddy, Cleary, and then hope that DiFi, Tino, Munster, Turbo become keepers, and Bird/Hopo put up close enough to gun scores to keep them for a good chunk of the season.

I'm not super sold on Tino, but not sure where else to go in MID now.

Adrianoooo wrote:Who is goal kicking for Warriors?

Mulvy wrote:

Cleary and Munster at this stage.

Rabbits21 wrote:

Wow and Lam, where are you sacrificing elsewhere?

TheRookie101 wrote:No love for Jake Trbojevic? Plays 80 minutes at lock and I believe Manly will go better this year.
Plus his combo with his brother could increase his points. Also he his tackling technique could cause a few loose carries.

A safe 80 minute option with McInness out for the year and Taumalolo less minutes. Opinions?

TheRookie101 wrote:No love for Jake Trbojevic? Plays 80 minutes at lock and I believe Manly will go better this year.
Plus his combo with his brother could increase his points. Also he his tackling technique could cause a few loose carries.

A safe 80 minute option with McInness out for the year and Taumalolo less minutes. Opinions?