NRL Fantasy 2021 - In my opinion, this is part 8

wolfking wrote:

Niu WFB only.

Niu sitting at 21 knowing he'll get DPP before the start of the season has been one of the few constants in my drafts.

wolfking wrote:Unless a base price starter like Young is named, are most people forgoing centre coverage?  Avo could be coverage but if he's in the halves you have to play him.

Do you? What sort of scores are you expecting from him?

The average you are looking at includes 1.5 try assists and 2 goals per game. How likely is that to continue?


There's a lot of guys in the $3-400 range who I would be more confident on than Averillo. He'll be in my 21 for sure though if he is fit to start.

easytiger wrote:

Jarome Luai averaged 58.7 across his last 6 regular season games.
That puts him 13.7 points undervalued ($183k).

All aboard...

This is why regardless of form run you always go on long term scoring average. Using a string of high scoring games and expecting to replicate is asking for trouble.

In case of Fog his GK does push him up in value, but there’s only 2 halves who maintain a 60+ average. And both kick the absolute piss out of the ball in general play which highers their floor

Realistically who are we thinking are the Edge options in the 246k-450k range likely to get a gig (excluding Riki)?
Really struggling to pick anyone on my bench/Emg that I am satisfied with

easytiger wrote:

Jarome Luai averaged 58.7 across his last 6 regular season games.
That puts him 13.7 points undervalued ($183k).

All aboard...

Nah, he's just a slow starter, let him drop price in the early rounds and pick him up when he's cheaper.

Not that I use ownership when selecting players, but Luai is owned by like 9% of players, so seems some people genuinely like easytiger's logic.

Not sure if that makes POD lovers more or less optimistic about his scoring.

ShadowSabre wrote:Realistically who are we thinking are the Edge options in the 246k-450k range likely to get a gig (excluding Riki)?
Really struggling to pick anyone on my bench/Emg that I am satisfied with

Gosi or Davey
Kolo
Waddell
Sironen
BMM
Gilbert when fit

Milchcow wrote:

Nah, he's just a slow starter, let him drop price in the early rounds and pick him up when he's cheaper.

Not that I use ownership when selecting players, but Luai is owned by like 9% of players, so seems some people genuinely like easytiger's logic.

Not sure if that makes POD lovers more or less optimistic about his scoring.

I do think it is fair to say that the Luai that finished the season was a very different player to the one at the start of the season. The same in Fogarty's case.

thelastdodo wrote:If the FOG is predicted 48-55 and BROOKS is predicted 45-48 doesn't this make Brooks a better buy @ $122k less for a points difference of 3-7 points ?

Please bare in mind mate these are my own point predictions and in no way reflect the group

Just had a reshuffle and my HLFs, CTRs, and WFBs have become a Tigers/Panthers love in

Milchcow wrote:

Do you? What sort of scores are you expecting from him?

The average you are looking at includes 1.5 try assists and 2 goals per game. How likely is that to continue?


There's a lot of guys in the $3-400 range who I would be more confident on than Averillo. He'll be in my 21 for sure though if he is fit to start.

Fair. Just think a half playing in the centre position is appealing to me.

The topic moves too quick

I've had replies typed out then its 5 pages too late to post it. I need to type quicker haha

Welshy wrote:

Gosi or Davey
Kolo
Waddell
Sironen
BMM
Gilbert when fit

Wouldn't expect any of them to be getting 80 minutes each week. At a slightly higher price point, you can get Capewell or Tupouniua who should both play 80 minutes.

Welshy wrote:

Gosi or Davey
Kolo
Waddell
Sironen
BMM
Gilbert when fit

Hmm yea the names I was looking at, all with questionable roles even if named to start round 1 which is a bit concerning!

Are we expecting Kolo to get DPP?

Really throws out team balance not having a guaranteed cheaper option in the position siggggh

Welshy wrote:

Gosi or Davey
Kolo
Waddell
Sironen
BMM
Gilbert when fit

Davey if starting might be the only one I go for. Going off Koloamatangi at present because other options like Welch and Brandon Smith have popped up with Grant and Finucane going down and needed the money.

Think both can go 50-55s for opening 6 rounds.

Cantbeatwinners wrote:Feel free to join my league 6EJJSAKC

I'm in cheers.

mattnz wrote:

Wouldn't expect any of them to be getting 80 minutes each week. At a slightly higher price point, you can get Capewell or Tupouniua who should both play 80 minutes.

Capewell has enough sample size for me where I can’t see the uptick past 5-7 points increase so just makes him too middie for me. Reckon I can get that from Riki for cheaper

Welshy wrote:
Capewell has enough sample size for me where I can’t see the uptick past 5-7 points increase so just makes him too middie for me. Reckon I can get that from Riki for cheaper

uh oh

ShadowSabre wrote:

Hmm yea the names I was looking at, all with questionable roles even if named to start round 1 which is a bit concerning!

Are we expecting Kolo to get DPP?

Really throws out team balance not having a guaranteed cheaper option in the position siggggh

yeah Kolo will get the DPP if named on the edge. Hopefully Wayne doesn't play any games next Tuesday.

Iron Mike wrote:

Davey if starting might be the only one I go for. Going off Koloamatangi at present because other options like Welch and Brandon Smith have popped up with Grant and Finucane going down and needed the money.

Think both can go 50-55s for opening 6 rounds.

Waddell still high up the list, regardless of how bad he was in trial his 80 average is still over 40. I really want BMM but can’t see a clear bigger minutes role I want from him to absorb his non attack attacking games

Yea I would love BMM with his DPP, just wish we could get some clarity before kick off as to how their rotation looks