NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 29 - Everyone scores 1000 edition

Snatchpato wrote:Even as a non-owner I will be spamming   when Parra play

White Lightning wrote:I know I. Papalii has been playing well but at full strength he will start on the bench so you want to spend 643k on a bench player

White Lightning wrote:I know I. Papalii has been playing well but at full strength he will start on the bench so you want to spend 643k on a bench player

Chewie wrote:
Doesn't Watson come of the bench?

Chewie wrote:
Doesn't Watson come of the bench?

MayorofAlburquerque wrote:Y'all are probably panicking about Leniu. Yes, his minutes were down, But he only ran for 42m against Manly in an absolutely lop-sided contest with no real need to grind through the middle. Every other game he's gone +100m. That extra 6 points makes the 27 into a 33 - not much, but with those extra meters come the opportunities for TBs and offloads.

He just hasn't lucked into the tries that big Stefano has been gifted the last two weeks.

ytsb wrote:I brought in Leniu after his 38 mins R1 and am a little sad he's made as much cash as Croker (who I traded for Leniu) but still holding. I mean if there's not a must have cow around then why bother trading him. Him and Simonsson can wait. If I could go Leniu to Moses in 1 trade I'd do that though for sure.

The Goat Boys wrote:
Leniu to SOS?

The Goat Boys wrote:
Leniu to SOS?

easytiger wrote:He hasn't lucked into tries, but he probably won't either;

Total minutes that Penrith's middle last year played (Tamou, Fisher-Harris, Tetevano, Yeo, Leota, Leniu): 5364
That's equavalent to 67 eighty-minute outings, or 134 forty-minute outings (about the highest range you'd expect from Leniu at this point)

In all those matches, and across all those minutes, the middle scored 2 tries. One to Tamou, One to Yeo.

So equivalently 1 try every 67 forty minute outings, or 1 every 3 years roughly (if you think Leniu is as likely as Tamou/Yeo, rather than a Tetevano/Leota/JFH).

It's just not an area that Penrith need to score tries in.

TLDR: Leniu is 100% going to score a try this week (you heard it here first)

White Lightning wrote:I know I. Papalii has been playing well but at full strength he will start on the bench so you want to spend 643k on a bench player

MayorofAlburquerque wrote:

True, tries are not base stats for low-minute bench forwards. But I wasn't suggesting that he'll score a try either.

I guess the point I was trying to make was that you had two comparable MID cows in Stefano and Leniu, and one of them has nabbed two tries in two weeks so its all gravy and noone is looking to trade him, but without that, they're in very similar boats (albeit Stefano is getting 34mins and a few more tackles vs 30mins). Just to look at base points and there's no imperative to trade Leniu unless its for an upgrade.

In all honesty, I hope you're right. But you can guarantee if he does that he'll be yo-yoing through everyone's NPRs and bench each week.