NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 35 - Cheers, Slug

I'm with Mulvy too.  I'm still keen on Lodge.  For 400K, easily plugs a hole in the MID and showing good signs.

Depending on next week, he's an easy swap for Leniu.

Shite a conundrum has arisen.

I have Lodges 52 sitting at 18, with Liddle at 17.
Trade pencilled in was Liddle to Simpkin, do I hope Liddle becomes a red dot and save the trade?

I'm an idiot, I played Niu at 17 to loop without thinking that he'd lock out straight away, now I cop Leniu's 18 instead of Simpkin or Fui.

so really I'm 3c/321 instead of 2c/303.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Shite a conundrum has arisen.

I have Lodges 52 sitting at 18, with Liddle at 17.
Trade pencilled in was Liddle to Simpkin, do I hope Liddle becomes a red dot and save the trade?

I'd probably wait til next week to trade, but Simkin could score similar.

wolfking wrote:

I'd probably wait til next week to trade, but Simkin could score similar.

Just trade Verills in now?, 100% back next week*!

*absolute rumour made up by me

Also where is ST at? I don’t know who won the avatar bet

wolfking wrote:With Haas being able to wait, I have til tomorrow to decide to turn Liddle into Simpkin and have 471K in the bank or go for Moses and have 12K left.

It's annoying too after last night having Leniu who has turned into a dud and Riki and Niu look set to stay on the bench and in reserve grade.  Trades are burning fast.

yeah, Leniu's real life potential has not translated into fantasy gold. Trying to decipher the Panthers' forward rotations each week is like Taupau's minutes watch. As someone said pre-season, looks like there are just too many options in the Panthers pack for him to get consistently good minutes.

rhinoceroo wrote:Cleary only updated to 124.

ARE YOU HAPPY NOW, NON-OWNERS

Wonder why they were able to follow his score this week so much better

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

Just trade Verills in now?, 100% back next week*!

*absolute rumour made up by me

My favourite sort, the "nrl journo" approach

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

Just trade Verills in now?, 100% back next week*!

*absolute rumour made up by me

there are a few who are waiting a week on Simpkin, so you could too?  According to MTB's site, if he scores 40*, he makes $24k.  So it costs you $24k but you gain 12 points.

*complete guess with no research involved

Jele wrote:

yeah, Leniu's real life potential has not translated into fantasy gold. Trying to decipher the Panthers' forward rotations each week is like Taupau's minutes watch.  As someone said pre-season, looks like there are just too many options in the Panthers pack for him to get consistently good minutes.

Yeah, no signs of any uptick either. He's not even worth keeping for round 13.

I guess at worst he's mid cover that at least has a secure spot but I'm just trying to make myself feel better lol.

248/1c

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Shite a conundrum has arisen.

I have Lodges 52 sitting at 18, with Liddle at 17.
Trade pencilled in was Liddle to Simpkin, do I hope Liddle becomes a red dot and save the trade?

Liddle will be red dot. Take the 52

Feel dirty saying it but is Croft an option? 55 average playing 80 this season and 590m as dominant kicker vs Panthers

Loomer wrote:Feel dirty saying it but is Croft an option? 55 average playing 80 this season and 590m as dominant kicker vs Panthers

Tell me more

Not worries about Milfs return

DtTragic16 wrote:We use historical data and put it into a statistical model which spits out a predicted Draftstars score. Same deal with first and any time try scorer odds.
Won't go into detail and bore you to death, but it can be really handy when making DFS teams or to find good value try scorer bets. I also manually track the try scorer odds on 6 sites so you can find where the best odds are (and know if they're actually good odds compared to our model and their career strike rate)!

Feel free to PM me if there's anything you wanted to ask or have any suggestions on what else we could look into!

Just had a proper look around the site and found the fantasy section under Edge (beta). That's what I was looking for

Loomer wrote:Feel dirty saying it but is Croft an option? 55 average playing 80 this season and 590m as dominant kicker vs Panthers

What are you expecting? To become a keeper or to make enough to validate a trade?

wolfking wrote:

What are you expecting?  To become a keeper or to make enough to validate a trade?

Plays Rd 13 and could easy make 150k on current price

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Tell me more

Not worries about Milfs return

That's the obvious elephant in the room

Couple questions:

1) Am I right in thinking Host will not be on the edge that is attacking the Nofo - Roberts - Ofa edge?
2) I noticed when MF left, there were several posts that implied the same stats people are being used for VSDT and for NRLF. This may well be the case, but the actual stats are quite different.

An example last night was Haas:

NRLF 1 TB
VSDT 4 TB

An even more extreme example was last week Dufty:
NRLF 2 Tries
VSDT 3 Tries

I think the latter is just a cock-up, but the TB, MT, and I think even tackles and MG are quite different across the board each week.

So, just wondering - same stats guys still and there are multiple measures of the same thing? Or actually different stats guys?

Rippin and Tearin wrote:Couple questions:

1) Am I right in thinking Host will not be on the edge that is attacking the Nofo - Roberts - Ofa edge?
2) I noticed when MF left, there were several posts that implied the same stats people are being used for VSDT and for NRLF. This may well be the case, but the actual stats are quite different.

An example last night was Haas:

NRLF 1 TB
VSDT 4 TB

An even more extreme example was last week Dufty:
NRLF 2 Tries
VSDT 3 Tries

I think the latter is just a cock-up, but the TB, MT, and I think even tackles and MG are quite different across the board each week.

So, just wondering - same stats guys still and there are multiple measures of the same thing? Or actually different stats guys?

I wouldn't be trusting the one that can't get the number of tries right...