NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 42 - To'o go back to Milf? CHaN anyone answer this question?

Aardvark wrote:

If Haas scores the same or better than him I will be happy and serene......actually even if he outscores Haas I will still feel better

Mulvy wrote:

Cameron's a keeper mate, trade Turpin.

Wait you mean Reimus? trade Turpin.

Wait you mean Brandon? Um, trade Turpin.

my tv broke wrote:Think I'm set on getting Verrills over Walsh. More of a long term decision first up. Will just cop Simo's 26. Walsh can come in next week if need be, but I'm gambling on Papy being good to go so won't even need Walsh in my 17, if so.

I think Verrills averages 10 pts more than Walsh so rather just make that move now and hope to save a trade or two next week.

Mulvy wrote:

I agree in your case your back three is a bit scary if you don't have Pappy in it.

WT2K wrote:Cini very close to debut. Will be on the wing when he gets the call up.

Erin Moleman wrote:Verrills or Curran if you had to bring a cashy in this week ?

wolfking wrote:

Verrills.

Erin Moleman wrote:Verrills or Curran if you had to bring a cashy in this week ?

my tv broke wrote:Think I'm set on getting Verrills over Walsh. More of a long term decision first up. Will just cop Simo's 26. Walsh can come in next week if need be, but I'm gambling on Papy being good to go so won't even need Walsh in my 17, if so.

I think Verrills averages 10 pts more than Walsh so rather just make that move now and hope to save a trade or two next week.

Jumping Marlin wrote:Been tossing up Fog Vs Moses all week. Sometimes writing stuff down helps....

The $100k price difference worth around 8-9 points.   Will Moses outscore Fog by 8-9 points for the rest of the year?

Fog Vs Moses

2020 average: 49.6 Vs 56.3 [6.9 diff]
2021 average: 46.9 Vs 54.3 [7.4 diff]
2021 average if scaled to 80mins:  50.4 Vs 60.1 [9.7 diff]  Pick Moses!

BUT

Fog has GK plus extra in play kicking this year. Worth around 7 points on his 2020 average
Moses has lost some KM to Brown.  Worth around loss of 4 points on his 2020 average.

In other words, if adjust 2020 for this years kicking, then FoG 2020 better than Moses 2020!  Pick Fog!

YET

Here we are with Moses now averaging almost 10 points more this year than FoG (assuming 80 minute games).  

So, what Else is Going On?

Both FoG and Moses are down about 4-5 tackles per week. Strange.
FoG is down in all attacking stats. T, TS, TA, LB, LBA, MG.  [Not expected with better forward pack]
Moses is up by almost 2 tackle busts per game (ie 6 fantasy points)

So, I'm now left wondering

Which of these apparent changes is sustainable?  Moses higher TBs or Fogs lower attacking stats?

One Last Thing

In Moses favour is more likely season keeper.
In Fog's favour is the $100k cash will help with picking up a fallen gun (Koro, Grant etc).

TLDR: Fog Vs Moses.  I still don't know.

Milchcow wrote:

I agree

The main reason to go Walsh instead would be if you need WFB coverage.

I have gone Turpin to Hampton instead.
Hampton at WFB this week, then next week CTR to cover Momirovski.

Now have to work out if I want Haas or Moses this week (quite possibly get the other next week)

Mac Attack wrote:
You forgot Will and Chris

my tv broke wrote:Think I'm set on getting Verrills over Walsh. More of a long term decision first up. Will just cop Simo's 26. Walsh can come in next week if need be, but I'm gambling on Papy being good to go so won't even need Walsh in my 17, if so.

I think Verrills averages 10 pts more than Walsh so rather just make that move now and hope to save a trade or two next week.

my tv broke wrote:

Its actually a tricky one but I'm holding BS9 because he can play football.

Watch Turps go 60+ tonight.

wolfking wrote:

Is that this week?  Does this have anything to do with the Laurie BS?

wolfking wrote:

If I keep Pappy, I think Verrills is the play too.  Should be solid and a decent scorer in the long term.

wolfking wrote:

Haha, I was hoping you'd say go for it!   What are you leaning towards?