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    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs

    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 1:24 pm

    Haha tempted to just go on holiday this weekend without trading and just playing 15. See what the world looks like when I get back

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    Post by Revraiser Wed May 05, 2021 1:24 pm

    Stylebender wrote:CHN, Curran, WGraham? Or any other forward around 350-450k. (H2H player).

    Atoni.
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    Post by wolfking Wed May 05, 2021 1:26 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    Api still to go back to 80 minute hooker, so more minutes to find for May in the middle. Can see it getting worse rather than better if anything.

    Your logic is invalid, Kenny was playing 80 minutes mate already, so based on what you're saying, how can it get worse?
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    Post by Guest Wed May 05, 2021 1:27 pm

    StormTrooper96 wrote:Not sure this affects anyone as I may be the only one with him, but Corey Jensen has just been named to start front row for the Blackhawks.

    No sign of Hola in the Blackhawks so say he may come into the side.

    Yeah saw that too. I traded him out this week probably is time. He has been getting less and less minutes the last couple of weeks.

    Coach is massive on "Dunny" as well so I think him or Hola will get a late call up
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    Post by Aardvark Wed May 05, 2021 1:27 pm

    WT Winfield wrote:

    I think every CTR except Taane Milne and Sebastian Kris have been mentioned at this point Laughing So now there's that covered Cool


    Murray Taulagi? If you discount his really shit scores he has an average around 40 (that's how it works isn't it?)
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    Post by The Pascoe Fiasco Wed May 05, 2021 1:29 pm

    So far behind again. Hopefully my answers solved by the time I reach the end! Regardless of positions, would you rather TU Gutho and Curran
    TD IPap and Walsh
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    Post by mattnz Wed May 05, 2021 1:30 pm

    wolfking wrote:

    Your logic is invalid, Kenny was playing 80 minutes mate already, so based on what you're saying, how can it get worse?
    Api only played 60 minutes first game back. 20 minutes less for May at hooker that he can have in the middle instead.
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    Post by Jumping Marlin Wed May 05, 2021 1:53 pm

    Dweeb alert.  Nothing like a lazy lunch time to over-complicate a review of centres.  

    Below is an assessment of centres. I have assessed on 8 criteria:
    > Expected score (20% weight)
    > Value for money (10%)
    > Injury risk (10%)
    > Job Security (20%)
    > Team quality (5%)
    > Player Quality (5%)
    > Plays Round 13 (15%)
    > Keeper or Need to Trade later (15%).

    Based on these weightings and my very very subjective weightings - the ranking of centres to buy, in order, is shown below.  Conclusions include:

    1: Buy Lomax when he's back.
    2: Buy Peachey now if you can afford him
    3: Avoid Cini & Chambers

    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs - Page 11 Centre11

    And I already know this is nuts....
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Wed May 05, 2021 1:55 pm

    After spending a long time looking at CTRs, I’m going Averillo. Last month KMs are up, Bulldogs look a bit better, JS good, and most importantly I never owned him previously so don’t have the psychological hurdle of buying back a player I ditched.

    Other trade is Gamble because he is cheap, looks playable in the short-term, and theoretically makes some money and plays R13.

    Holding Fui because trading away a green dot at the moment seems mad but he’s out of my 17 and I’m prepared for him to get 17 in 80mins at CTR this weekend and lose buckets of money.

    Really struggled with the 2nd trade this week - team is a mess and seriously considered players as far and wide as Walsh, Klemmer, W Graham, Curran. Will hopefully avoid that problem next week by not needing a 2nd trade and conserving it.
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    Post by Spectre Wed May 05, 2021 2:01 pm

    Jumping Marlin wrote:Dweeb alert.  Nothing like a lazy lunch time to over-complicate a review of centres.  

    Below is an assessment of centres. I have assessed on 8 criteria:
    > Expected score (20% weight)
    > Value for money (10%)
    > Injury risk (10%)
    > Job Security (20%)
    > Team quality (5%)
    > Player Quality (5%)
    > Plays Round 13 (15%)
    > Keeper or Need to Trade later (15%).

    Based on these weightings and my very very subjective weightings - the ranking of centres to buy, in order, is shown below.  Conclusions include:

    1: Buy Lomax when he's back.
    2: Buy Peachey now if you can afford him
    3: Avoid Cini & Chambers

    Nrl Fantasy 2021 Part 45 - Back for more backs - Page 11 Centre11

    And I already know this is nuts....

    I know it recommends avoiding Cini, but jumping from him to Lomax in a few weeks makes so much sense to me
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed May 05, 2021 2:03 pm

    Charts:
    No Momo?
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    Post by Revraiser Wed May 05, 2021 2:07 pm

    Utoik and Leniu out, Grant and Gamble in. Think im set for the week.
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    Post by robelgordo Wed May 05, 2021 2:08 pm

    Jumping Marlin wrote:Dweeb alert.  Nothing like a lazy lunch time to over-complicate a review of centres.  

    Below is an assessment of centres. I have assessed on 8 criteria:
    > Expected score (20% weight)
    > Value for money (10%)
    > Injury risk (10%)
    > Job Security (20%)
    > Team quality (5%)
    > Player Quality (5%)
    > Plays Round 13 (15%)
    > Keeper or Need to Trade later (15%).

    Based on these weightings and my very very subjective weightings - the ranking of centres to buy, in order, is shown below.  Conclusions include:

    1: Buy Lomax when he's back.
    2: Buy Peachey now if you can afford him
    3: Avoid Cini & Chambers

    And I already know this is nuts....

    Obviously still somewhat subjective but really like it. Roughly aligns with what my gut says, which is nice

    Peachey is the best option, but expensive
    Lomax is going to be great value a couple of weeks after he returns from injury
    Don’t think Crichton, Best, Olam etc. are value, but they will score well. Just hoping to pick one that scores tries soon after
    Cini/Chambers are really only good as a Momo stopgap, not someone to play every week

    Think maybe Avo underrated given halves role. Not playing 13 and dodgy team doesn’t help, but dodgy team matters less if you’re kicking 200m a game


    Last edited by robelgordo on Wed May 05, 2021 2:09 pm; edited 1 time in total
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Wed May 05, 2021 2:08 pm

    mattnz wrote:
    Api only played 60 minutes first game back. 20 minutes less for May at hooker that he can have in the middle instead.

    You completely missed my point. I know Api played 60 minutes last week, but prior to that, Kenny was playing 80, so Api going back to 80, makes the rotations and minutes the same as when Kenny was there. You said it's going to get worse, but it would be the same as previous weeks when Kenny was there......playing 80 minutes!
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    Post by wolfking Wed May 05, 2021 2:10 pm

    robelgordo wrote:After spending a long time looking at CTRs, I’m going Averillo. Last month KMs are up, Bulldogs look a bit better, JS good, and most importantly I never owned him previously so don’t have the psychological hurdle of buying back a player I ditched.

    Other trade is Gamble because he is cheap, looks playable in the short-term, and theoretically makes some money and plays R13.

    Holding Fui because trading away a green dot at the moment seems mad but he’s out of my 17 and I’m prepared for him to get 17 in 80mins at CTR this weekend and lose buckets of money.

    Really struggled with the 2nd trade this week -  team is a mess and seriously considered players as far and wide as Walsh, Klemmer, W Graham, Curran. Will hopefully avoid that problem next week by not needing a 2nd trade and conserving it.

    I don't mind the option of Avo at the current price. it's hard to think his scoring is sustainable but he's proving everyone wrong each week.
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    Post by my tv broke Wed May 05, 2021 2:11 pm

    .....well they did want someone in exchange for Brandon Smith.



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    BREAKING: HUGE news at Broncos... Xavier Coates has signed with the @storm  rejecting Brisbane. Coates is the biggest loss for the club so far.


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    Post by Archer Wed May 05, 2021 2:12 pm

    Kane wrote:

    and Captain Toots. dont know how he got that one
    That one actually comes from Jason Croker, who had the nickname, I assume it was given to Jarrod as a laugh since everyone assumed he was his son or something when he first started. Not sure how Jason got it though.
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    Post by Guest Wed May 05, 2021 2:14 pm

    Revraiser wrote:Utoik and Leniu out, Grant and Gamble in. Think im set for the week.

    Like em. I've left the Hamptons and I'm taking a Gamble on TPJ this week.
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Wed May 05, 2021 2:14 pm

    Jumping Marlin wrote:Dweeb alert.  Nothing like a lazy lunch time to over-complicate a review of centres.  

    Below is an assessment of centres. I have assessed on 8 criteria:
    > Expected score (20% weight)
    > Value for money (10%)
    > Injury risk (10%)
    > Job Security (20%)
    > Team quality (5%)
    > Player Quality (5%)
    > Plays Round 13 (15%)
    > Keeper or Need to Trade later (15%).

    Based on these weightings and my very very subjective weightings - the ranking of centres to buy, in order, is shown below.  Conclusions include:

    1: Buy Lomax when he's back.
    2: Buy Peachey now if you can afford him
    3: Avoid Cini & Chambers

    Spoiler:

    And I already know this is nuts....

    Like the idea but few questions

    Injury risk - how have you determined this. Lomax is currently injured but gets an 8. Best gets a 0. Bird gets an 8. Think if you are going to have a 1-10 scale you can't have 80% of the population scoring 10

    Job security - Averillo and BJ have already been dropped this year but you have given 10. Again think too many at the higher end

    Team quality - Probably needs to make use of the 1-10 scale with the worst team being a 1 and the best team being a 10. Currently the worst team is a 5.

    Player quality - Seriously lacking here with way too many 10s. Cini has played 1 game and is rated the same as Lomax, Bird, Best, Manu etc. The only 2 players less than an 8 are Parker and Tualagi with a 5. Probably need to make use of the 1-10 scale to get an accurate value

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    Post by Revraiser Wed May 05, 2021 2:16 pm

    WT2K wrote:

    Like em. I've left the Hamptons and I'm taking a Gamble on TPJ this week.

    Spending up, good work. Let's hope no Red mist for TPJ

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