NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 53 - The round's over. The magic lives on.

my tv broke wrote:

haha fkn wow

Oates dropped as well.

Milchcow wrote:
There was a time when Albert Kelly and Aiden Sezer were the starting halves for the Titans. Both cheap and both produced gun scores for a while.

Erin Moleman wrote:

Any idea who’s in for Oates ?

GreenMachine wrote:

Panthers sent Daine Laurie away to buy Momirovski

my tv broke wrote:

Mead according to Todd Balym at training.

wolfking wrote:Kev is as bad as Seibold.  Declared two weeks ago that the current halves will basically be in long term if not the year and he goes and changes yet again!  I know he's up against it but he hasn't a clue what he's doing.

wolfking wrote:Kev is as bad as Seibold.  Declared two weeks ago that the current halves will basically be in long term if not the year and he goes and changes yet again!  I know he's up against it but he hasn't a clue what he's doing.

Mulvy wrote:Anyone want to check my logic here? If you're bored of centre talk, scroll past now. For those with the same problem, could be helpful.

Centres are Bird, Peachey and Roberts. The way I see it, there are three options, all viewed through the lens of how many points scored over the next three weeks and how many trades used.

1. No trade. Roberts potentially could be back next week according to casualty ward, or not at all. If I hold Roberts, He potentially gives me zero points in the next three weeks, or potentially 15 points in rd 12 and 13.

So option 1. 0-30 points. Zero trades.

2. Trade Roberts to a rd13 centre. If I did this, I suspect said player won't score as well as Peachey and Bird long term, so they would be first to go for a rd17 player when bye trading. But it would give me 25-35 points for the three weeks (Peachey is only out the next two weeks but I would play all three of them in rd13 of course).

So option 2. 75-105 points. Two trades.

3. Trade Roberts to a rd17 centre. I would try and make it a keeper (ie good JS) like Manu for example. Would get two scores of 30-40 points. If indeed I went Manu, has the advantage of Manu potentially into FB if Teddy is rested for any matches over Origin or the rest of the year (Robbo doesn't mind a rd25 Teddy resting).

So option 3. 60-80 points. One trade.

(There is a fourth option of trade Peachey to another centre, but it doesn't net me any more points than options 2 or 3 and I'm still left with Roberts in my team. Selling Peachey frees up cash, but I don't need it for my planned trades).

Looking at that, option 2 looks like the poorest. Potentially only 45 more points than option 1 for two trades. Potentially gives up to 105 more points, but I reckon I could get more points using those two trades to sideways trade guns in the bye rounds or keeping for carnage in the run home.

With option 3, I've only looked at scores over the next three weeks, you probably can't discount their rd17 score. Also option 1 means I still have James Roberts. Hmmm. I guess you can't even call option 1 zero trades because ultimately I'll be trading him, probably to a rd 17 player. This appears to make option 3 stand out. The big risk being rd17 is over seven weeks away and more chances for an injury or suspension.

I think based on that I'm leaning toward option 3, although I'm almost certain some of my arguments are probably flawed to some extent. Thoughts greatly appreciated.

Honey Badger wrote:Does Roberts get back in now that Doueihi has moved to ctr?

my tv broke wrote:

I think he's only doing this to try keep the media noise down. Not really possible in Brisbane but he's just trying to present a 'positive' front.

I'm pretty sure this is why Turpin was named captain. The other options would have been headlines (pangai, lodge, haas)

my tv broke wrote:

don't understand the first part of this. he is real bad in defense.. positioning, awareness, organisation all lacking.

Oz Sport Mad wrote:

I disagree on positioning & awareness - but I am often taking into account the 12 other blokes who have let him down before he does his best, so may be being generous.

I can't comment on organisational skills but generally this is something players grow into and it doesn't necessarily need to be just on the fullback.....IMO.
For example Papy is not yet at Slater levels but the Storm manage because they all seem to step up in that regard (especially blokes like Hughes and Munster).

robelgordo wrote:

Honestly reckon Cleary rates May more than all of them, but prefers him in that very specific bench role over 80 min centre

robelgordo wrote:

If you have Bird and Peachey I wouldn't be worrying too much about whether your 3rd centre plays R13/17. I think I'd lean toward option 3 as well.

Mulvy wrote:
Agreed.  Cleary uses the 14 jersey as a weapon,  specialist position. His whole bench really.  Rather than his weakest 14-17.

Mulvy wrote:
Thanks.  Before the analysis I was leaning toward option one.  Now leaning toward option 3.