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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 7 - Guess the total fantasy points scored Thursday!

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:22 am

    Pain wrote:I'm missing the popularity of Crichton in the WFB.  Good player and DPP and a great 18th man but with all the other ctr options I cant see the value.  Is it the kicking with Cleary out?

    Its the fact that based on last years stats, his price should be $450k (ignoring any goal kicking)

    Don't look a fanhub discount in the mouth
    Aardvark Ratnick
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    Post by Aardvark Ratnick Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:29 am

    Milchcow wrote:

    Its the fact that based on last years stats, his price should be $450k (ignoring any goal kicking)

    Don't look a fanhub discount in the mouth

    I also like the fact I get a 10% loading on his score from having him since day 1 Wink
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:31 am

    Aardvark Ratnick wrote:

    I also like the fact I get a 10% loading on his score from having him since day 1 Wink

    and now I regret hitting clear team after TLT
    Aardvark Ratnick
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    Post by Aardvark Ratnick Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:39 am

    Been agonising over do I want Cheese or Cook , opted for Cook as he is another (C) option over the DPP in the end.
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    Post by Pain Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:50 am

    Aardvark Ratnick wrote:

    I also like the fact I get a 10% loading on his score from having him since day 1 Wink

    How's that?
    Aardvark Ratnick
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    Post by Aardvark Ratnick Thu Mar 10, 2022 12:57 am

    Pain wrote:

    How's that?

    Just a Forum in joke mate, dont take it serious - I was just feeding it cow manure to help it grow. (hence the wink )
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Thu Mar 10, 2022 1:20 am

    Aardvark Ratnick wrote:Been agonising over do I want Cheese or Cook , opted for Cook as he is another (C) option over the DPP in the end.
    How’s your team looking?
    GarethEllisismyDad
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    Post by GarethEllisismyDad Thu Mar 10, 2022 1:26 am

    Just watched some highlights and definitely gonna try and get Mitchell upon his return,

    Currently running one hooker (Randall) but am planning on getting a second between cotter, hetherington or Clark depending on monitored/ selection etc over round 1,

    Want to see what payten does with his rotation and what Holbrook does with Clark
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    Post by sbr202 Thu Mar 10, 2022 1:46 am

    Anyone see any glaring issues with this? Crichton vs IPap is an interesting one that I'm toying with

    Mahoney
    Crichton Haas (C) Mann
    Bullemor Arrow
    Illias Sexton
    Penisini Aitken
    Hynes Pap SCrit

    Randall Schneider Nanai Coates
    MKing Tago Walters Koula
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Thu Mar 10, 2022 2:29 am

    sbr202 wrote:Anyone see any glaring issues with this? Crichton vs IPap is an interesting one that I'm toying with

    Mahoney
    Crichton Haas (C) Mann
    Bullemor Arrow
    Illias Sexton
    Penisini Aitken
    Hynes Pap SCrit

    Randall Schneider Nanai Coates
    MKing Tago Walters Koula

    Nothing glaring. I'd steer clear of Walters personally - he'll make money if he gets a few weeks but who knows? - and would wait until Koula actually gets a start, but the first 19 seem solid ..
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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Thu Mar 10, 2022 5:10 am

    GarethEllisismyDad wrote:Just watched some highlights and definitely gonna try and get Mitchell upon his return,

    Currently running one hooker (Randall) but am planning on getting a second between cotter, hetherington or Clark depending on monitored/ selection etc over round 1,

    Want to see what payten does with his rotation and what Holbrook does with Clark

    Mitchell only suspended 1 game now, back round 2. I am starting him instead of Papy. You could do the same.
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    Post by mattnz Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:43 am

    My analysis for the PODs in my team.....

    Warning - Rose coloured glasses were worn when doing this analysis. I am typically looking for high ceiling potential players as PODs.

    Some PODs will work out and if they hit their ceiling will be great value. Others won't work out and will look to target other mid range priced players to replace them, the likes of iPap and Jackson from last season.

    Robson 0.8%
    - Looking for 80 minutes most weeks, with Granville missing from the 17, after playing in the 17 every week last season.
    - Cotter is on the bench, but Payten has previously said he is now a MID not a HOK (was when they had Granville on the bench as well).
    - Expecting Luki to use an interchange each game and they don't have an 80 minute MID, so the plan will be that they need an 80 min Hooker most weeks, so they don't run out of interchanges in the case of an injury or 2 during the game.
    - Hooker is the hardest position to fill and Robson should hopefully fill that nicely. 60 average potential if getting 80 minutes most weeks.
    - Got 80 minutes 4 of his last 8 games last season. Has the engine for the role.
    - Plays round 13.

    Tapine 0.8%
    - Had him to start last season as well, started that year on fire before getting injured. Showed great form in pre-season this year too. Gun player, just needs minutes
    - Landed on the starting prop role next to Papalii to finish last season. In those 7 games he averaged 50 minutes for 51 points, almost all just base from carting the ball up and tackling, no tries or try assists, but is a genuine gun player capable of damaging runs and scoring many tries. Gains on TBs vs OF, taking his average up to 53.
    - Priced at 46, so 7 points of value if he just does the basics in a 50 minute role. If he guns it as expected, should be pushing closer to 60 as a gun keeper, about $200k under-priced.
    - 4 experienced MIDs from last season have all left the club and Sutton missing from the 17, about to exit for Bulldogs is a great sign, hopefully he makes an early exit.
    - Plays round 13

    Wilton 1.4%
    - Gun in the making. Huge base stats, as good as any EDG in the comp. in 8 starts on the EDG, has scored over 50 6 times. Super-consistent, really talented footballer.
    - 36 tackles and 135m average as starting EDG gives him 49 points of base on the EDG each week, plus any attacking stats! Should go huge on his day, with a really high floor
    - Replaced Nikora on the right EDG on form last season, before getting injured.
    - Priced at 39, looking for 55 average while Graham is out, expected to play 5 rounds
    - Have said all preseason that as soon as he gets an opportunity, he is straight in my team. This is his chance to cement an EDG spot.
    - Decent chance that when Graham returns, he takes Nikora's spot again on form. Even if he doesn't Graham is always breaking down and an HIA away from retirement. Can keep Wilton for a couple of weeks, playing off the bench while his BE is still really low, so won't lose cash and see what happens.
    - Best case scenario, I have a consistent season Keeper for $484k, at least $200k underpriced
    - Plays round 17

    Cody Walker 6.3%
    - The main man at Souths. Will get the ball every time he wants it next to junior half. Got most of the kicking in the trial.
    - End of last season, the game plan changed, he started running the attack on both left and right sides of the field. Started a huge try assist run when this changed, averaging 60 to finish last season.
    - Priced at 51, targeting a 60 average, which will be a top 3 half this season.
    - Should be one of very few halves that will score more from kicking meters this year than last and will be even more dominant in a top attacking side in Reynold's absence
    - Plays round 17

    Timoko 0.5%
    - has amazing stats for a guy who hasn't scored a try in the NRL yet, averaging 43, but priced at 36. Even with TB nerf (that all CTRs are impacted by), should be a great buy who finally cements his spot and starts scoring tries.
    - has scored 80 without a try! Imagine his ceiling with a couple of tries
    - Looking for him to be a mid to high 40s player as a cut priced keeper
    - Plays round 13

    Mitchell 2.3%
    - Only misses 1 game to start the season now, back round 2. Can loop him in round 1.
    - Had a great year last season, really looking forward to the Walker / Mitchell combo, for some great scoring when they really put on a show together.
    - Should also step up in the absence of Reynolds, including taking his 8 points per game in goal kicking!
    - Targeting 60+ average, priced at 54. Season keeper, top 3 WFB.
    - Prefer him to Papy, who is injury prone and likely misses more games if any HIA and can easily drop in price due to this.
    - Plays Origin

    Ramsey 7%
    - Has bulked up and looks a better player this season with strong trials form
    - May share fullback duties with Sloan during the game
    - Suli was great setting him up for tries
    - Really cheap, planning to loop him each week using Koula, until Koula gets his start. Catch the good scores, miss the bad ones, eventually cash out.
    - Cheap, great job security, should be good value and make cash. If I get really lucky, he gets the fullback role at some point in the season, to get a run of points to cash out.
    - Plays round 17
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:53 am

    mattnz wrote:

    Mitchell only suspended 1 game now, back round 2. I am starting him instead of Papy. You could do the same.

    I really like this idea.
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:55 am

    From what I’ve seen from a pretty reliable Raiders fan Tapine still hasn’t requested vaccine exemption so is likely to miss R2 at this stage (due to QLD game)

    (Also R8, R10 in QLD)
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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:58 am

    Camo123 wrote:From what I’ve seen from a pretty reliable Raiders fan Tapine still hasn’t requested vaccine exemption so is likely to miss R2 at this stage (due to QLD game)

    (Also R8, R10 in QLD)

    I have heard elsewhere he has requested an exemption, but hasnt had it confirmed yet. He got an exemption in 2020 when flu shots were required for games in QLD. Would be really unusual that he wouldnt bother to apply for exemption. He has had covid recently, so qualifies for the exemption.
    Finch
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    Post by Finch Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:59 am

    @Matt

    Isn't there a chance Croker comes back next week and takes Timoko spot? Or is Schiller defo the one that makes way?
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    Post by Camo123 Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:02 am

    So based on team lists

    24 hour cut = 24 to 19
    1 hour cut = 19 to 18 (team + 18th man)

    No one really important dropping from either of tonight’s teams
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    Post by mattnz Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:04 am

    Finch wrote:@Matt

    Isn't there a chance Croker comes back next week and takes Timoko spot? Or is Schiller defo the one that makes way?

    Would expect both Schiller and Valemi to make way for Croker and Rapana, (if Croker comes back at all, they have preferred 2 other CTRs ahead of him for round 1).
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    Post by Finch Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:08 am

    mattnz wrote:

    Would expect both Schiller and Valemi to make way for Croker and Rapana, (if Croker comes back at all, they have preferred 2 other CTRs ahead of him for round 1).

    Fine, I'm interested now...


    Just not sure if Raiders are going to be competitive this year. Seem a bit like the Warriors were could be anywhere from 6-12th. Hmmm.
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    Post by Monty_Burns Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:11 am

    I like the ramsey pick @mattnz, job security is great and I think the dragons will go alright this season, they are an improving team with some good young backs. He will have some low scoring games but will score a few tries and may play some FB. Low risk at that price, great for an emg WFB.

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