HOK
Robson (783k, 54.8, byes R15, R19, R24)
+ Averaged 58.9 as 80 min HOK
+ Interviewed indicating developing kicking game (realistically only 1-2 point increase)
Hodgson (532k, 37.2, byes R14, R18, R27)
+ Averaged 50.4 2021 (Mahoney averaged 46.4 in 2022 in expected similar role)
+ Late first bye until after Origin 1 in R14
- Potentially injury prone
Clark (594k, 41.5, byes R5, R13, R16)
+ Averaged 52.7 in MID role late season in 2022
+ Expected MID DPP
- Small sample size of new position and mins
Boyd (479k, 33.5, byes R5, R13, R16)
+ Average 47.3 across 6 games as dominant HLF
+ HOK/HLF DPP
- Early bye, may be difficult to pick both Clark & Boyd with same bye in R5
Kenny (426k, 29.8, byes R3, R13, R19)
+ Averaged 39.7 at HOK in 2022
- Could be trap as unknown min split with Soni Luke expected on bench
- Early bye could be difficult with starting squad and having multiple other Panthers (Cleary, EDG should be popular)
MID
Murray (904k, 63.2, byes R16, R20, R26)
+ Slightly underpriced excluding 1 min injury game (66.4)
+ Late 1st bye in origin round you can only field 13 max
- Possible HIA risk
Haas (809k, 56.6, byes R16, R19, R25)
+ Prior to shoulder/ankle injuries, averaged 66.1 in 7 games (R1-8 last year)
+ Late 1st bye in origin round you can only field 13 max
+ Could play more mins early on with Hetherington injured
Tapine (790k, 55.3, byes R8, R16, R20)
+ 63.4 average (57 mins) in prop games above 50 mins in 2022 (61.5 average including 2021)
+ Clear increase in real-life form should sustain mins
- But will Ricky agree with the above point
Cotter (744k, 52.0, byes R15, R19, R24)
+ Averaged 56.8 prop at games above 50 mins 2022 (also smashed it in finals games)
- With "easy draw" early on, may cop some rests??
Elliot (606k, 42.4, byes R10, R14, R19)
+ Averaged 53.6 (60 mins) playing lock over 50 mins 2022
- May not get similar role in new team
TPJ (593k, 41.5, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ If starting EDG, could probably expect 60 mins (25-30 EDG, 30-35 MID) - averages 50.4 (58 mins) at EDG historically
+ MID/EDG dual
+ Offloading machine
- Potentially injury prone with hamstrings, and could play lower mins than expected
BSmith (585k, 40.9, byes R4, R13, R19)
+ Averaged 52.6 (65 mins) playing HOK over 50 min in career
+ HOK/MID DPP
Sutton (491k, 34.3, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ 43.9 average (54 mins) at lock over 40 mins
+ 1st bye in origin round you can only field 13 players
- Risk in starting with TPJ/Topine options without Jackson
EDG
Fifita (771k, 53.9, byes R5, R13, R16)
+ 58.3 average over 50 mins at EDG
- Unexpected mins distribution
Egan Butcher (561k, 39.2, byes R4, R13, R19)
+ Averaged 54.3 above 40 mins (55.1 mins) - mostly middle (rumours Angus Crichton is out due to personal reasons indefinitely)
- Early bye with other Roosters being relevant (BSmith)
RFM (560k, 39.2, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ 49.1 average over EDG career over 60 mins
+ Late 1st bye in R13 when only 13 players max
- Risk in starting with TPJ/Topine?
Melbourne EDG (Eisenhuth 396k/27.7, Loiero 389k/27.2, Katoa 448k/31.3) - byes R9, R13, R19
+ All prospective Storm EDG minus Sims appear 10 points underpriced on EDG averages
+ Possibly 2 spots open (if Sims lock) with Kaufusi/KBrom leaving
- Possible Risk of rotation
Panthers EDG (Hosking 479k/33.5, Garner 478k/33.4, byes R3, R13, R19)
+ Both players 10 points underpriced on EDG averages
- Early bye could be difficult with starting squad coverage
Hopgood (453k, 31.7, byes R14, R18, R27)
+ Averaged 60+ in reserve grade with big mins
HLF
Cleary (957k, 66.9, byes R3, R13, R19)
+ Most complete/captainable player in fantasy
- Early bye relying on VC and cheap 18th man (possibility to avoid until R4??)
Doueihi (771k, 53.9, byes R7, R13, R17)
+ 62.0 average at 5/8 in 2022 (61.6 average 5/8 career)
- Possibly shifted to CTR by new coach
Burton (718k, 50.2, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ Averaged 57 in latter half of 2022 and added GK
- More of a gut feel pick than directly undervalued with additions to team
Hastings (645k, 45.1, byes R10, R14, R19)
+ 55.8 average as HLF prior to injury
CTR
Reimis Smith (372k, 26.0, byes R9, R13, R19)
+ 33.8 CTR average at Storm (24 base)
- Relies on attacking stats (don't all CTRs, in top 4 team)
HTF (372k, 26.0, byes R11, R16, R21)
+ 31.8 average at FB
+ If affordable in EMG, safe JS
Thompson (319k, 22.3, byes R16, R20, R26)
+ 40.5 average in 2 games NRL (43.8 2022 NSW cup)
+ High RM average in career history
+ Expected WFB DPP if starting winger
- Taane Milne suspended only R1 (as World Cup included), could lose spot
Bulldogs CTR (230k, 16.1, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ Skelton average 40.3 NSW cup, Alamoti average NSW cup 40
+ Late first bye in Origin round with only max 13 players allowed
- Perham likely starter may mean not starting R1 with Averillo shifted to CTR
WFB
Ponga (532k, 37.2, byes R10, R14, R19)
+ Career FB average 52.6 over 50 mins
+ Had games early 2022 with no GK
- If moved to 5/8, underpriced less on career average
- HIA risk
Savage (452k, 31.6, byes R8, R16, R20)
+ 37.6 average at FB
+ 2nd season should improve
Miller (426k, 29.8, byes R10, R14, R19)
+ Averaged 49.8 in 4 FB games (42.1 average NSW cup) with high average TBs & RM
- Small sample size & moving to worse team (Sharks 2nd & Newtown 1st) where non-GK WFBs struggle to usually average 40+ for 10 points value
CNK (372k, 26.0, byes R12, R16, R22)
+ Career average 41.5 FB over 70 mins
- Neck injury may hinder him
TMM (313k, 21.9, byes R12, R16, R22)
+ 33.8 average at 5/8
- Possible starting position under threat from Metcalf/Volkman (but both also underpriced)
Perham (298k, 20.8, byes R13, R17, R23)
+ Averaged 33 across 4 seasons NSW cup
+ Late 1st bye
- May lose FB spot to Averillo
Last edited by Camo123 on Mon Feb 13, 2023 6:37 pm; edited 8 times in total